Monday ENSO update from NOAA

Summary
ENSO Alert System Status: El Niño Watch
ENSO-neutral conditions continue.*
Equatorial sea surface temperatures (SST) were above-average across most of the equatorial Pacific Ocean.
While ENSO-neutral is favored for Northern Hemisphere spring 2014, the chances of El Niño increase during the remainder of the year, exceeding 50% by summer.

I'm sure the update from the Aussie BOM tomorrow will say something similar.. An El Nino this year would make record global temperatures, through the Boreal winter and into next year, almost certain.

On Monday, 5 May 2014 12:54:02 UTC-7, Dawlish wrote:
Monday ENSO update from NOAA



Summary

ENSO Alert System Status: El Niño Watch

ENSO-neutral conditions continue.*

Equatorial sea surface temperatures (SST) were above-average across most of the equatorial Pacific Ocean.

While ENSO-neutral is favored for Northern Hemisphere spring 2014, the chances of El Niño increase during the remainder of the year, exceeding 50% by summer.



I'm sure the update from the Aussie BOM tomorrow will say something similar. An El Nino this year would make record global temperatures, through the Boreal winter and into next year, almost certain.

SO why is it so cold Garvey?

On Monday, May 5, 2014 8:54:02 PM UTC+1, Dawlish wrote:
Monday ENSO update from NOAA



Summary

ENSO Alert System Status: El Niño Watch

ENSO-neutral conditions continue.*

Equatorial sea surface temperatures (SST) were above-average across most of the equatorial Pacific Ocean.

While ENSO-neutral is favored for Northern Hemisphere spring 2014, the chances of El Niño increase during the remainder of the year, exceeding 50% by summer.



I'm sure the update from the Aussie BOM tomorrow will say something similar. An El Nino this year would make record global temperatures, through the Boreal winter and into next year, almost certain.

Aussie BOM agrees with NOAA.

Tropical Pacific continues to warm; El Niño likely in 2014

Issued on Tuesday 6 May 2014

The tropical Pacific Ocean has warmed steadily in recent months, with large warm anomalies in the ocean sub-surface (5-day values up to +6 °C) and increasingly warm sea surface temperatures. Climate models surveyed by the Bureau suggest El Niño development is possible as early as July. These factors indicate that while El Niño in 2014 cannot be guaranteed, the likelihood of an event developing remains at least 70% and we are at El Niño ALERT level.

For El Niño to be established and maintained, coupling needs to occur between the tropical Pacific atmosphere and ocean, evident by further and persistent weakening of the trade winds and a consistent increase in cloudiness near the Date Line. These atmospheric characteristics of El Niño are forecast to become evident over the coming months.

http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/enso/

On Tuesday, 6 May 2014 09:13:08 UTC-7, Dawlish wrote:
On Monday, May 5, 2014 8:54:02 PM UTC+1, Dawlish wrote:

Monday ENSO update from NOAA







Summary



ENSO Alert System Status: El Niño Watch



ENSO-neutral conditions continue.*



Equatorial sea surface temperatures (SST) were above-average across most of the equatorial Pacific Ocean.



While ENSO-neutral is favored for Northern Hemisphere spring 2014, the chances of El Niño increase during the remainder of the year, exceeding 50% by summer.







I'm sure the update from the Aussie BOM tomorrow will say something similar. An El Nino this year would make record global temperatures, through the Boreal winter and into next year, almost certain.



Aussie BOM agrees with NOAA.



Tropical Pacific continues to warm; El Niño likely in 2014



Issued on Tuesday 6 May 2014



The tropical Pacific Ocean has warmed steadily in recent months, with large warm anomalies in the ocean sub-surface (5-day values up to +6 °C) and increasingly warm sea surface temperatures. Climate models surveyed by the Bureau suggest El Niño development is possible as early as July. These factors indicate that while El Niño in 2014 cannot be guaranteed, the likelihood of an event developing remains at least 70% and we are at El Niño ALERT level.



For El Niño to be established and maintained, coupling needs to occur between the tropical Pacific atmosphere and ocean, evident by further and persistent weakening of the trade winds and a consistent increase in cloudiness near the Date Line. These atmospheric characteristics of El Niño are forecast to become evident over the coming months.



http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/enso/

Oh look, he is ignoring me. What a change that is from alt.gw eh! Whats up Paul, why the change?

On Tuesday, 6 May 2014 17:13:08 UTC+1, Dawlish wrote:
On Monday, May 5, 2014 8:54:02 PM UTC+1, Dawlish wrote:

Monday ENSO update from NOAA







Summary



ENSO Alert System Status: El Niño Watch



ENSO-neutral conditions continue.*



Equatorial sea surface temperatures (SST) were above-average across most of the equatorial Pacific Ocean.



While ENSO-neutral is favored for Northern Hemisphere spring 2014, the chances of El Niño increase during the remainder of the year, exceeding 50% by summer.







I'm sure the update from the Aussie BOM tomorrow will say something similar. An El Nino this year would make record global temperatures, through the Boreal winter and into next year, almost certain.



Aussie BOM agrees with NOAA.



Tropical Pacific continues to warm; El Niño likely in 2014



Issued on Tuesday 6 May 2014



The tropical Pacific Ocean has warmed steadily in recent months, with large warm anomalies in the ocean sub-surface (5-day values up to +6 °C) and increasingly warm sea surface temperatures. Climate models surveyed by the Bureau suggest El Niño development is possible as early as July. These factors indicate that while El Niño in 2014 cannot be guaranteed, the likelihood of an event developing remains at least 70% and we are at El Niño ALERT level.



For El Niño to be established and maintained, coupling needs to occur between the tropical Pacific atmosphere and ocean, evident by further and persistent weakening of the trade winds and a consistent increase in cloudiness near the Date Line. These atmospheric characteristics of El Niño are forecast to become evident over the coming months.



http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/enso/

You can't trust BOM. They lie about Australia past climate , lei about AGW and their computer model is ****e.

On Thursday, May 8, 2014 9:24:24 PM UTC+1, Lawrence Jenkins wrote:
On Tuesday, 6 May 2014 17:13:08 UTC+1, Dawlish wrote:

On Monday, May 5, 2014 8:54:02 PM UTC+1, Dawlish wrote:



Monday ENSO update from NOAA















Summary







ENSO Alert System Status: El Niño Watch







ENSO-neutral conditions continue.*







Equatorial sea surface temperatures (SST) were above-average across most of the equatorial Pacific Ocean.







While ENSO-neutral is favored for Northern Hemisphere spring 2014, the chances of El Niño increase during the remainder of the year, exceeding 50% by summer.















I'm sure the update from the Aussie BOM tomorrow will say something similar. An El Nino this year would make record global temperatures, through the Boreal winter and into next year, almost certain.







Aussie BOM agrees with NOAA.







Tropical Pacific continues to warm; El Niño likely in 2014







Issued on Tuesday 6 May 2014







The tropical Pacific Ocean has warmed steadily in recent months, with large warm anomalies in the ocean sub-surface (5-day values up to +6 °C) and increasingly warm sea surface temperatures. Climate models surveyed by the Bureau suggest El Niño development is possible as early as July. These factors indicate that while El Niño in 2014 cannot be guaranteed, the likelihood of an event developing remains at least 70% and we are at El Niño ALERT level.







For El Niño to be established and maintained, coupling needs to occur between the tropical Pacific atmosphere and ocean, evident by further and persistent weakening of the trade winds and a consistent increase in cloudiness near the Date Line. These atmospheric characteristics of El Niño are forecast to become evident over the coming months.







http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/enso/



You can't trust BOM. They lie about Australia past climate , lei about AGW and their computer model is ****e.

You are not sane, are you? The Aussie BOM are internationally respected and their info about ENSO is second to none. As they agree with NOAA, I suppose NOAA are liars who can't be trusted, who deal in ****s computer models too.

Where do you get your beliefs from?

In article ,
says...
You can't trust BOM. They lie about Australia past climate , lei about AGW and their computer model is ****e.

You are not sane, are you? The Aussie BOM are internationally respected and their info about ENSO is second to none. As they agree with NOAA, I suppose NOAA are liars who can't be trusted, who deal in ****s computer models too.

Where do you get your beliefs from?



It's not so much that he has his head buried in the sand, more that he
only has one foot left sticking out of it.

--
Alan LeHun
Reply-to is valid. Add "BPSF" to subject: to bypass spam filters.

On Saturday, 10 May 2014 02:30:00 UTC+1, Alan LeHun wrote:
In article ,

says...

You can't trust BOM. They lie about Australia past climate , lei about AGW and their computer model is ****e.



You are not sane, are you? The Aussie BOM are internationally respected and their info about ENSO is second to none. As they agree with NOAA, I suppose NOAA are liars who can't be trusted, who deal in ****s computer models too.



Where do you get your beliefs from?







It's not so much that he has his head buried in the sand, more that he

only has one foot left sticking out of it.



--

Alan LeHun

Reply-to is valid. Add "BPSF" to subject: to bypass spam filters.

Well whilst you're on 'foot in mouth' read this

http://jennifermarohasy.com/page/2/

and then recall some of the outrageous winter charts the BOM model through out several years ago.


I have to say the warmists are busting a gut on this El Nino forecast. What makes me laugh though, is if they feel the world is so imperilled by global warming, then you'd think the opposite; that they would be dreading as opposed to almost 'cheering El Nino' on.


Funny old world when you are an ideologue.

On Thursday, 8 May 2014 23:32:01 UTC-7, Dawlish wrote:
On Thursday, May 8, 2014 9:24:24 PM UTC+1, Lawrence Jenkins wrote:

On Tuesday, 6 May 2014 17:13:08 UTC+1, Dawlish wrote:



On Monday, May 5, 2014 8:54:02 PM UTC+1, Dawlish wrote:







Monday ENSO update from NOAA































Summary















ENSO Alert System Status: El Niño Watch















ENSO-neutral conditions continue.*















Equatorial sea surface temperatures (SST) were above-average across most of the equatorial Pacific Ocean.















While ENSO-neutral is favored for Northern Hemisphere spring 2014, the chances of El Niño increase during the remainder of the year, exceeding 50% by summer.































I'm sure the update from the Aussie BOM tomorrow will say something similar. An El Nino this year would make record global temperatures, through the Boreal winter and into next year, almost certain.















Aussie BOM agrees with NOAA.















Tropical Pacific continues to warm; El Niño likely in 2014















Issued on Tuesday 6 May 2014















The tropical Pacific Ocean has warmed steadily in recent months, with large warm anomalies in the ocean sub-surface (5-day values up to +6 °C) and increasingly warm sea surface temperatures. Climate models surveyed by the Bureau suggest El Niño development is possible as early as July. These factors indicate that while El Niño in 2014 cannot be guaranteed, the likelihood of an event developing remains at least 70% and we are at El Niño ALERT level.















For El Niño to be established and maintained, coupling needs to occur between the tropical Pacific atmosphere and ocean, evident by further and persistent weakening of the trade winds and a consistent increase in cloudiness near the Date Line. These atmospheric characteristics of El Niño are forecast to become evident over the coming months.















http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/enso/







You can't trust BOM. They lie about Australia past climate , lei about AGW and their computer model is ****e.



You are not sane, are you? The Aussie BOM are internationally respected and their info about ENSO is second to none. As they agree with NOAA, I suppose NOAA are liars who can't be trusted, who deal in ****s computer models too.



Where do you get your beliefs from?

NOAA reasons for adjusting past temperatures down and todays up: "we don't know why there are more cold steps than warm but we adjust anyway"

Liars who cant be trusted? That's a good description Garvey.

On Saturday, May 10, 2014 12:28:49 PM UTC+1, Lawrence Jenkins wrote:
On Saturday, 10 May 2014 02:30:00 UTC+1, Alan LeHun wrote:

In article ,



says...



You can't trust BOM. They lie about Australia past climate , lei about AGW and their computer model is ****e.







You are not sane, are you? The Aussie BOM are internationally respected and their info about ENSO is second to none. As they agree with NOAA, I suppose NOAA are liars who can't be trusted, who deal in ****s computer models too.

Where do you get your beliefs from?

It's not so much that he has his head buried in the sand, more that he

only has one foot left sticking out of it.

Alan LeHun



Reply-to is valid. Add "BPSF" to subject: to bypass spam filters.



Well whilst you're on 'foot in mouth' read this

http://jennifermarohasy.com/page/2/

and then recall some of the outrageous winter charts the BOM model through out several years ago.

I have to say the warmists are busting a gut on this El Nino forecast. What makes me laugh though, is if they feel the world is so imperilled by global warming, then you'd think the opposite; that they would be dreading as opposed to almost 'cheering El Nino' on.

Funny old world when you are an ideologue.

You are certainly not sane. Neither can you spell. Bet you can't link to any of those "charts" that the "BOM model" *threw* out several years ago. laughing