On 01/10/2018 12:29, N_Cook wrote:

https://www.ospo.noaa.gov/data/sst/a....8.23.2018.gif


I just noticed I posted the URL for an SST anomaly image from last month.
This morning I tried on someone elses pc with win10 and blocked from
access on both IE and Chrome to that URL.
So the s of https stands for screw-up, not security.
I can access on win7 with Opera , but I only use that on known sites as
lets thru too much crap for general usage.
The updated image early this evening should be
https://www.ospo.noaa.gov/data/sst/a....10.1.2018.gif
or (less likely)
https://www.ospo.noaa.gov/data/sst/a...10.01.2018.gif



Although the top-level page is available, adding /data/ to the URL comes
up with 404. It looks to me as though you are trying to access an old
address. I suggest you try the link I posted a couple of days ago; here
it is again:
https://www.ospo.noaa.gov/Products/o...aly/index.html
That one gives the images you are looking for.


--
Graham P Davis, Bracknell, Berks. Web-site: http://www.scarlet-jade.com/
"There is nothing more frustrating than playing hide and seek with a
deaf wolf." [Benton Fraser]
OS: Linux [openSUSE Tumbleweed]

On 01/10/2018 17:22, Graham P Davis wrote:
On 01/10/2018 12:29, N_Cook wrote:

https://www.ospo.noaa.gov/data/sst/a....8.23.2018.gif


I just noticed I posted the URL for an SST anomaly image from last month.
This morning I tried on someone elses pc with win10 and blocked from
access on both IE and Chrome to that URL.
So the s of https stands for screw-up, not security.
I can access on win7 with Opera , but I only use that on known sites
as lets thru too much crap for general usage.
The updated image early this evening should be
https://www.ospo.noaa.gov/data/sst/a....10.1.2018.gif
or (less likely)
https://www.ospo.noaa.gov/data/sst/a...10.01.2018.gif



Although the top-level page is available, adding /data/ to the URL comes
up with 404. It looks to me as though you are trying to access an old
address. I suggest you try the link I posted a couple of days ago; here
it is again:
https://www.ospo.noaa.gov/Products/o...aly/index.html
That one gives the images you are looking for.



I have to stay with
https://www.ospo.noaa.gov/data/sst/a....10.1.2018.gif
or I'd have to rescale the transparent overlay mask of the 6 Atlantic
sea areas , that potentially foretell stormy weather for (my selected)
south of England.
Processing that latest image comes out the same at 78 , so pushed out to
about 05-08 October , not so convincing met models for today's 12Z runs.

The most likely candidate is the jetstream oxbow-shedding cut-off low of
06-07 Oct, with a scorpion-tail appearance in the upper air character.
GFS and GEM give 10m winds as about 50mph gusting to 60mph in the
enhanced wind sector.
Especially if it all moves north a couple of hundred miles in the next 5
days of computer prognostication, rather than over northern France.

Cut-off low fading off the scene. Perhaps SST predictor figure for
tomorrow's output will still be in the 70s ,so timing pushed out further
and hinting at Leslie.
GFS,ECM,GEM going for Leslie 12 Oct affecting the UK.
GFS gives sustained 80mph wind under presumably active rather than
ex-Leslie , between Azores and Channel Approaches

On 03/10/2018 08:48, N_Cook wrote:
Cut-off low fading off the scene. Perhaps SST predictor figure for
tomorrow's output will still be in the 70s ,so timing pushed out further
and hinting at Leslie.
GFS,ECM,GEM going for Leslie 12 Oct affecting the UK.
GFS gives sustained 80mph wind under presumably active rather than
ex-Leslie , between Azores and Channel Approaches


NWW3 06Z run giving the Azores 10m sig wave heights 10 Oct from now
designated Hurricane Leslie, passing there.
GFS 06Z run giving Hurricane? Leslie 80mph sustained winds crossing UK
latitude 11 Oct.
Peak UK spring tides are 09-10 Oct

NWW3 is giving "son of Leslie" the low seemingly induced by Leslie,12m
wave heights for the west of Ireland 10 Oct.
I wonder what NOAA SST plot will show this evening, I'm assuming still a
blue blob SE of Newfoundland, for storminess south UK a week or so later.

Although Leslie will be south of our latitude , looks as though it will
be in the right place to pep up the jetsream that will then envigorate a
sequence of otherwise ordinary lows moving on the otherwise ordinary
westerly flow of them across the atlantic

On 04/10/2018 11:28, N_Cook wrote:
Although Leslie will be south of our latitude , looks as though it will
be in the right place to pep up the jetsream that will then envigorate a
sequence of otherwise ordinary lows moving on the otherwise ordinary
westerly flow of them across the atlantic




Processing latest NOAA SST anomaly plot output 04 Oct 2018, the storm
prediction pointer has gone up to 84 and timing out to centred around
about 11 Oct 2018.
A string of probably Leslie related windy lows destined to come to the
UK around then , followed by a much weakened Leslie about 13 October.

For the significant low , north of Leslie, MetO giving it 950mB and NWW3
giving it 15m sig wave heights under it, 12 Oct, but well out in the
Atlantic for influencing the south of UK.
Only this predictor thing is hinting at something , perhaps the system
10 Oct rather than the main low, to be coming closer to the UK.

Weaker but closer low of 12 Oct, MetO going for 955mB. Navgem is placing
a secondary low at the English channel entrance. I see NHC has its eyes
on yet another mid-latitude system initiating, which may have more
influence around 12 Oct, than Leslie, as a bit nearer us.