Started over Tennessee, USA a few days ago when NHC started issuing notices
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo.php?basin=atlc&fdays=2
how unusual is that? Over land, not sea

--
Monthly public talks on science topics, Hampshire , England
http://diverse.4mg.com/scicaf.htm

On 10/07/2019 16:34, N_Cook wrote:
Started over Tennessee, USA a few days ago when NHC started issuing notices
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo.php?basin=atlc&fdays=2
how unusual is that? Over land, not sea


Looking at
coast.noaa.gov/hurricanes
for hurricane starts over land, from 2017 back to 1990,
just one instance Hurricane Leslie 04 Oct 2000 , with 1012mB pressure.
But as over Florida , a peninsular with sea either side, perhaps not
equivalent to Tenessee.

earlier part of an NHC advisory, when probability was 10 or 20% for "Barry"
"A trough of low pressure over western Kentucky, Tennessee and northern
Mississippi is forecast to move southward toward the northeastern Gulf
of Mexico"

then

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/xgt...in=atl&fdays=5

View 2-Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Tropical Weather Outlook Text

ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Sun Jul 7 2019

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. A trough of low pressure over the southeastern United States is
forecast to move southward toward the northeastern Gulf of Mexico,
where a broad low pressure area will likely form in a few days.
Thereafter, upper-level winds support gradual development, and a
tropical depression could form late week while the low meanders near
the northeastern Gulf of Mexico coast through Friday. Interests
along the northern Gulf Coast and Florida peninsula should monitor
the progress of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.



--
Monthly public talks on science topics, Hampshire , England
http://diverse.4mg.com/scicaf.htm

On Mon, 15 Jul 2019 13:42:00 +0100, N_Cook wrote:

On 10/07/2019 16:34, N_Cook wrote:
Started over Tennessee, USA a few days ago when NHC started issuing
notices
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo.php?basin=atlc&fdays=2
how unusual is that? Over land, not sea


Looking at
coast.noaa.gov/hurricanes
for hurricane starts over land, from 2017 back to 1990,
just one instance Hurricane Leslie 04 Oct 2000 , with 1012mB pressure.
But as over Florida , a peninsular with sea either side, perhaps not
equivalent to Tenessee.

earlier part of an NHC advisory, when probability was 10 or 20% for
"Barry"
"A trough of low pressure over western Kentucky, Tennessee and
northern
Mississippi is forecast to move southward toward the northeastern Gulf
of Mexico"

then

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/xgt...in=atl&fdays=5

View 2-Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Tropical Weather Outlook Text

ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Sun Jul 7 2019

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. A trough of low pressure over the southeastern United States is
forecast to move southward toward the northeastern Gulf of Mexico,
where a broad low pressure area will likely form in a few days.
Thereafter, upper-level winds support gradual development, and a
tropical depression could form late week while the low meanders near
the northeastern Gulf of Mexico coast through Friday. Interests
along the northern Gulf Coast and Florida peninsula should monitor
the progress of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Mon Jul 15 2019

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The Weather Prediction Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Depression Barry, located over central Arkansas.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

&&
Public advisories on Tropical Depression Barry from the Weather
Prediction Center can be found under AWIPS header TCPAT2, WMO header
WTNT32 KWNH, and on the web at http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov