One thing worth remembering is that statistically the last week of
January and the first week of February are the coldest two weeks of
the UK winter. Another words if you draw a temperature graph of the
average day to day temperatures over a number of years. Combine that
fact with a potential cold spell and bob's your uncle.


Keith (Southend)

***********************
Weather Home & Abroad
http://www.southendweather.net

On Fri, 14 Jan 2005 19:55:35 -0000, "Gavin Staples"
wrote:


"Ron Button" wrote in message
...
This the second time GFS have shown a polar northerly for the end of next
week ,
All pretty useless really unless the 5 prediction rule can be broken.....


http://wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn2283.html


RonB


In the light of we have had so far this winter. I believe it when I see
it:-) Don't get me wrong Ron, I don't mean to be sarcastic at all, but this
winter is turning out to be way out of all the forecasts made.

Gavin.

Btw, the latest GFS has weakened any such northerly to a day now :-(

Lets face it, Paul & Will thinks it's all over, it is now !

Keith (Southend)

***********************
Weather Home & Abroad
http://www.southendweather.net

On Fri, 14 Jan 2005 20:08:23 +0000, "Keith (Southend)"
wrote:

One thing worth remembering is that statistically the last week of
January and the first week of February are the coldest two weeks of
the UK winter. Another words if you draw a temperature graph of the
average day to day temperatures over a number of years. Combine that
fact with a potential cold spell and bob's your uncle.


Keith (Southend)

***********************
Weather Home & Abroad
http://www.southendweather.net

On Fri, 14 Jan 2005 19:55:35 -0000, "Gavin Staples"
wrote:


"Ron Button" wrote in message
...
This the second time GFS have shown a polar northerly for the end of next
week ,
All pretty useless really unless the 5 prediction rule can be broken.....


http://wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn2283.html


RonB


In the light of we have had so far this winter. I believe it when I see
it:-) Don't get me wrong Ron, I don't mean to be sarcastic at all, but this
winter is turning out to be way out of all the forecasts made.

Gavin.

Brian Gaze complete U turn with regard to winter forecast

This isn't a dig actually, it's the right thing to do, rather than a
gradual back-down or trying to find some excuse or other

Still too early to write Winter off completely i feel

Dodgy long range charts can overdo mild as well as cold you know

If it continues mild, then some southern parts of the Uk would have had
a completely snow-less winter, but hey sign of the times

The winters of 87/88 88/89 89/90 were almost completely snowless. Either
side of these were two very good snowy spells, e.g. January 1987 and
February 1991.

Shaun Pudwell.


"BlueLightning" wrote in message
oups.com...
Brian Gaze complete U turn with regard to winter forecast

This isn't a dig actually, it's the right thing to do, rather than a
gradual back-down or trying to find some excuse or other

Still too early to write Winter off completely i feel

Dodgy long range charts can overdo mild as well as cold you know

If it continues mild, then some southern parts of the Uk would have had
a completely snow-less winter, but hey sign of the times