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Old October 3rd 07, 07:47 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default "Top 5 La Nina episode" this winter

I've just read Mr *******i's blog on his thoughts on the coming
winter. He suggests that the La Nina episode could be "top 5" with
suggestions of a strong polar jet - the suggestion being that we could
be in for a colder than normal winter in Europe.

Quick research, however, has uncovered that while a strong La Nina
episode can be followed by a very cold winter - it is by no means
guaranteed. A case in point being 1988 / 89 which was one of the
mildest winters I can remember. Conversely the winter of 1946/47 was
preceeded by a STRONG EL NINO while 1962/63 was preceeded by a year
when there was neither an El Nino or La Nina.

I wonder if some of the more learned members of this group can
enlighten me further on this...

I aquired my figures from this site:
http://www.wrcc.dri.edu/enso/ensodef.html


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