On 21/10/2020 09:42, Norman Lynagh wrote:
N_Cook wrote:

On 20/10/2020 20:21, N_Cook wrote:
On 20/10/2020 20:17, Norman Lynagh wrote:
Lots of significant development likely over the next week or
more. I see that the 12z run of the German ICON model predicts a
low centre of 918mb at about 59N 20W at 12z next Tuesday. One to
watch!


Storm Epsillon ?
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refres.../191205.shtml?
track projected on to our neck of the woods


NOAA NWW3 0Z is giving 18m sig wave heights west of the UK for
ex-hurricane Epsilon then, and 12m for the Channel Approaches, just
as well its neap tides then.

It won't happen, but one of the members of yesterday's 12z GFS ensemble
predicted the central pressure getting down to 888mb early next week.
The joys of NWP!!!


The projected Epsilon intensity multi-modal ensemble
https://web.uwm.edu/hurricane-models/models/al272020_late_inten.png
and tracks
https://web.uwm.edu/hurricane-models/models/al272020_late.png
don't look too dramatic, currently, for the UK

--
Global sea level rise to 2100 from curve-fitted existing altimetry data
http://diverse.4mg.com/slr.htm