On Friday, March 21, 2014 10:14:03 AM UTC, John Hall wrote:
In article ,

exmetman writes:

We all can interpret what the various models forecast, but we

have to remember that the forecast comes from the model and not

us. Without NWP there would be no discussion at all about whats

happening at T+24 let alone T+240, and certainly no 'my' forecast -

we would be totally lost and that applies to both the amateurs

pontificating on this newsgroup right down to the professionals at

the Metoffice.

snip



I think that's something of an exaggeration. It's true for T+240, of

course, and largely true for T+120. But at T+24 there were forecasts

before NWP and mostly those by the MO were right. I've seen it said that

forecasts then for T+48 were correct about as often as those for T+120

are now.

--

John Hall "He crams with cans of poisoned meat

The subjects of the King,

And when they die by thousands G.K.Chesterton:

Why, he laughs like anything." from "Song Against Grocers"

It's the reference to "amateurs" that gives a great deal away.........

On Friday, 21 March 2014 10:53:03 UTC, Dawlish wrote:

It's the reference to "amateurs" that gives a great deal away.........

Too polite to say "**** for brains" for you, was he, **** for brains?