On 07/01/2016 19:13, Dawlish wrote:
On Thursday, January 7, 2016 at 6:36:08 PM UTC, Col wrote:


Not so. I am a 'coldie' in that I much prefer frost & snow to the more
usual mild and wet but I don't behave like that. It's quite fun reading
tha thread on TWO when everybody is generally full of optimism but
things can get ugly if such predictions don't happen and we get the
'toys out of the pram' situation.

Coldies are always happy when someone is forecasting cold. How many times have I seen 'great forecast' as a comment about a forecast that been written. Just so funny. A forecast is only 'great' at outcome. Coldies, generally, simply don't understand this.

They are commenting that the weather being forecast is great, rather
than the *accuracy* of the forecast being great, which quite obviously
can only be assessed at outcome. Two quite different things!


Nothing is 'nailed on' at a week out (my own forecast), I can assure you! It's just 'likely'. Highly likely for Monday, but that's the best I'd agree with!

I'd say it's 'beyond reasonable doubt' that the weather will turn
significantly colder from Monday. That's as near to 'nailed on' as makes
no odds but I'm not going to argue over semantics.

--
Col

Bolton, Lancashire
160m asl
Snow videos:
http://www.youtube.com/channel/UC3QvmL4UWBmHFMKWiwYm_gg