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uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) (uk.sci.weather) For the discussion of daily weather events, chiefly affecting the UK and adjacent parts of Europe, both past and predicted. The discussion is open to all, but contributions on a practical scientific level are encouraged. |
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#1
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ISSUED BY THE MET OFFICE AT 09:30 ON TUESDAY, 24 FEBRUARY 2004.
OVERALL RISK ASSESSMENT: THE PROBABILITY OF DISRUPTION DUE TO SEVERE WEATHER CONDITIONS IN PART OF THE UNITED KINGDOM WITHIN THE NEXT 120 HOURS IS 90 PERCENT. REGIONAL RISK ASSESSMENT FOR THE OCCURRENCE OF SEVERE WEATHER CONDITIONS BETWEEN 12:00 ON TUESDAY 24 FEBRUARY 2004 AND 12:00 ON SUNDAY 29 FEBRUARY 2004. NORTHERN SCOTLAND 80[ PERCENT EASTERN SCOTLAND 80[ PERCENT SOUTH WEST SCOTLAND 60[ PERCENT NORTHERN IRELAND 60[ PERCENT NORTH WEST ENGLAND 60[ PERCENT NORTH EAST ENGLAND 80[ PERCENT THE MIDLANDS 60[ PERCENT WALES 60[ PERCENT SOUTH WEST ENGLAND 50[ PERCENT CENTRAL SOUTHERN ENGLAND 50[ PERCENT SOUTH EAST ENGLAND 70[ PERCENT EAST ANGLIA AND LINCOLNSHIRE 80[ PERCENT THIS WARNING IS THE SECOND UPDATE TO THAT ISSUED AT 10:00 ON SUNDAY 22 FEBRUARY 2004. THE MET OFFICE IS FORECASTING A STRONG FLOW OF ARCTIC AIR TO BECOME ESTABLISHED ACROSS THE WHOLE OF THE UK BY THE EARLY HOURS OF WEDNESDAY. SNOW SHOWERS ALREADY AFFECTING NORTHERN SCOTLAND WILL INCREASINGLY AFFECT MANY OTHER PARTS OF THE UK AND WILL BECOME MOST FREQUENT OVER COASTAL AND UPLAND AREAS EXPOSED TO THE STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS. ALTHOUGH SNOW COULD OCCUR ANYWHERE OVER THE UK THROUGH THE PERIOD, NORTHERN AND EASTERN AREAS WILL BE MOST AT RISK FROM FREQUENT, HEAVY AND SOMETIMES SQUALLY SNOW SHOWERS GIVING MODERATE (5-10CM) ACCUMULATIONS IN PLACES AND HEAVY (AS MUCH AS 30CM) IN A FEW EXPOSED OR UPLAND AREAS. STRONG OR GALE FORCE WINDS AT TIMES WILL LEAD TO DRIFTING OF LYING SNOW WHILST BLIZZARD CONDITIONS COULD OCCUR IN PLACES, ESPECIALLY THE NORTH AND EAST WHERE WINDS COULD GUST TO OVER 60MPH. DANGEROUS DRIVING CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AND IT IS LIKELY THAT SOME UNTREATED ROADS MAY BECOME IMPASSABLE. THERE IS A MODERATE RISK THAN AN AREA OF MORE PERSISTENT SNOW MAY AFFECT PARTS OF SW BRITAIN ON THURSDAY. THIS WARNING WILL BE UPDATED TOMORROW, WEDNESDAY 25 FEBRUARY, UNLESS SUPERSEDED BY FLASH MESSAGES |
#2
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Translation:
Issued by the Met Office at 09:30 on Tuesday, 24 February 2004. Overall risk assessment: the probability of disruption due to severe weather conditions in part of the United Kingdom within the next 120 hours is 90 percent. Regional risk assessment for the occurrence of severe weather conditions between 12:00 on Tuesday 24 February 2004 and 12:00 on Sunday 29 February 2004. Northern Scotland 80% Eastern Scotland 80% Southwest Scotland 60% Northern Ireland 60% Northwest England 60% Northeast England 80% The Midlands 60% Wales 60% Southwest England 50% Central southern England 50% Southeast England 70% East Anglia and Lincolnshire 80% This warning is the second update to that issued at 10:00 on Sunday 22 February 2004. The Met Office is forecasting a strong flow of arctic air to become established across the whole of the UK by the early hours of Wednesday. Snow showers already affecting northern Scotland will increasingly affect many other parts of the UK and will become most frequent over coastal and upland areas exposed to the strong northerly winds. Although snow could occur anywhere over the UK through the period, northern and eastern areas will be most at risk from frequent, heavy and sometimes squally snow showers giving moderate (5-10cm) accumulations in places and heavy (as much as 30cm) in a few exposed or upland areas. Strong or gale force winds at times will lead to drifting of lying snow whilst blizzard conditions could occur in places, especially the north and east where winds could gust to over 60mph. Dangerous driving conditions are expected and it is likely that some untreated roads may become impassable. There is a moderate risk than an area of more persistent snow may affect parts of SW Britain on Thursday. This warning will be updated tomorrow, Wednesday 25 February, unless superseded by flash messages JGD |
#3
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On Tue, 24 Feb 2004 11:19:58 +0000, John Dann wrote:
Translation: What was the point of that? JPG |
#4
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On Tue, 24 Feb 2004 11:31:38 +0000, JPG wrote:
On Tue, 24 Feb 2004 11:19:58 +0000, John Dann wrote: Translation: What was the point of that? LOL! -- Pete Lawrence http://www.pbl33.co.uk Home of the Lunar Parallax Demonstration Project |
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