Can't rule it out from the last 3 gfs runs. ECM yet to agree and I
need at least another couple of runs more from the gfs, but there's
been enough today to get me interested. Nothing like 75%+ confidence,
but it leaves the interesting possibility of a lovely mild start to
March with SW winds and dry conditions in the south.

On Feb 17, 5:13*pm, Dawlish wrote:
Can't rule it out from the last 3 gfs runs. ECM yet to agree and I
need at least another couple of runs more from the gfs, but there's
been enough today to get me interested. Nothing like 75%+ confidence,
but it leaves the interesting possibility of a lovely mild start to
March with SW winds and dry conditions in the south.

Now that the spring flowers are out it would almost seem as shame if
the snow and ice did return, so almost hope your right on this one.
February has been remarkable following an average January and such a
cold December. May garden already thinks it is spring.

Smon S (South Yorkshire)

Now that the spring flowers are out it would almost seem as shame if
the snow and ice did return, so almost hope your right on this one.
February has been remarkable following an average January and such a
cold December. May garden already thinks it is spring.

Don't think anyone needs worry about snow and ice, just how warm this month
is going to end up


Graham

? = COP PUT

betting odds bull**** as usual. no science, no credentials, all bull****.

On 17/02/2011 5:13 PM, Dawlish wrote:
Can't rule it out from the last 3 gfs runs. ECM yet to agree and I
need at least another couple of runs more from the gfs, but there's
been enough today to get me interested. Nothing like 75%+ confidence,
but it leaves the interesting possibility of a lovely mild start to
March with SW winds and dry conditions in the south.

Graham wrote:
Now that the spring flowers are out it would almost seem as shame if
the snow and ice did return, so almost hope your right on this one.
February has been remarkable following an average January and such a
cold December. May garden already thinks it is spring.

Don't think anyone needs worry about snow and ice, just how warm this
month is going to end up


Graham



---------------
Have you noticed, like me Graham, that even the grey days are looking
brighter ;-)
Dave

On Feb 17, 7:52*pm, "Graham" wrote:
Now that the spring flowers are out it would almost seem as shame if
the snow and ice did return, so almost hope your right on this one.
February has been remarkable following an average January and such a
cold December. May garden already thinks it is spring.

Don't think anyone needs worry about snow and ice, just how warm this month
is going to end up

Graham

True. ECM edges towards the milder scenario, but it's not quite there
ATM.

On 17/02/11 20:32, Dave Cornwell wrote:
Graham wrote:
Now that the spring flowers are out it would almost seem as shame if
the snow and ice did return, so almost hope your right on this one.
February has been remarkable following an average January and such a
cold December. May garden already thinks it is spring.

Don't think anyone needs worry about snow and ice, just how warm this
month is going to end up


Graham



---------------
Have you noticed, like me Graham, that even the grey days are looking
brighter ;-)
Dave

I have noticed that we have now reached the point when I am leaving work
in twilight rather than complete darkness.

On Feb 17, 8:23*pm, Siberian Knight wrote:
? = COP PUT

betting odds bull**** as usual. no science, no credentials, all bull****.



What, like you so obviously have some credentials? All I see is a non-
qualiied excuse for a science wannabe.
Go on, let's hear YOUR credentials... Degrees, Career and experience
in a professional weather organisation.


On 17/02/2011 5:13 PM, Dawlish wrote:



Can't rule it out from the last 3 gfs runs. ECM yet to agree and I
need at least another couple of runs more from the gfs, but there's
been enough today to get me interested. Nothing like 75%+ confidence,
but it leaves the interesting possibility of a lovely mild start to
March with SW winds and dry conditions in the south.- Hide quoted text -

- Show quoted text -

On Feb 17, 9:06*pm, Dawlish wrote:
On Feb 17, 7:52*pm, "Graham" wrote:

Now that the spring flowers are out it would almost seem as shame if
the snow and ice did return, so almost hope your right on this one.
February has been remarkable following an average January and such a
cold December. May garden already thinks it is spring.

Don't think anyone needs worry about snow and ice, just how warm this month
is going to end up

Graham

True. ECM edges towards the milder scenario, but it's not quite there
ATM.

Same after the 00z runs. What's shown is a ridging of the Azores high
eastwards towards Europw and perhaps edging northwards towards us and
that a cold end to February is now extremely unlikely. If the high
develops and bulges further north, we may well get a touch of frost
anywhere, but with luck we'll have dry weather and spring sunshine in
spades! What's shown is not a delayed spring, it could well be full-
blown, early spring, for much of the UK. Watching today. Could be
worth a forecast, if the consistency from the gfs continues and
depending upon the ECM. As i said yesterday, it will be interesting if
the MetO precis changes after tea-break today *))

In article ,
Adam Lea writes:
On 17/02/11 20:32, Dave Cornwell wrote:
Have you noticed, like me Graham, that even the grey days are looking
brighter ;-)
Dave

I have noticed that we have now reached the point when I am leaving
work in twilight rather than complete darkness.

I think I'm already feeling the benefit of the increased brightness. For
the last few days I seem to have emerged from my usual lethargic winter
state.

The models over the last couple of days seem to have firmed up on
indicating that it will be predominantly mild for the foreseeable
future, and possibly extremely mild at times. Cold ensemble members are
now few and far between, and generally at beyond 10 days and hence not
of much significance.
--
John Hall

"The covers of this book are too far apart."
Ambrose Bierce (1842-1914)