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uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) (uk.sci.weather) For the discussion of daily weather events, chiefly affecting the UK and adjacent parts of Europe, both past and predicted. The discussion is open to all, but contributions on a practical scientific level are encouraged. |
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#11
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On Jan 28, 1:40*pm, Weatherlawyer wrote:
On Jan 25, 3:13*pm, Weatherlawyer wrote: On Jan 24, 1:55*pm, wrote: what happened: above average EQ on Pacific plates circumferences then continued uplift in thw USA West.We would expect another Baja quake. less than global. the UK quake is a continuation of the tranverse quake series across USA ? Look at NOAA 'FORECAST' then maps...quakes follow the passage of pulses from polar region to Gulf of Mexico I'm expecting a lage 5 or small 6 for today. There is a large cyclone developing in the North Atlantic. If it's with a new storm in the tropics (an mid-ocean heat island effect) there will be more than a small 6 to signal it. But it just looks like it is Gary developing into a Cat 2 or 3. No idea what sizes will be involved with that. So that was the big deal with tropical storms. 2013/01/27 5.2 M. * RYUKYU ISLANDS, JAPAN 5.2 M. * SOUTHERN EAST PACIFIC RISE 5.1 M. * NEAR THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN 5.1 M. * SOUTHERN EAST PACIFIC RISE 5.7 M. * TONGA 5.0 M. * SOUTHERN SUMATRA, INDONESIA Ah well, you can't forecast any more events than there are events to schedule. Update time = Fri Feb 1 14:50:23 UTC 2013 MAG UTC DATE-TIME y/m/d h:m:s LAT deg LON deg DEPTH km Region 6.0 2013/02/01 05:36:41 -11.090 165.538 9.4 SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS 5.9 2013/02/01 02:17:27 -6.951 147.667 34.8 EASTERN NEW GUINEA REG, PAPUA NEW GUINEA 5.1 2013/02/01 00:18:08 -11.034 165.334 10.7 SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 6.0 2013/01/31 09:53:44 55.584 -134.745 9.7 SOUTHEASTERN ALASKA 5.1 2013/01/31 06:42:11 -10.713 166.386 35.2 SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS 5.4 2013/01/31 05:18:15 -10.567 166.446 45.7 SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS 5.0 2013/01/31 05:16:58 -10.502 166.201 25.0 SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS 5.6 2013/01/31 04:31:33 -10.934 165.418 32.9 SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS 5.0 2013/01/31 04:10:46 -4.613 102.515 51.7 SOUTHERN SUMATRA, INDONESIA 5.6 2013/01/31 03:58:00 -10.680 166.391 35.1 SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS 6.2 2013/01/31 03:33:44 -10.628 166.382 9.2 SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 6.0 2013/01/30 23:03:45 -10.518 166.486 10.0 SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS 6.8 2013/01/30 20:15:43 -28.180 -70.784 42.7 ATACAMA, CHILE 5.0 2013/01/30 12:57:51 10.422 126.922 35.0 PHILIPPINE ISLANDS REGION 5.2 2013/01/30 09:27:06 32.847 94.706 37.1 XIZANG-QINGHAI BORDER REGION 5.3 2013/01/30 03:14:28 43.566 -127.598 10.2 OFF THE COAST OF OREGON 5.4 2013/01/30 02:32:20 10.558 126.684 46.0 PHILIPPINE ISLANDS REGION Look what happened he http://www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/reports/130130_rpts.html 5.1 2013/01/29 19:30:33 -11.206 165.355 24.7 SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS And he http://www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/reports/130129_rpts.html 6.0 2013/01/28 16:38:54 42.598 79.699 15.0 EASTERN KAZAKHSTAN -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 5.2 2013/01/27 20:57:35 27.214 128.362 57.9 RYUKYU ISLANDS, JAPAN 5.2 2013/01/27 19:32:41 -34.733 -108.974 14.8 SOUTHERN EAST PACIFIC RISE 5.1 2013/01/27 18:41:49 36.526 140.534 70.9 NEAR THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN 5.1 2013/01/27 13:50:37 -35.163 -108.522 10.0 SOUTHERN EAST PACIFIC RISE 5.7 2013/01/27 09:59:27 -16.105 -173.240 8.6 TONGA 5.0 2013/01/27 04:05:42 -5.170 102.940 58.1 SOUTHERN SUMATRA, INDONESIA -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 5.0 2013/01/26 17:31:13 5.486 127.048 119.7 PHILIPPINE ISLANDS REGION So I suppose there must have been something going on here? Nothing tornadic in the USA though. 27 days of charts on the site I was using in case anyone wants to bother checking on me. (Back to the 5th of January at the time of writing.) I wonder if I had been paying attention to the NorthAtlantic charts I would have caught those tornadoes coming. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 5.3 2013/01/25 23:37:02 -23.654 43.553 14.0 MADAGASCAR 5.1 2013/01/25 19:53:29 -24.141 -65.307 41.9 JUJUY, ARGENTINA Blast it all to hell it was as clear as a bell: http://www.woksat.info/etcvaasxx/asxx13012700.html I was too taken with the multiple Lows it was displaying to notice that it was slipping between two Highs: http://www.woksat.info/etcvaasxx/asxx13012800.html http://www.woksat.info/etcvaasxx/asxx13013000.html Normal service will be reusmed as soon as possible: As stated (in another thread on uk.sci.weather) the production of triple or at least multiple Low systems tends to go on to intrusive Highs as is the case with events on t+36 Saturady (the weather (occluded fronts) breaking from midnight tonight.) According to the BOM southern hemisphere run the Madagascar storm will become extratropical on Wednesday and run into a previous flux of precipitation around 80 degrees east reducing the laminar flow around Antarctica temporarily. That should be a largish quake but Wednesday is a long way off. And noon Thursaday when it goes bang, a lot further. Lots of luck for those who are going to need it. |
#12
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On Feb 1, 4:11*pm, Weatherlawyer wrote:
On Jan 28, 1:40*pm, Weatherlawyer wrote: On Jan 25, 3:13*pm, Weatherlawyer wrote: On Jan 24, 1:55*pm, wrote: what happened: above average EQ on Pacific plates circumferences then continued uplift in thw USA West.We would expect another Baja quake. less than global. the UK quake is a continuation of the tranverse quake series across USA ? Look at NOAA 'FORECAST' then maps...quakes follow the passage of pulses from polar region to Gulf of Mexico I'm expecting a lage 5 or small 6 for today. There is a large cyclone developing in the North Atlantic. If it's with a new storm in the tropics (an mid-ocean heat island effect) there will be more than a small 6 to signal it. But it just looks like it is Gary developing into a Cat 2 or 3. No idea what sizes will be involved with that. So that was the big deal with tropical storms. 2013/01/27 5.2 M. * RYUKYU ISLANDS, JAPAN 5.2 M. * SOUTHERN EAST PACIFIC RISE 5.1 M. * NEAR THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN 5.1 M. * SOUTHERN EAST PACIFIC RISE 5.7 M. * TONGA 5.0 M. * SOUTHERN SUMATRA, INDONESIA Ah well, you can't forecast any more events than there are events to schedule. Update time = Fri Feb 1 14:50:23 UTC 2013 * MAG *UTC DATE-TIME y/m/d h:m:s *LAT deg *LON deg *DEPTH km * Region 6.0 * 2013/02/01 05:36:41 * -11.090 * *165.538 *9.4 * SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS 5.9 * 2013/02/01 02:17:27 * *-6.951 * *147.667 *34.8 * EASTERN NEW GUINEA REG, PAPUA NEW GUINEA 5.1 * 2013/02/01 00:18:08 * -11.034 * *165.334 *10.7 * SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS ---------------------------------------------------------------------------*----- 6.0 * 2013/01/31 09:53:44 * *55.584 * -134.745 *9.7 * SOUTHEASTERN ALASKA 5.1 * 2013/01/31 06:42:11 * -10.713 * *166.386 *35.2 * SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS 5.4 * 2013/01/31 05:18:15 * -10.567 * *166.446 *45.7 * SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS 5.0 * 2013/01/31 05:16:58 * -10.502 * *166.201 *25.0 * SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS 5.6 * 2013/01/31 04:31:33 * -10.934 * *165.418 *32.9 * SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS 5.0 * 2013/01/31 04:10:46 * *-4.613 * *102.515 *51.7 * SOUTHERN SUMATRA, INDONESIA 5.6 * 2013/01/31 03:58:00 * -10.680 * *166.391 *35.1 * SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS 6.2 * 2013/01/31 03:33:44 * -10.628 * *166.382 *9.2 * SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS ---------------------------------------------------------------------------*----- 6.0 * 2013/01/30 23:03:45 * -10.518 * *166.486 *10.0 * SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS 6.8 * 2013/01/30 20:15:43 * -28.180 * *-70.784 *42.7 * ATACAMA, CHILE 5.0 * 2013/01/30 12:57:51 * *10.422 * *126.922 *35.0 * PHILIPPINE ISLANDS REGION 5.2 * 2013/01/30 09:27:06 * *32.847 * *94.706 *37.1 * XIZANG-QINGHAI BORDER REGION 5.3 * 2013/01/30 03:14:28 * *43.566 * -127.598 *10.2 * OFF THE COAST OF OREGON 5.4 * 2013/01/30 02:32:20 * *10.558 * *126.684 *46.0 * PHILIPPINE ISLANDS REGION Look what happened he http://www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/reports/130130_rpts.html 5.1 * 2013/01/29 19:30:33 * -11.206 * *165.355 *24.7 * SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS And he http://www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/reports/130129_rpts.html 6.0 * 2013/01/28 16:38:54 * *42.598 * *79.699 *15.0 * EASTERN KAZAKHSTAN ---------------------------------------------------------------------------*----- 5.2 * 2013/01/27 20:57:35 * *27.214 * *128.362 *57.9 * RYUKYU ISLANDS, JAPAN 5.2 * 2013/01/27 19:32:41 * -34.733 * -108.974 *14.8 * SOUTHERN EAST PACIFIC RISE 5.1 * 2013/01/27 18:41:49 * *36.526 * *140.534 *70.9 * NEAR THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN 5.1 * 2013/01/27 13:50:37 * -35.163 * -108.522 *10.0 * SOUTHERN EAST PACIFIC RISE 5.7 * 2013/01/27 09:59:27 * -16.105 * -173.240 *8.6 * TONGA 5.0 * 2013/01/27 04:05:42 * *-5.170 * *102.940 *58.1 * SOUTHERN SUMATRA, INDONESIA ---------------------------------------------------------------------------*----- 5.0 * 2013/01/26 17:31:13 * *5.486 * *127.048 *119.7 * PHILIPPINE ISLANDS REGION So I suppose there must have been something going on here? Nothing tornadic in the USA though. 27 days of charts on the site I was using in case anyone wants to bother checking on me. (Back to the 5th of January at the time of writing.) I wonder if I had been paying attention to the NorthAtlantic charts I would have caught those tornadoes coming. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------*----- 5.3 * 2013/01/25 23:37:02 * -23.654 * *43.553 *14.0 * MADAGASCAR 5.1 * 2013/01/25 19:53:29 * -24.141 * *-65.307 *41.9 * JUJUY, ARGENTINA Blast it all to hell it was as clear as a bell: http://www.woksat.info/etcvaasxx/asxx13012700.html I was too taken with the multiple Lows it was displaying to notice that it was slipping between two Highs: http://www.woksat.info/etcvaasxx/asxx13012800.html http://www.woksat.info/etcvaasxx/asxx13013000.html Normal service will be reusmed as soon as possible: As stated (in another thread on uk.sci.weather) the production of triple or at least multiple Low systems tends to go on to intrusive Highs as is the case with events on t+36 Saturady (the weather (occluded fronts) breaking from midnight tonight.) According to the BOM southern hemisphere run the Madagascar storm will become extratropical on Wednesday and run into a previous flux of precipitation around 80 degrees east reducing the laminar flow around Antarctica temporarily. That should be a largish quake but Wednesday is a long way off. And noon Thursaday when it goes bang, a lot further. Lots of luck for those who are going to need it.- Hide quoted text - Meanwhile the small stuff will be interesting for the west of Europe. More going on the the Reykjanes Ridge region on t+60 I think: http://www.jonfr.com/volcano/?cat=23 (Next Sunday that is in case you were wondering.) Someone tell Bjorn Sorensen to get his snow scraper sharpened. |
#13
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I don't know what is going to happen in the next few days. A very deep
Low on the N American east coast looks like displacing the Greenlanf High. When it does, the not so deep Low in the Alaskan Gulf will deepen. All the while they are separated by a flaccid High. Nothing really low runs betyween the Highs in the North Atlantic. But we are experiencing a dearth of medium sized quakes since Sunday night. Wednesday looks interesting with a series of quakes kicking off the next tropical storm. (That will be posted on Midnight Thursday at the latest I imagine.) There is nothing on the JTWC pages but the death of Felleng. -so you herd heard hear first (a gain.) |
#14
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On Feb 4, 4:55*pm, Weatherlawyer wrote:
I don't know what is going to happen in the next few days. Evidently the absence of tropical storms ( which I forecast correctly) indicates an increase in medium sized quakes. (Not forecast but I saw something was odd.) A very deep Low on the N American east coast looks like displacing the Greenland High. When it does, the not so deep Low in the Alaskan Gulf will deepen. All the while they are separated by a flaccid High. Nothing really low runs betyween the Highs in the North Atlantic. But we are experiencing a dearth of medium sized quakes since Sunday night. Wednesday looks interesting with a series of quakes kicking off the next tropical storm. (That will be posted on Midnight Thursday at the latest I imagine.) 8.0 2013/02/06 01:12:27 -10.738 165.138 28.7 SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS Any more interesting than a Magnitude 8 is downright nasty. Now I regret not looking at any charts yesterday. But I suppose you can't really acll any of this a dearth: Update time = Wed Feb 6 15:35:19 UTC 2013 5.3 2013/02/06 14:20:58 -10.969 165.434 10.0 SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS 6.0 2013/02/06 13:54:58 -10.838 166.451 31.5 SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS 5.3 2013/02/06 13:50:33 -10.533 166.385 10.0 SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS 5.5 2013/02/06 12:44:29 -11.582 165.499 9.8 SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS 5.9 2013/02/06 11:53:54 -11.255 165.734 9.9 SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS 5.1 2013/02/06 11:24:03 -10.798 164.580 9.9 SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS REGION 5.6 2013/02/06 11:03:46 -10.730 165.137 9.8 SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS 5.7 2013/02/06 10:33:18 -10.636 164.808 9.9 SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS REGION 5.5 2013/02/06 10:20:34 -10.870 165.272 10.0 SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS 5.3 2013/02/06 10:12:30 -11.115 165.379 10.0 SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS 5.2 2013/02/06 09:24:00 -10.718 164.228 9.6 SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS REGION 5.0 2013/02/06 08:45:05 -11.670 165.468 10.3 SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS 5.0 2013/02/06 08:04:36 -15.988 -172.223 34.0 SAMOA ISLANDS REGION 5.0 2013/02/06 07:23:12 -10.901 165.356 10.1 SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS 5.3 2013/02/06 07:13:48 -10.637 165.305 10.1 SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS 5.6 2013/02/06 06:53:20 -10.635 164.967 10.0 SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS REGION 6.3 2013/02/06 06:35:20 -10.784 164.512 10.1 SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS REGION 5.2 2013/02/06 06:09:37 -11.071 164.811 10.0 SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS REGION 5.2 2013/02/06 06:02:37 -10.780 164.571 10.0 SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS REGION 5.2 2013/02/06 05:48:54 -11.066 164.756 10.3 SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS REGION 5.0 2013/02/06 05:35:34 -10.745 165.326 15.0 SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS 5.1 2013/02/06 05:30:19 -10.682 164.272 9.8 SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS REGION 5.1 2013/02/06 05:24:31 -11.433 165.367 15.1 SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS 5.3 2013/02/06 05:16:27 -10.426 166.498 11.9 SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS 5.2 2013/02/06 05:13:49 -10.620 166.298 15.1 SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS 5.2 2013/02/06 05:01:51 -11.408 165.057 9.9 SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS 5.0 2013/02/06 04:56:19 -11.302 165.130 16.0 SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS 5.1 2013/02/06 04:34:51 -11.396 164.847 35.2 SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS REGION 5.2 2013/02/06 04:20:55 -10.910 165.571 34.9 SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS 5.0 2013/02/06 04:20:04 -10.883 165.405 10.1 SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS 5.0 2013/02/06 04:16:30 -11.092 164.904 10.7 SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS REGION 5.6 2013/02/06 03:49:47 -10.893 165.474 18.3 SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS 5.3 2013/02/06 03:45:10 -10.669 165.312 33.4 SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS 5.2 2013/02/06 03:38:55 -10.890 165.268 12.1 SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS 5.3 2013/02/06 03:28:55 -11.053 165.446 22.8 SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS 5.1 2013/02/06 03:25:19 -11.130 165.806 9.9 SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS 5.3 2013/02/06 03:19:06 -10.896 165.216 14.9 SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS 5.2 2013/02/06 03:11:53 -10.935 165.292 36.8 SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS 5.1 2013/02/06 03:06:34 -11.513 165.326 10.0 SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS 5.6 2013/02/06 03:01:03 -11.032 165.106 20.4 SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS 5.5 2013/02/06 02:58:22 -10.663 165.128 16.9 SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS 5.1 2013/02/06 02:57:45 -10.755 165.026 38.1 SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS 5.6 2013/02/06 02:30:49 -10.822 164.980 32.5 SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS REGION 5.3 2013/02/06 02:23:12 -10.963 165.402 28.3 SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS 5.2 2013/02/06 02:18:15 -11.468 165.614 34.4 SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS 5.2 2013/02/06 02:06:21 -10.597 165.363 10.0 SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS 6.6 2013/02/06 01:54:15 -10.514 165.733 10.2 SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS 5.7 2013/02/06 01:48:43 -11.628 165.937 10.0 SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS 5.6 2013/02/06 01:33:37 -10.922 165.085 10.0 SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS 6.4 2013/02/06 01:23:20 -11.232 164.921 10.1 SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS REGION 5.6 2013/02/06 01:22:13 -11.366 165.768 10.1 SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS 8.0 2013/02/06 01:12:27 -10.738 165.138 28.7 SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS 5.3 2013/02/06 00:46:01 -10.871 165.029 9.5 SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS 6.3 2013/02/06 00:07:23 -10.858 165.206 10.0 SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS 5.1 2013/02/05 19:39:39 -10.753 164.986 46.0 SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS REGION 5.0 2013/02/05 19:09:38 -62.305 155.073 32.8 BALLENY ISLANDS REGION 5.0 2013/02/05 16:15:32 28.802 128.595 57.3 RYUKYU ISLANDS, JAPAN 5.0 2013/02/05 15:40:09 -56.138 -25.231 48.9 SOUTH SANDWICH ISLANDS REGION 5.0 2013/02/05 03:24:52 45.519 151.286 46.9 KURIL ISLANDS 5.1 2013/02/03 23:04:18 29.330 141.802 48.8 IZU ISLANDS, JAPAN REGION 5.3 2013/02/03 22:56:12 29.312 142.014 34.8 IZU ISLANDS, JAPAN REGION 5.0 2013/02/03 11:36:40 -5.004 153.218 10.0 NEW IRELAND REGION, PAPUA NEW GUINEA 5.4 2013/02/03 11:14:57 -5.074 153.069 23.2 NEW IRELAND REGION, PAPUA NEW GUINEA 5.1 2013/02/03 03:57:33 -10.876 165.357 10.0 SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS 5.1 2013/02/03 02:29:13 -10.963 165.333 9.9 SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS 5.1 2013/02/02 21:20:35 -11.132 165.322 10.0 SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS 5.1 2013/02/02 19:24:35 -11.219 165.201 29.5 SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS 6.0 2013/02/02 18:58:07 -10.922 165.246 7.5 SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS 5.2 2013/02/02 18:54:31 -10.970 165.333 31.1 SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS 5.5 2013/02/02 18:31:38 29.414 141.938 50.8 IZU ISLANDS, JAPAN REGION 6.9 2013/02/02 14:17:35 42.812 143.078 103.1 HOKKAIDO, JAPAN REGION 5.6 2013/02/02 04:16:20 -11.086 165.174 28.6 SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS 5.1 2013/02/02 03:39:51 23.735 121.989 22.5 TAIWAN 5.1 2013/02/02 01:19:36 -6.960 105.401 38.7 SUNDA STRAIT, INDONESIA 5.0 2013/02/02 01:15:50 -11.146 165.387 26.9 SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS 6.4 2013/02/01 22:18:35 -11.063 165.326 22.0 SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS 6.3 2013/02/01 22:16:36 -10.926 165.450 19.9 SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS 6.0 2013/02/01 05:36:41 -11.090 165.538 9.4 SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS 5.9 2013/02/01 02:17:27 -6.951 147.667 34.8 EASTERN NEW GUINEA REG, PAPUA NEW GUINEA 5.1 2013/02/01 00:18:08 -11.034 165.334 10.7 SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS 6.0 2013/01/31 09:53:44 55.584 -134.745 9.7 SOUTHEASTERN ALASKA 5.1 2013/01/31 06:42:11 -10.713 166.386 35.2 SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS 5.4 2013/01/31 05:18:15 -10.567 166.446 45.7 SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS 5.0 2013/01/31 05:16:58 -10.502 166.201 25.0 SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS 5.6 2013/01/31 04:31:33 -10.934 165.418 32.9 SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS 5.0 2013/01/31 04:10:46 -4.613 102.515 51.7 SOUTHERN SUMATRA, INDONESIA 5.6 2013/01/31 03:58:00 -10.680 166.391 35.1 SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS 6.2 2013/01/31 03:33:44 -10.628 166.382 9.2 SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS 6.0 2013/01/30 23:03:45 -10.518 166.486 10.0 SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS 6.8 2013/01/30 20:15:43 -28.180 -70.784 42.7 ATACAMA, CHILE How odd was this on the 4th (forecasting the 5th) http://www.weatheroffice.gc.ca/ensem.../cartes_e.html |
#15
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On Feb 6, 4:38*pm, Weatherlawyer wrote:
Evidently the absence of tropical storms indicates an increase in medium sized quakes. A very deep Low on the N American east coast looks like displacing the Greenland High. When it does, the not so deep Low in the Alaskan Gulf will deepen. All the while they are separated by a flaccid High. Wednesday looks interesting with a series of quakes kicking off the next tropical storm. (That will be posted on Midnight Thursday at the latest I imagine.) 8.0 * 2013/02/06 01:12:27 * -10.738 * *165.138 *28.7 * SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS Going bt the precipitation on the BOM chart and a new idea about the interaction of weather an seimicity, late Saturday should be revealing -assuming that activity at Santa Cruz Islands has diminished. (OTOH if seismic activity has not decreased significantly, things should be even more revealing.) Three Lows on he http://www.weatheroffice.gc.ca/ensem.../cartes_e.html (Just!) Not deep ones this time. But Santa Cruz is in the Fijian Triangle. So almost anything can happen with such a sequence. Multiple parallel fronts on the North Atlantic Charts virtually continuously from this afternoon at the time of writin (7 February 2013.) These end with a thundering bump on T+60 and by T+72 becom twin divergent Lows off Greenland once mre leading to a mid Atlntic High. (So more cold easterlies, RonB please note. Tie your granny to her mattress this time. Ignoe the smell of vitamin B and Vicks. You'll feel a lot better about it.) |
#16
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On Feb 7, 3:11*pm, Weatherlawyer wrote:
On Feb 6, 4:38*pm, Weatherlawyer wrote: Evidently the absence of tropical storms indicates an increase in medium sized quakes. A very deep Low on the N American east coast looks like displacing the Greenland High. When it does, the not so deep Low in the Alaskan Gulf will deepen. All the while they are separated by a flaccid High. Wednesday looks interesting with a series of quakes kicking off the next tropical storm. (That will be posted on Midnight Thursday at the latest I imagine.) 8.0 * 2013/02/06 01:12:27 * -10.738 * *165.138 *28.7 * SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS Going bt the precipitation on the BOM chart and a new idea about the interaction of weather an seimicity, late Saturday should be revealing -assuming that activity at Santa Cruz Islands has diminished. (OTOH if seismic activity has not decreased significantly, things should be even more revealing.) Three Lows on hehttp://www.weatheroffice.gc.ca/ensem.../cartes_e.html (Just!) Not deep ones this time. But Santa Cruz is in the Fijian Triangle. So almost anything can happen with such a sequence. Multiple parallel fronts on the North Atlantic Charts virtually continuously from this afternoon at the time of writin (7 February 2013.) These end with a thundering bump on T+60 and by T+72 becom twin divergent Lows off Greenland once mre leading to a mid Atlntic High. (So more cold easterlies, RonB please note. Tie your granny to her mattress this time. Ignore the smell of vitamin B and Vicks. You'll feel a lot better about it.) This is a bad spell that will end on the 10th. A new spell similar to this one but with a tropical storm in the southern Indian Ocean -about 90 degrees east, will occur by Monday. This should ease things a little. There is still a lot of potential for convergence here until the 11th: http://www.weatheroffice.gc.ca/ensem.../cartes_e.html Be careful. |
#17
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On Feb 6, 4:38*pm, Weatherlawyer wrote:
On Feb 4, 4:55*pm, Weatherlawyer wrote: I don't know what is going to happen in the next few days. Evidently the absence of tropical storms ( which I forecast correctly) indicates an increase in medium sized quakes. (Not forecast but I saw something was odd.) A very deep Low on the N American east coast looks like displacing the Greenland High. When it does, the not so deep Low in the Alaskan Gulf will deepen. All the while they are separated by a flaccid High. Nothing really low runs betyween the Highs in the North Atlantic. But we are experiencing a dearth of medium sized quakes since Sunday night. Wednesday looks interesting with a series of quakes kicking off the next tropical storm. (That will be posted on Midnight Thursday at the latest I imagine.) 8.0 * 2013/02/06 01:12:27 * -10.738 * *165.138 *28.7 * SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS Any more interesting than a Magnitude 8 is downright nasty. Now I regret not looking at any charts yesterday. But I suppose you can't really acll any of this a dearth: Update time = Wed Feb 6 15:35:19 UTC 2013 5.3 * 2013/02/06 14:20:58 * -10.969 * *165.434 *10.0 * SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS 6.0 * 2013/02/06 13:54:58 * -10.838 * *166.451 *31.5 * SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS 5.3 * 2013/02/06 13:50:33 * -10.533 * *166.385 *10.0 * SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS 5.5 * 2013/02/06 12:44:29 * -11.582 * *165.499 *9.8 * SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS 5.9 * 2013/02/06 11:53:54 * -11.255 * *165.734 *9.9 * SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS 5.1 * 2013/02/06 11:24:03 * -10.798 * *164.580 *9.9 * SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS REGION 5.6 * 2013/02/06 11:03:46 * -10.730 * *165.137 *9.8 * SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS 5.7 * 2013/02/06 10:33:18 * -10.636 * *164.808 *9.9 * SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS REGION 5.5 * 2013/02/06 10:20:34 * -10.870 * *165.272 *10.0 * SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS 5.3 * 2013/02/06 10:12:30 * -11.115 * *165.379 *10.0 * SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS 5.2 * 2013/02/06 09:24:00 * -10.718 * *164.228 *9.6 * SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS REGION 5.0 * 2013/02/06 08:45:05 * -11.670 * *165.468 *10.3 * SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS 5.0 * 2013/02/06 08:04:36 * -15.988 * -172.223 *34.0 * SAMOA ISLANDS REGION 5.0 * 2013/02/06 07:23:12 * -10.901 * *165.356 *10.1 * SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS 5.3 * 2013/02/06 07:13:48 * -10.637 * *165.305 *10.1 * SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS 5.6 * 2013/02/06 06:53:20 * -10.635 * *164.967 *10.0 * SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS REGION 6.3 * 2013/02/06 06:35:20 * -10.784 * *164.512 *10.1 * SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS REGION 5.2 * 2013/02/06 06:09:37 * -11.071 * *164.811 *10.0 * SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS REGION 5.2 * 2013/02/06 06:02:37 * -10.780 * *164.571 *10.0 * SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS REGION 5.2 * 2013/02/06 05:48:54 * -11.066 * *164.756 *10.3 * SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS REGION 5.0 * 2013/02/06 05:35:34 * -10.745 * *165.326 *15.0 * SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS 5.1 * 2013/02/06 05:30:19 * -10.682 * *164.272 *9.8 * SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS REGION 5.1 * 2013/02/06 05:24:31 * -11.433 * *165.367 *15.1 * SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS 5.3 * 2013/02/06 05:16:27 * -10.426 * *166.498 *11.9 * SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS 5.2 * 2013/02/06 05:13:49 * -10.620 * *166.298 *15.1 * SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS 5.2 * 2013/02/06 05:01:51 * -11.408 * *165.057 *9.9 * SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS 5.0 * 2013/02/06 04:56:19 * -11.302 * *165.130 *16.0 * SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS 5.1 * 2013/02/06 04:34:51 * -11.396 * *164.847 *35.2 * SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS REGION 5.2 * 2013/02/06 04:20:55 * -10.910 * *165.571 *34.9 * SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS 5.0 * 2013/02/06 04:20:04 * -10.883 * *165.405 *10.1 * SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS 5.0 * 2013/02/06 04:16:30 * -11.092 * *164.904 *10.7 * SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS REGION 5.6 * 2013/02/06 03:49:47 * -10.893 * *165.474 *18.3 * SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS 5.3 * 2013/02/06 03:45:10 * -10.669 * *165.312 *33.4 * SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS 5.2 * 2013/02/06 03:38:55 * -10.890 * *165.268 *12.1 * SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS 5.3 * 2013/02/06 03:28:55 * -11.053 * *165.446 *22.8 * SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS 5.1 * 2013/02/06 03:25:19 * -11.130 * *165.806 *9.9 * SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS 5.3 * 2013/02/06 03:19:06 * -10.896 * *165.216 *14.9 * SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS 5.2 * 2013/02/06 03:11:53 * -10.935 * *165.292 *36.8 * SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS 5.1 * 2013/02/06 03:06:34 * -11.513 * *165.326 *10.0 * SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS 5.6 * 2013/02/06 03:01:03 * -11.032 * *165.106 *20.4 * SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS 5.5 * 2013/02/06 02:58:22 * -10.663 * *165.128 *16.9 * SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS 5.1 * 2013/02/06 02:57:45 * -10.755 * *165.026 *38.1 * SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS 5.6 * 2013/02/06 02:30:49 * -10.822 * *164.980 *32.5 * SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS REGION 5.3 * 2013/02/06 02:23:12 * -10.963 * *165.402 *28.3 * SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS 5.2 * 2013/02/06 02:18:15 * -11.468 * *165.614 *34.4 * SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS 5.2 * 2013/02/06 02:06:21 * -10.597 * *165.363 *10.0 * SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS 6.6 * 2013/02/06 01:54:15 * -10.514 * *165.733 *10.2 * SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS 5.7 * 2013/02/06 01:48:43 * -11.628 * *165.937 *10.0 * SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS 5.6 * 2013/02/06 01:33:37 * -10.922 * *165.085 *10.0 * SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS 6.4 * 2013/02/06 01:23:20 * -11.232 * *164.921 *10.1 * SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS REGION 5.6 * 2013/02/06 01:22:13 * -11.366 * *165.768 *10.1 * SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS 8.0 * 2013/02/06 01:12:27 * -10.738 * *165.138 *28.7 * SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS 5.3 * 2013/02/06 00:46:01 * -10.871 * *165.029 *9.5 * SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS 6.3 * 2013/02/06 00:07:23 * -10.858 * *165.206 *10.0 * SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS 5.1 * 2013/02/05 19:39:39 * -10.753 * *164.986 *46.0 * SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS REGION 5.0 * 2013/02/05 19:09:38 * -62.305 * *155.073 *32.8 * BALLENY ISLANDS REGION 5.0 * 2013/02/05 16:15:32 * *28.802 * *128.595 *57.3 * RYUKYU ISLANDS, JAPAN 5.0 * 2013/02/05 15:40:09 * -56.138 * *-25.231 *48.9 * SOUTH SANDWICH ISLANDS REGION 5.0 * 2013/02/05 03:24:52 * *45.519 * *151.286 *46.9 * KURIL ISLANDS 5.1 * 2013/02/03 23:04:18 * *29.330 * *141.802 *48.8 * IZU ISLANDS, JAPAN REGION 5.3 * 2013/02/03 22:56:12 * *29.312 * *142.014 *34.8 * IZU ISLANDS, JAPAN REGION 5.0 * 2013/02/03 11:36:40 * *-5.004 * *153.218 *10.0 * NEW IRELAND REGION, PAPUA NEW GUINEA 5.4 * 2013/02/03 11:14:57 * *-5.074 * *153.069 *23.2 * NEW IRELAND REGION, PAPUA NEW GUINEA 5.1 * 2013/02/03 03:57:33 * -10.876 * *165.357 *10.0 * SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS 5.1 * 2013/02/03 02:29:13 * -10.963 * *165.333 *9.9 * SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS 5.1 * 2013/02/02 21:20:35 * -11.132 * *165.322 *10.0 * SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS 5.1 * 2013/02/02 19:24:35 * -11.219 * *165.201 *29.5 * SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS 6.0 * 2013/02/02 18:58:07 * -10.922 * *165.246 *7.5 * SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS 5.2 * 2013/02/02 18:54:31 * -10.970 * *165.333 *31.1 * SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS 5.5 * 2013/02/02 18:31:38 * *29.414 * *141.938 *50.8 * IZU ISLANDS, JAPAN REGION 6.9 * 2013/02/02 14:17:35 * *42.812 * *143.078 *103.1 * HOKKAIDO, JAPAN REGION 5.6 * 2013/02/02 04:16:20 * -11.086 * *165.174 *28.6 * SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS 5.1 * 2013/02/02 03:39:51 * *23.735 * *121.989 *22.5 * TAIWAN 5.1 * 2013/02/02 01:19:36 * *-6.960 * *105.401 *38.7 * SUNDA STRAIT, INDONESIA 5.0 * 2013/02/02 01:15:50 * -11.146 * *165.387 *26.9 * SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS 6.4 * 2013/02/01 22:18:35 * -11.063 * *165.326 *22.0 * SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS 6.3 * 2013/02/01 22:16:36 * -10.926 * *165.450 *19.9 * SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS 6.0 * 2013/02/01 05:36:41 * -11.090 * *165.538 *9.4 * SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS 5.9 * 2013/02/01 02:17:27 * *-6.951 * *147.667 *34.8 * EASTERN NEW GUINEA REG, PAPUA NEW GUINEA 5.1 * 2013/02/01 00:18:08 * -11.034 * *165.334 *10.7 * SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS 6.0 * 2013/01/31 09:53:44 * *55.584 * -134.745 *9.7 * SOUTHEASTERN ALASKA 5.1 * 2013/01/31 06:42:11 * -10.713 * *166.386 *35.2 * SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS 5.4 * 2013/01/31 05:18:15 * -10.567 * *166.446 *45.7 * SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS 5.0 * 2013/01/31 05:16:58 * -10.502 * *166.201 *25.0 * SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS 5.6 * 2013/01/31 04:31:33 * -10.934 * *165.418 *32.9 * SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS 5.0 * 2013/01/31 04:10:46 * *-4.613 * *102.515 *51.7 * SOUTHERN SUMATRA, INDONESIA 5.6 * 2013/01/31 03:58:00 * -10.680 * *166.391 *35.1 * SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS 6.2 * 2013/01/31 03:33:44 * -10.628 * *166.382 *9.2 * SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS 6.0 * 2013/01/30 23:03:45 * -10.518 * *166.486 *10.0 * SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS 6.8 * 2013/01/30 20:15:43 * -28.180 * *-70.784 *42.7 * ATACAMA, CHILE How odd was this on the 4th (forecasting the 5th) http://www.weatheroffice.gc.ca/ensem.../cartes_e.html I have just been looking at the storm dates I said I had forecast correctly: Wednesday looks interesting with a series of quakes kicking off the next tropical storm. (That will be posted on Midnight Thursday at the latest I imagine.) That reads like I forecat a Tropical stom fot Thursday the 7th of February. I am pretty certain I saw quite clearly that there would be no storms until this weekend. Felleng died on Sunday 3 Febb 2013 I have no idea what I was thinking. I didn't expect a storm until this weekend maybe not a full blown stom until Sunday the 10th. I was pleased with myself prediicting my first storm some few days ahead of the JTWC. I was even pleased wityh the mist hanging around here first thing. Spoiled it somewhat to find what |I actually wrote was far short of anything useful. Some good stuff to ponder though Signals fot anything in excess of a mag 7.8 or so quake don't give the same signals as those for a quake in the region of 6.9 to 7.7. Me4anwhile the development over Canada seems to be telling of another largwe magnitude quake: http://www.weatheroffice.gc.ca/ensem.../cartes_e.html Look at the forecast fot the 12th. 4 Lows. Not very deep ones but the arc of the three from the Gulf of Alaska to the Great Lakes begs for an earthquake prdiction somewhere 80 to the SW of it. THe arc made by the first two and the other Low south of Greenland begs a forecast epicentre over the North Pole again I'd plump for 80 degrees down the meridian over the top from the Mississippi. That's back in Fifian Triangle waters. So more from Santa Cruz Islands? In this new spell? Not likely. I'd have to make it an each way bet. We can't possibly have another major upset there can we? But it works for the Japanese. Look at all that stuff they had for months before the big one. |
#18
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On Wednesday, 23 January 2013 at 16:29:28 UTC, willie eckerslike wrote:
I like the way all those little low pressures are dancing around Antarctica. They are obviously enacting some ancient druid ritual, but who is controlling them? Art e' gone? Olympic controversy The group were contacted by the International Olympic Committee in August 2016 over their 2008 song "The Beer Olympics". The IOC claimed trademark rights over the word Olympics stating that Hotpots’ use of the word was a breach of their trademark.[17] To avoid further problems, the band subsequently retitled the song "The Beer International Non-Profit, Non-Governmental Sporting Quad Yearly Event".[18] |
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