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#1
November 8th 15, 02:21 PM
posted to uk.sci.weather
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My winter probabilities...
Loosely based on previous similar years, el nino and some of the various
seasonal modelling I've looked at. Also being biased to the SE of the UK. Mild winter throughout 40% chance Cold second half 35% chance Cold late Nov/Dec 25% chance Had it not been for the el nino I would be more heavily weighted towards a colder winter, but the SST anomalies in the Atlantic *may* have a counter influence on the strong westerly pattern currently being experienced as we run through the winter. Always like to have a stab in the dark, any thoughts or arguments always welcome. -- Keith (Southend) "Weather Home & Abroad" http://www.southendweather.net Twitter:@SS9Weatherman |
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