Looking like a much colder spell *maybe* on the cards from mid week
onwards next week. *If* it comes off there is one major difference from
the last few years and that is it is actually now much colder to our
east. One to keep an eye on..
--
Keith (Southend)
"Weather Home & Abroad"
http://www.southendweather.net
Twitter:@SS9Weatherman

On Wednesday, 6 January 2016 09:48:27 UTC, Keith (Southend)G wrote:
Looking like a much colder spell *maybe* on the cards from mid week
onwards next week. *If* it comes off there is one major difference from
the last few years and that is it is actually now much colder to our
east. One to keep an eye on..
--
Keith (Southend)
"Weather Home & Abroad"
http://www.southendweather.net
Twitter:@SS9Weatherman

"Nice Models This Morning"


Does your wife know?

On Wednesday, 6 January 2016 09:48:27 UTC, Keith (Southend)G wrote:
Looking like a much colder spell *maybe* on the cards from mid week
onwards next week.

GFS ensembles certainly have a number of pretty cold runs.

http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/cgi-b...LE=2&MOUSE= 0

Richard

In message
Richard Dixon wrote:

On Wednesday, 6 January 2016 09:48:27 UTC, Keith (Southend)G wrote:
Looking like a much colder spell *maybe* on the cards from mid week
onwards next week.

GFS ensembles certainly have a number of pretty cold runs.

http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/cgi-b...=en&MENU=00000
00000&CONT=euro&MODELL=gefsts&MODELLTYP=2&BASE=201 601060000&VAR=tmp2&H
H=&ZOOM=0&ARCHIV=0&RES=0&WMO=03772&TABLE=2&MOUSE= 0

Richard


Well, it's a mite parky in my old neck of the woods...

http://www.accuweather.com/en/se/kir...orecast/308639

Martin


--
Visit my weather station at
http://homepage.ntlworld.com/m.dixon4/Cumulus/index.htm

Believing is the start of everything to come. - Hayley Westenra

On Wed, 6 Jan 2016 03:51:25 -0800 (PST), Richard Dixon
wrote:

On Wednesday, 6 January 2016 09:48:27 UTC, Keith (Southend)G wrote:
Looking like a much colder spell *maybe* on the cards from mid week
onwards next week.

GFS ensembles certainly have a number of pretty cold runs.

http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/cgi-b...LE=2&MOUSE= 0

Richard

In their 6-30 day outlook issued at 0124 this morning the Met Office are still
predicting only a brief much colder spell around the middle of next week with a
return to westerlies and near average temps towards the end of next week. A
similar setup is then predicted to persist into early February with temps near
or slightly above average.

"Norman Lynagh" wrote in message
...
On Wed, 6 Jan 2016 03:51:25 -0800 (PST), Richard Dixon
wrote:

On Wednesday, 6 January 2016 09:48:27 UTC, Keith (Southend)G wrote:
Looking like a much colder spell *maybe* on the cards from mid week
onwards next week.

GFS ensembles certainly have a number of pretty cold runs.

http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/cgi-b...LE=2&MOUSE= 0

Richard

In their 6-30 day outlook issued at 0124 this morning the Met Office are
still
predicting only a brief much colder spell around the middle of next week
with a
return to westerlies and near average temps towards the end of next week.
A
similar setup is then predicted to persist into early February with temps
near
or slightly above average.

And here is what I wrote this morning in my weekly outlook for Dartmoor
http://www.lyneside.demon.co.uk/weeklydiscussions.htm

I suspect the MetO outlook will change soon :-)

Will
--
http://www.lyneside.demon.co.uk/Hayt...antage_Pro.htm
Will Hand (Haytor, Devon, 1017 feet asl)
---------------------------------------------

On Thu, 7 Jan 2016 10:55:11 -0000, "Eskimo Will"
wrote:


"Norman Lynagh" wrote in message
.. .
On Wed, 6 Jan 2016 03:51:25 -0800 (PST), Richard Dixon
wrote:

On Wednesday, 6 January 2016 09:48:27 UTC, Keith (Southend)G wrote:
Looking like a much colder spell *maybe* on the cards from mid week
onwards next week.

GFS ensembles certainly have a number of pretty cold runs.

http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/cgi-b...LE=2&MOUSE= 0

Richard

In their 6-30 day outlook issued at 0124 this morning the Met Office are
still
predicting only a brief much colder spell around the middle of next week
with a
return to westerlies and near average temps towards the end of next week.
A
similar setup is then predicted to persist into early February with temps
near
or slightly above average.

And here is what I wrote this morning in my weekly outlook for Dartmoor
http://www.lyneside.demon.co.uk/weeklydiscussions.htm

I suspect the MetO outlook will change soon :-)

Will

That's what I thought, too :-) I haven't checked properly, but I think they've
been re-issuing the same text twice a day for a few days now, with only the time
of issue changing. Not very helpful to the user :-(

On 07/01/2016 10:55, Eskimo Will wrote:


And here is what I wrote this morning in my weekly outlook for Dartmoor
http://www.lyneside.demon.co.uk/weeklydiscussions.htm

I suspect the MetO outlook will change soon :-)

Will

An interesting analysis from Stuart of Chorley weather...
http://www.chorleyweather.com/strong...old-uk-winter/

It will be interesting to see how it pans out.

Although gfs has the SE will within the 528 DAM thickness I am still un
sure whether it will be cold enough for settling snow here. And as they
say the devils in the detail, a NE wind we can get a lot of 'lake
effect' snow here, whereas a north wind, frosty. Then there are lots of
lows showing up around the channel, to me this means either rain/sleet
or snow, or more likely a mix of the lot. Then there's the length of
this cold spell?

Still a week to go, so many rolls of the dice either way I guess still
to come.
--
Keith (Southend)
"Weather Home & Abroad"
http://www.southendweather.net
Twitter:@SS9Weatherman

On Thu, 7 Jan 2016 10:55:11 -0000
"Eskimo Will" wrote:


"Norman Lynagh" wrote in message
...
On Wed, 6 Jan 2016 03:51:25 -0800 (PST), Richard Dixon
wrote:

On Wednesday, 6 January 2016 09:48:27 UTC, Keith (Southend)G wrote:
Looking like a much colder spell *maybe* on the cards from mid
week onwards next week.

GFS ensembles certainly have a number of pretty cold runs.

http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/cgi-b...LE=2&MOUSE= 0

Richard

In their 6-30 day outlook issued at 0124 this morning the Met
Office are still
predicting only a brief much colder spell around the middle of next
week with a
return to westerlies and near average temps towards the end of next
week. A
similar setup is then predicted to persist into early February with
temps near
or slightly above average.

And here is what I wrote this morning in my weekly outlook for
Dartmoor http://www.lyneside.demon.co.uk/weeklydiscussions.htm

I suspect the MetO outlook will change soon :-)

Will

N Atlantic SSTs still favour cyclonic westerlies. The pattern is
similar to last winter but displaced further west. Pressure should be
well below normal near Iceland with the Azores high west of its usual
position, somewhere near the Grand Banks say. This doesn't suggest any
long-term spells of weather from the east unless there's an SSW event.
However, the continental high may be close enough at times for brief
easterlies. All in all, mild, windy, wet.

--
Graham P Davis, Bracknell, Berks. [Retd meteorologist/programmer]
http://www.scarlet-jade.com/
I wear the cheese. It does not wear me.
Posted with Claws: http://www.claws-mail.org/

On 06/01/2016 09:48, Keith (Southend) wrote:
Looking like a much colder spell *maybe* on the cards from mid week
onwards next week. *If* it comes off there is one major difference from
the last few years and that is it is actually now much colder to our
east. One to keep an eye on..

They are working themselves up into an absolute frenzy of excitement on
TWO over this. If this one fails to come off the model output thread
will be on suicide watch.....

--
Col

Bolton, Lancashire
160m asl
Snow videos:
http://www.youtube.com/channel/UC3QvmL4UWBmHFMKWiwYm_gg