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Old February 9th 13, 01:01 PM posted to sci.geo.earthquakes,uk.sci.weather
Weatherlawyer Weatherlawyer is offline
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On Feb 6, 4:38*pm, Weatherlawyer wrote:
On Feb 4, 4:55*pm, Weatherlawyer wrote:

I don't know what is going to happen in the next few days.


Evidently the absence of tropical storms ( which I forecast correctly)
indicates an increase in medium sized quakes. (Not forecast but I saw
something was odd.)

A very deep Low on the N American east coast looks like
displacing the Greenland High.
When it does, the not so deep Low in the Alaskan Gulf will deepen. All
the while they are separated by a flaccid High.


Nothing really low runs betyween the Highs in the North Atlantic.
But we are experiencing a dearth of medium sized quakes since Sunday
night.


Wednesday looks interesting with a series of quakes kicking off the
next tropical storm. (That will be posted on Midnight Thursday at the
latest I imagine.)


8.0 * 2013/02/06 01:12:27 * -10.738 * *165.138 *28.7 * SANTA CRUZ
ISLANDS

Any more interesting than a Magnitude 8 is downright nasty.
Now I regret not looking at any charts yesterday. But I suppose you
can't really acll any of this a dearth:

Update time = Wed Feb 6 15:35:19 UTC 2013

5.3 * 2013/02/06 14:20:58 * -10.969 * *165.434 *10.0 * SANTA CRUZ
ISLANDS
6.0 * 2013/02/06 13:54:58 * -10.838 * *166.451 *31.5 * SANTA CRUZ
ISLANDS
5.3 * 2013/02/06 13:50:33 * -10.533 * *166.385 *10.0 * SANTA CRUZ
ISLANDS
5.5 * 2013/02/06 12:44:29 * -11.582 * *165.499 *9.8 * SANTA CRUZ
ISLANDS
5.9 * 2013/02/06 11:53:54 * -11.255 * *165.734 *9.9 * SANTA CRUZ
ISLANDS
5.1 * 2013/02/06 11:24:03 * -10.798 * *164.580 *9.9 * SANTA CRUZ
ISLANDS REGION
5.6 * 2013/02/06 11:03:46 * -10.730 * *165.137 *9.8 * SANTA CRUZ
ISLANDS
5.7 * 2013/02/06 10:33:18 * -10.636 * *164.808 *9.9 * SANTA CRUZ
ISLANDS REGION
5.5 * 2013/02/06 10:20:34 * -10.870 * *165.272 *10.0 * SANTA CRUZ
ISLANDS
5.3 * 2013/02/06 10:12:30 * -11.115 * *165.379 *10.0 * SANTA CRUZ
ISLANDS
5.2 * 2013/02/06 09:24:00 * -10.718 * *164.228 *9.6 * SANTA CRUZ
ISLANDS REGION
5.0 * 2013/02/06 08:45:05 * -11.670 * *165.468 *10.3 * SANTA CRUZ
ISLANDS
5.0 * 2013/02/06 08:04:36 * -15.988 * -172.223 *34.0 * SAMOA ISLANDS
REGION
5.0 * 2013/02/06 07:23:12 * -10.901 * *165.356 *10.1 * SANTA CRUZ
ISLANDS
5.3 * 2013/02/06 07:13:48 * -10.637 * *165.305 *10.1 * SANTA CRUZ
ISLANDS
5.6 * 2013/02/06 06:53:20 * -10.635 * *164.967 *10.0 * SANTA CRUZ
ISLANDS REGION
6.3 * 2013/02/06 06:35:20 * -10.784 * *164.512 *10.1 * SANTA CRUZ
ISLANDS REGION
5.2 * 2013/02/06 06:09:37 * -11.071 * *164.811 *10.0 * SANTA CRUZ
ISLANDS REGION
5.2 * 2013/02/06 06:02:37 * -10.780 * *164.571 *10.0 * SANTA CRUZ
ISLANDS REGION
5.2 * 2013/02/06 05:48:54 * -11.066 * *164.756 *10.3 * SANTA CRUZ
ISLANDS REGION
5.0 * 2013/02/06 05:35:34 * -10.745 * *165.326 *15.0 * SANTA CRUZ
ISLANDS
5.1 * 2013/02/06 05:30:19 * -10.682 * *164.272 *9.8 * SANTA CRUZ
ISLANDS REGION
5.1 * 2013/02/06 05:24:31 * -11.433 * *165.367 *15.1 * SANTA CRUZ
ISLANDS
5.3 * 2013/02/06 05:16:27 * -10.426 * *166.498 *11.9 * SANTA CRUZ
ISLANDS
5.2 * 2013/02/06 05:13:49 * -10.620 * *166.298 *15.1 * SANTA CRUZ
ISLANDS
5.2 * 2013/02/06 05:01:51 * -11.408 * *165.057 *9.9 * SANTA CRUZ
ISLANDS
5.0 * 2013/02/06 04:56:19 * -11.302 * *165.130 *16.0 * SANTA CRUZ
ISLANDS
5.1 * 2013/02/06 04:34:51 * -11.396 * *164.847 *35.2 * SANTA CRUZ
ISLANDS REGION
5.2 * 2013/02/06 04:20:55 * -10.910 * *165.571 *34.9 * SANTA CRUZ
ISLANDS
5.0 * 2013/02/06 04:20:04 * -10.883 * *165.405 *10.1 * SANTA CRUZ
ISLANDS
5.0 * 2013/02/06 04:16:30 * -11.092 * *164.904 *10.7 * SANTA CRUZ
ISLANDS REGION
5.6 * 2013/02/06 03:49:47 * -10.893 * *165.474 *18.3 * SANTA CRUZ
ISLANDS
5.3 * 2013/02/06 03:45:10 * -10.669 * *165.312 *33.4 * SANTA CRUZ
ISLANDS
5.2 * 2013/02/06 03:38:55 * -10.890 * *165.268 *12.1 * SANTA CRUZ
ISLANDS
5.3 * 2013/02/06 03:28:55 * -11.053 * *165.446 *22.8 * SANTA CRUZ
ISLANDS
5.1 * 2013/02/06 03:25:19 * -11.130 * *165.806 *9.9 * SANTA CRUZ
ISLANDS
5.3 * 2013/02/06 03:19:06 * -10.896 * *165.216 *14.9 * SANTA CRUZ
ISLANDS
5.2 * 2013/02/06 03:11:53 * -10.935 * *165.292 *36.8 * SANTA CRUZ
ISLANDS
5.1 * 2013/02/06 03:06:34 * -11.513 * *165.326 *10.0 * SANTA CRUZ
ISLANDS
5.6 * 2013/02/06 03:01:03 * -11.032 * *165.106 *20.4 * SANTA CRUZ
ISLANDS
5.5 * 2013/02/06 02:58:22 * -10.663 * *165.128 *16.9 * SANTA CRUZ
ISLANDS
5.1 * 2013/02/06 02:57:45 * -10.755 * *165.026 *38.1 * SANTA CRUZ
ISLANDS
5.6 * 2013/02/06 02:30:49 * -10.822 * *164.980 *32.5 * SANTA CRUZ
ISLANDS REGION
5.3 * 2013/02/06 02:23:12 * -10.963 * *165.402 *28.3 * SANTA CRUZ
ISLANDS
5.2 * 2013/02/06 02:18:15 * -11.468 * *165.614 *34.4 * SANTA CRUZ
ISLANDS
5.2 * 2013/02/06 02:06:21 * -10.597 * *165.363 *10.0 * SANTA CRUZ
ISLANDS
6.6 * 2013/02/06 01:54:15 * -10.514 * *165.733 *10.2 * SANTA CRUZ
ISLANDS
5.7 * 2013/02/06 01:48:43 * -11.628 * *165.937 *10.0 * SANTA CRUZ
ISLANDS
5.6 * 2013/02/06 01:33:37 * -10.922 * *165.085 *10.0 * SANTA CRUZ
ISLANDS
6.4 * 2013/02/06 01:23:20 * -11.232 * *164.921 *10.1 * SANTA CRUZ
ISLANDS REGION
5.6 * 2013/02/06 01:22:13 * -11.366 * *165.768 *10.1 * SANTA CRUZ
ISLANDS
8.0 * 2013/02/06 01:12:27 * -10.738 * *165.138 *28.7 * SANTA CRUZ
ISLANDS
5.3 * 2013/02/06 00:46:01 * -10.871 * *165.029 *9.5 * SANTA CRUZ
ISLANDS
6.3 * 2013/02/06 00:07:23 * -10.858 * *165.206 *10.0 * SANTA CRUZ
ISLANDS

5.1 * 2013/02/05 19:39:39 * -10.753 * *164.986 *46.0 * SANTA CRUZ
ISLANDS REGION
5.0 * 2013/02/05 19:09:38 * -62.305 * *155.073 *32.8 * BALLENY ISLANDS
REGION
5.0 * 2013/02/05 16:15:32 * *28.802 * *128.595 *57.3 * RYUKYU ISLANDS,
JAPAN
5.0 * 2013/02/05 15:40:09 * -56.138 * *-25.231 *48.9 * SOUTH SANDWICH
ISLANDS REGION
5.0 * 2013/02/05 03:24:52 * *45.519 * *151.286 *46.9 * KURIL ISLANDS

5.1 * 2013/02/03 23:04:18 * *29.330 * *141.802 *48.8 * IZU ISLANDS,
JAPAN REGION
5.3 * 2013/02/03 22:56:12 * *29.312 * *142.014 *34.8 * IZU ISLANDS,
JAPAN REGION
5.0 * 2013/02/03 11:36:40 * *-5.004 * *153.218 *10.0 * NEW IRELAND
REGION, PAPUA NEW GUINEA
5.4 * 2013/02/03 11:14:57 * *-5.074 * *153.069 *23.2 * NEW IRELAND
REGION, PAPUA NEW GUINEA
5.1 * 2013/02/03 03:57:33 * -10.876 * *165.357 *10.0 * SANTA CRUZ
ISLANDS
5.1 * 2013/02/03 02:29:13 * -10.963 * *165.333 *9.9 * SANTA CRUZ
ISLANDS

5.1 * 2013/02/02 21:20:35 * -11.132 * *165.322 *10.0 * SANTA CRUZ
ISLANDS
5.1 * 2013/02/02 19:24:35 * -11.219 * *165.201 *29.5 * SANTA CRUZ
ISLANDS
6.0 * 2013/02/02 18:58:07 * -10.922 * *165.246 *7.5 * SANTA CRUZ
ISLANDS
5.2 * 2013/02/02 18:54:31 * -10.970 * *165.333 *31.1 * SANTA CRUZ
ISLANDS
5.5 * 2013/02/02 18:31:38 * *29.414 * *141.938 *50.8 * IZU ISLANDS,
JAPAN REGION
6.9 * 2013/02/02 14:17:35 * *42.812 * *143.078 *103.1 * HOKKAIDO,
JAPAN REGION
5.6 * 2013/02/02 04:16:20 * -11.086 * *165.174 *28.6 * SANTA CRUZ
ISLANDS
5.1 * 2013/02/02 03:39:51 * *23.735 * *121.989 *22.5 * TAIWAN
5.1 * 2013/02/02 01:19:36 * *-6.960 * *105.401 *38.7 * SUNDA STRAIT,
INDONESIA
5.0 * 2013/02/02 01:15:50 * -11.146 * *165.387 *26.9 * SANTA CRUZ
ISLANDS

6.4 * 2013/02/01 22:18:35 * -11.063 * *165.326 *22.0 * SANTA CRUZ
ISLANDS
6.3 * 2013/02/01 22:16:36 * -10.926 * *165.450 *19.9 * SANTA CRUZ
ISLANDS
6.0 * 2013/02/01 05:36:41 * -11.090 * *165.538 *9.4 * SANTA CRUZ
ISLANDS
5.9 * 2013/02/01 02:17:27 * *-6.951 * *147.667 *34.8 * EASTERN NEW
GUINEA REG, PAPUA NEW GUINEA
5.1 * 2013/02/01 00:18:08 * -11.034 * *165.334 *10.7 * SANTA CRUZ
ISLANDS

6.0 * 2013/01/31 09:53:44 * *55.584 * -134.745 *9.7 * SOUTHEASTERN
ALASKA
5.1 * 2013/01/31 06:42:11 * -10.713 * *166.386 *35.2 * SANTA CRUZ
ISLANDS
5.4 * 2013/01/31 05:18:15 * -10.567 * *166.446 *45.7 * SANTA CRUZ
ISLANDS
5.0 * 2013/01/31 05:16:58 * -10.502 * *166.201 *25.0 * SANTA CRUZ
ISLANDS
5.6 * 2013/01/31 04:31:33 * -10.934 * *165.418 *32.9 * SANTA CRUZ
ISLANDS
5.0 * 2013/01/31 04:10:46 * *-4.613 * *102.515 *51.7 * SOUTHERN
SUMATRA, INDONESIA
5.6 * 2013/01/31 03:58:00 * -10.680 * *166.391 *35.1 * SANTA CRUZ
ISLANDS
6.2 * 2013/01/31 03:33:44 * -10.628 * *166.382 *9.2 * SANTA CRUZ
ISLANDS

6.0 * 2013/01/30 23:03:45 * -10.518 * *166.486 *10.0 * SANTA CRUZ
ISLANDS
6.8 * 2013/01/30 20:15:43 * -28.180 * *-70.784 *42.7 * ATACAMA, CHILE

How odd was this on the 4th (forecasting the 5th)



http://www.weatheroffice.gc.ca/ensem.../cartes_e.html


I have just been looking at the storm dates I said I had forecast
correctly:

Wednesday looks interesting with a series of quakes kicking off the
next tropical storm. (That will be posted on Midnight Thursday at the
latest I imagine.)


That reads like I forecat a Tropical stom fot Thursday the 7th of
February.
I am pretty certain I saw quite clearly that there would be no storms
until this weekend. Felleng died on Sunday 3 Febb 2013 I have no idea
what I was thinking.

I didn't expect a storm until this weekend maybe not a full blown stom
until Sunday the 10th. I was pleased with myself prediicting my first
storm some few days ahead of the JTWC.

I was even pleased wityh the mist hanging around here first thing.

Spoiled it somewhat to find what |I actually wrote was far short of
anything useful. Some good stuff to ponder though
Signals fot anything in excess of a mag 7.8 or so quake don't give the
same signals as those for a quake in the region of 6.9 to 7.7.

Me4anwhile the development over Canada seems to be telling of another
largwe magnitude quake:

http://www.weatheroffice.gc.ca/ensem.../cartes_e.html


Look at the forecast fot the 12th.
4 Lows. Not very deep ones but the arc of the three from the Gulf of
Alaska to the Great Lakes begs for an earthquake prdiction somewhere
80 to the SW of it.

THe arc made by the first two and the other Low south of Greenland
begs a forecast epicentre over the North Pole again I'd plump for 80
degrees down the meridian over the top from the Mississippi. That's
back in Fifian Triangle waters. So more from Santa Cruz Islands?

In this new spell?
Not likely.
I'd have to make it an each way bet.
We can't possibly have another major upset there can we?

But it works for the Japanese.
Look at all that stuff they had for months before the big one.