On Friday, 26 August 2016 03:05:27 UTC+2, Weatherlawyer wrote:
On Thursday, 25 August 2016 17:48:54 UTC+1, wrote:


So OK, please could you tell me, clearly & concisely, the basis by which you predict earthquakes?

Yes
So that would be a 'no' then.

No meandering ramblings about goodness knows what, no wet sheep, no flowerpot
men and definately *no* Dawlish

I could also do that but first I should like you to apologise to the group for the blustering stupidity you have shown it. Setting working conditionsconditions for a master is not the job description of a pupil.
You're oh so full of yourself, aren't you?

snip oh so much crap

Which brings us to my offer that you seem to be taking up an one I am going to honour when you meet the conditions.

You pompous arse!

Ah well, at least I tried.

Col

On Wednesday, 24 August 2016 17:59:04 UTC+1, Weatherlawyer wrote:
On Wednesday, 24 August 2016 05:34:35 UTC+1, Weatherlawyer wrote:
On Tuesday, 23 August 2016 18:26:42 UTC+1, Weatherlawyer wrote:
23 August 2016.
Dart boards and catherine wheels all leading this hot weather down the garden path where wet sheep never stray. like magnets to truth there is nothing in it for them.

Funny how the "little man" is aways in to lunch when the flower pots do come out to hoppity hop. Someone much have asked him a pertinent question about his garden. like why he hasn't caught Bill or ben and what he is looking after to All a little weeed, in my opinion. So what is about the north Atlantic that the flower people are allergic to?

As I was goin' over the weather charts this morning I saw a fiery Catherine wheel sparking and dart boarding
It came first with a delta that signalled windstorms pending as well a pair of cold fronts but one was just then ending

I looked at what was spinning to guess where it was going but is spun right through the run and for me there was no knowing
I took a look at the EFS set up in America and it confirmed an earthquake in cyclones across Canada
But who can trust the NA-EFS?
In truth there is no knowing and the delta for derechos was then not long in going
But the devil take tornadoes and the Blocking Lows tormenting. I'm watching out four horsemen and the grave-yard they're extending.

To the devil withal shelter if what I'm comprehending to the pit has come Abyssal and like locusts are ascending
Red wove war away we go red rove war away we go off to Armageddon.

But come the twenty fourth there will be no more pretending! If it's out of Vanuatu in Chile it is ending
But if it's out of Tonga to the north winds it is going already west of China see the red dots already glowing.
I wish you well Abaddon the servant of your master whatever you are doing get it done now and faster.

As seeing to believing is god's will to disaster if you will take no notice go find a better master. As forecasts are to warnings is freedom to ignoring as Venus to the day star sings halos in the morning.

So much for the earthquake and the line-storm (http://www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/reports/today.html) if anyone is still interested the volcano is next.. Don't all shout at once (you can dawlish) but please bear in mind you had your chance:
https://groups.google.com/forum/?hl=...er/AgL__YlGV9E

But why let a good thread go to waist when the fat is in your head already!

Or first as the case may be:
https://www.volcanodiscovery.com/volcano_news.html

Sinabung volcano (Sumatra, Indonesia): violent phase of glowing avalanches in progress
Thu, 25 Aug 2016, 16:59
Glowing avalanche from Sinabung today or yesterday and current seismic recording at the volcano observatory (images: PVMBG)
The volcano has been producing a series of glowing avalanches and pyroclastic flows on the ESE and SE sides during the past 24 hours, reaching lengths of 1500-3500 m

I am as usual unconcerned with the damage these things cause. I am not concerned with the behaviour of pigs either. This stuff is all in the relevant websites reserved for such news.

My reasons for posting are just to make it clear that there is no need for nor has there ever been any need for deaths from any of it. Using the readily available North Atlantic chart anyone can see for themselves the whole unfolding of the mechanics with several days advanced notice.

Time enough for any locals to make use of such warnings and apply them to what is plain in their locations and make or take the required precautions. There is very little anyone can do to make anyone one see one's alternative point of view. And it is pointless getting upset about anyone's wish to remain ignorant.

That doesn't stop it hurting though. And any callous disregard or my warnings just serves to case harden me. I can't possibly bleed for everybody. That is the job of good governance.

I see someone else has added their two pennorth to this thread. I am not looking forward to reading it. I have yet to collect the night's charts and to brood on them. If it is another Dawlish post I will be doing it with a heavy heart.

He must be the most depressed person I have had to deal with in a very long time. And I refuse to bother. If he can make a good humoured, devil may care, amusing person like me depressed what he must be doing to himself can only be imagined.

On Friday, 26 August 2016 03:19:21 UTC+1, Weatherlawyer wrote:

Another one if the signal for the 27th holds. This should be a Mag Seven but with a functioning eruption in the background it is a new one on me. It looks like we will have lost the tropical storms by then (mostly.)

The following day (the 29th) will be a revelation.

Bet you are wondering how I know that?
You won't find it with statistics!
Cluetip:
Far from it.

Statistics are for losers.

On Thursday, 25 August 2016 17:24:09 UTC+1, Weatherlawyer wrote:
On Thursday, 25 August 2016 17:02:40 UTC+1, wrote:
On Thursday, 25 August 2016 16:54:20 UTC+2, wrote:


No. He predicted a mag 7 on the 24th. Mag 7's occur, on average and somewhere in the world, about one a month, so if he does it often enough, he's bound to get one right. This is, I think, the third time he's had a go in the last month, though the others were far less specific and shrouded, as you say, in mumbo-jumbo. No Mag 7 on Aug 24th and of the forecasts I've been able to disentangle from the deliberate curtains of gobbledygook, he's got exactly *one correct out of 17* that I've monitored. Even that one was generous, as I couldn't quite tell if it was a forecast, or not (usual).

Thing is despite the gobbldegook it is clear that a great deal of time and effort goes into this, he has a blog too. He's been at it since at least 1998(when I joined usw) so he obviously thinks he's onto something. If only the presentation was better, and he wouldn't become so defensive when asked about his ideas, people might be able to understand what he is talking about rather than simply dismissing him as a 'nutter'.

Perhaps you should try asking him and being a little more circumspect how you do so. OTOH if you had the brains you were born with you would appreciate that.

1/18 = idiot.

On Friday, 26 August 2016 03:19:21 UTC+1, Weatherlawyer wrote:

'Dawlish'

Little old me under the idiot's skin, as always. He lives his life by me these days. I'm with him when he wakes and when he dreams. Utterly obsessed. Just because someone took the time to monitor his forecasts and showed them to be lunacy.

On Friday, 26 August 2016 16:09:04 UTC+1, Weatherlawyer wrote:
On Friday, 26 August 2016 03:19:21 UTC+1, Weatherlawyer wrote:

Another one if the signal for the 27th holds. This should be a Mag Seven but with a functioning eruption in the background it is a new one on me. It looks like we will have lost the tropical storms by then (mostly.)

The following day (the 29th) will be a revelation.

Bet you are wondering how I know that?
You won't find it with statistics!
Cluetip:
Far from it.

Statistics are for losers.

2016/08/29 04:29 0.04 S. 17.83 W. M 7.1. North of Ascension Island But you were waiting for this were you not?

So there we are.

Some of us have followed the full thread and some of us relied on stooooooooopid for out information. What you take form this is what you always wanted. Big deal. This stuff is easy and the thing is that it always has been. Nobody ever had to be taken by surprise by any of the ways that god designed this system. Not in the last 60 centuries, at least.

On Monday, 29 August 2016 06:56:51 UTC+1, Weatherlawyer wrote:
On Friday, 26 August 2016 16:09:04 UTC+1, Weatherlawyer wrote:
On Friday, 26 August 2016 03:19:21 UTC+1, Weatherlawyer wrote:

Another one if the signal for the 27th holds. This should be a Mag Seven but with a functioning eruption in the background it is a new one on me. It looks like we will have lost the tropical storms by then (mostly.)

The following day (the 29th) will be a revelation.

Bet you are wondering how I know that?
You won't find it with statistics!
Cluetip:
Far from it.

Statistics are for losers.

2016/08/29 04:29 0.04 S. 17.83 W. M 7.1. North of Ascension Island But you were waiting for this were you not?

So there we are.

Some of us have followed the full thread and some of us relied on stooooooooopid for out information. What you take form this is what you always wanted. Big deal. This stuff is easy and the thing is that it always has been. Nobody ever had to be taken by surprise by any of the ways that god designed this system. Not in the last 60 centuries, at least.

Yes. Didn't happen on the 27th, did it, after you'd said, several times, that it would? On that date, very clearly as everything was apparently lined up for it. There is an earthquake of this magnitude on average 13 times per year and this is the second time, at least, (I think it is actually more), that you've tried to predict this in the last month.

All you have done is shown, quite clearly, that you cannot predict earthquakes, (or anything else, for that matter) by your 'methods'.

On the plus side, no-one else can predict earthquakes with any accuracy, so welcome to the same boat as the rest of science.

PS Why am I even talking about this on a weather newsgroup?

PPS 1/18 = idiot.

On Monday, 29 August 2016 08:29:05 UTC+1, wrote:
On Monday, 29 August 2016 06:56:51 UTC+1, Weatherlawyer wrote:
On Friday, 26 August 2016 16:09:04 UTC+1, Weatherlawyer wrote:
On Friday, 26 August 2016 03:19:21 UTC+1, Weatherlawyer wrote:

Another one if the signal for the 27th holds. This should be a Mag Seven but with a functioning eruption in the background it is a new one on me.. It looks like we will have lost the tropical storms by then (mostly.)

The following day (the 29th) will be a revelation.

Bet you are wondering how I know that?
You won't find it with statistics!
Cluetip:
Far from it.

Statistics are for losers.

2016/08/29 04:29 0.04 S. 17.83 W. M 7.1. North of Ascension Island But you were waiting for this were you not?

So there we are.

Some of us have followed the full thread and some of us relied on stooooooooopid for out information. What you take form this is what you always wanted. Big deal. This stuff is easy and the thing is that it always has been. Nobody ever had to be taken by surprise by any of the ways that god designed this system. Not in the last 60 centuries, at least.

Yes. Didn't happen on the 27th, did it, after you'd said, several times, that it would? On that date, very clearly as everything was apparently lined up for it. There is an earthquake of this magnitude on average 13 times per year and this is the second time, at least, (I think it is actually more), that you've tried to predict this in the last month.

All you have done is shown, quite clearly, that you cannot predict earthquakes, (or anything else, for that matter) by your 'methods'.

On the plus side, no-one else can predict earthquakes with any accuracy, so welcome to the same boat as the rest of science.

PS Why am I even talking about this on a weather newsgroup?

PPS 1/18 = idiot.

On Monday, 29 August 2016 17:58:35 UTC+1, Weatherlawyer wrote:
On Monday, 29 August 2016 08:29:05 UTC+1, wrote:
On Monday, 29 August 2016 06:56:51 UTC+1, Weatherlawyer wrote:
On Friday, 26 August 2016 16:09:04 UTC+1, Weatherlawyer wrote:
On Friday, 26 August 2016 03:19:21 UTC+1, Weatherlawyer wrote:

Another one if the signal for the 27th holds. This should be a Mag Seven but with a functioning eruption in the background it is a new one on me. It looks like we will have lost the tropical storms by then (mostly.)

The following day (the 29th) will be a revelation.

Bet you are wondering how I know that?
You won't find it with statistics!
Cluetip:
Far from it.

Statistics are for losers.

2016/08/29 04:29 0.04 S. 17.83 W. M 7.1. North of Ascension Island But you were waiting for this were you not?

So there we are.

Some of us have followed the full thread and some of us relied on stooooooooopid for out information. What you take form this is what you always wanted. Big deal. This stuff is easy and the thing is that it always has been. Nobody ever had to be taken by surprise by any of the ways that god designed this system. Not in the last 60 centuries, at least.

Yes. Didn't happen on the 27th, did it, after you'd said, several times, that it would? On that date, very clearly as everything was apparently lined up for it. There is an earthquake of this magnitude on average 13 times per year and this is the second time, at least, (I think it is actually more), that you've tried to predict this in the last month.

All you have done is shown, quite clearly, that you cannot predict earthquakes, (or anything else, for that matter) by your 'methods'.

On the plus side, no-one else can predict earthquakes with any accuracy, so welcome to the same boat as the rest of science.

PS Why am I even talking about this on a weather newsgroup?

PPS 1/18 = idiot.

Yes, That's typical of your response when your views are challenged. I'll repeat, as this forecast was clearly incorrect, but it is beyond you to admit it, as it always is and instead, you resort to abuse, your only other way out. You always do:

'Didn't happen on the 27th, did it, after you'd said, several times, that it would? On that date, very clearly as everything was apparently lined up for it. There is an earthquake of this magnitude on average 13 times per year and this is the second time, at least, (I think it is actually more), that you've tried to predict this in the last month.

All you have done is shown, quite clearly, that you cannot predict earthquakes, (or anything else, for that matter) by your 'methods'.

On the plus side, no-one else can predict earthquakes with any accuracy, so welcome to the same boat as the rest of science. '

On Tuesday, 30 August 2016 13:16:17 UTC+1, wrote:
On Monday, 29 August 2016 17:58:35 UTC+1, Weatherlawyer wrote:
On Monday, 29 August 2016 08:29:05 UTC+1, wrote:
On Monday, 29 August 2016 06:56:51 UTC+1, Weatherlawyer wrote:
On Friday, 26 August 2016 16:09:04 UTC+1, Weatherlawyer wrote:
On Friday, 26 August 2016 03:19:21 UTC+1, Weatherlawyer wrote:

Another one if the signal for the 27th holds. This should be a Mag Seven but with a functioning eruption in the background it is a new one on me. It looks like we will have lost the tropical storms by then (mostly.)

The following day (the 29th) will be a revelation.

Bet you are wondering how I know that?
You won't find it with statistics!
Cluetip:
Far from it.

Statistics are for losers.

2016/08/29 04:29 0.04 S. 17.83 W. M 7.1. North of Ascension Island But you were waiting for this were you not?

So there we are.

Some of us have followed the full thread and some of us relied on stooooooooopid for out information. What you take form this is what you always wanted. Big deal. This stuff is easy and the thing is that it always has been. Nobody ever had to be taken by surprise by any of the ways that god designed this system. Not in the last 60 centuries, at least.

Yes. Didn't happen on the 27th, did it, after you'd said, several times, that it would? On that date, very clearly as everything was apparently lined up for it. There is an earthquake of this magnitude on average 13 times per year and this is the second time, at least, (I think it is actually more), that you've tried to predict this in the last month.

All you have done is shown, quite clearly, that you cannot predict earthquakes, (or anything else, for that matter) by your 'methods'.

On the plus side, no-one else can predict earthquakes with any accuracy, so welcome to the same boat as the rest of science.

PS Why am I even talking about this on a weather newsgroup?

PPS 1/18 = idiot.

Yes, That's typical of your response when your views are challenged. I'll repeat, as this forecast was clearly incorrect, but it is beyond you to admit it, as it always is and instead, you resort to abuse, your only other way out. You always do:

'Didn't happen on the 27th, did it, after you'd said, several times, that it would? On that date, very clearly as everything was apparently lined up for it. There is an earthquake of this magnitude on average 13 times per year and this is the second time, at least, (I think it is actually more), that you've tried to predict this in the last month.

All you have done is shown, quite clearly, that you cannot predict earthquakes, (or anything else, for that matter) by your 'methods'.

On the plus side, no-one else can predict earthquakes with any accuracy, so welcome to the same boat as the rest of science. '

And then you fail miserably to guess this one. oh well. Maybe you couldn't see the cirrus in your back garden because your blinds were drawn? Who knows.

7.1 off NZ.