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uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) (uk.sci.weather) For the discussion of daily weather events, chiefly affecting the UK and adjacent parts of Europe, both past and predicted. The discussion is open to all, but contributions on a practical scientific level are encouraged. |
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![]() ================================================== ================== This posting expresses the personal view and opinions of the author. Something which everyone on this planet should be able to do. ================================================== ================== Well confidence is still very low for the outlook but continued very cold 492 DAM air continues to be advected south into Russia during next few days. By midweek the behaviour of the developing low off the eastern seaboard of the States is crucial. if that deepens and turns left more than predicted (as it could easily do) and thrust warm air up the west side of Greenland then the resulting cold plunge further east will cause the upper trough to disrupt to the west of the UK allowing the very cold air to the east to advect westwards. A potentially very cold severe spell is still on the cards for NW Europe with the UK on the western edge. I emphasise that it is only a *possibility* at (in my view) 30% risk, but in light of the extreme cold that sub 510 DAM air can bring at this time of year it must be taken on board. Please do not go OTT with this post, I'm only expressing what I see on the charts as an experienced meteorologist. Also it is worth watching out for Tuesday as it might have a few surprises with the latest GFS showing cold 528 DAM air wrapped round the disrupting trough threatening snow for hills in the south. Fascinating stuff ATM. Will. -- " Ah yet another day to enjoy " ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- A COL BH site in East Dartmoor at Haytor, Devon 310m asl (1017 feet). mailto: www: http://www.lyneside.demon.co.uk/Hayt...antage_Pro.htm DISCLAIMER - All views and opinions expressed by myself are personal and do not necessarily represent those of my employer. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- |
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