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uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) (uk.sci.weather) For the discussion of daily weather events, chiefly affecting the UK and adjacent parts of Europe, both past and predicted. The discussion is open to all, but contributions on a practical scientific level are encouraged. |
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#1
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Globally, still very warm, despite a fairly deep La Nina.
http://www.drroyspencer.com However, cooler than average conditions are forecast to continue through 2021, with a rising possibility that La Nina conditions will re-establish themselves by the Boreal Autumn, after a period of ENSO neutral. 2021 is thus very unlikely to push for the warmest year on record. https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/produc...-fcsts-web.pdf |
#2
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Worth saying again perhaps that 2021 (on) 'anomaly' figures from UAH
moved from previously using the 1981-2010 mean to the 'new' 1991-2020 mean and so the nominal anomaly figures aren't directly comparable with those up to Dec 2020. I haven't calculated exactly what the difference is but presumably the new reference is something like 0.1 to 0.2C higher than for the previous 3 decades. And so the Jan & Feb anomalies appear smaller than if quoted against the previous reference. |
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