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uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) (uk.sci.weather) For the discussion of daily weather events, chiefly affecting the UK and adjacent parts of Europe, both past and predicted. The discussion is open to all, but contributions on a practical scientific level are encouraged. |
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#1
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I've updated the graph for global temperature anomalies and also the one
for the PDO: http://www.scarlet-jade.com/science/...e-change/#data Sorry for being a bit late this month but I've had other things on my mind. As you've probably seen, this May has been the warmest on record, beating 2014's record by 0.07C, but the anomaly is down from February's figure by a whopping 0.4C. The 12-month mean anomaly from June 2015 to this May is a new record for any 12-month period having hit +1.0c wrt 1951-80 or +1.3C relative to the pre-industrial era. The 11-year rolling mean was 0.04C higher than it was last year. The period of the mean is centred on 2011 and its value was 0.16c higher than that of 10 years earlier in 2001. This increase was all of 0.04C less than that which occurred over the previous decade because it covered the period of the [in]famous "hiatus". The PDO Index also just managed a new record for May being 0.03C above the previous value set in 1940. To put that into some sort of perspective, it was 1.16C below the all-time record of +3.51C set in July 1983. Remember though, that the Index is adjusted to remove the effect of the change in global SSTs. -- Graham P Davis, Bracknell, Berks. [Retd meteorologist/programmer] http://www.scarlet-jade.com/ I wear the cheese. It does not wear me. Posted with Claws: http://www.claws-mail.org/ |
#2
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On Wednesday, 22 June 2016 20:31:31 UTC+1, Graham P Davis wrote:
I've updated the graph for global temperature anomalies and also the one for the PDO: http://www.scarlet-jade.com/science/...e-change/#data Sorry for being a bit late this month but I've had other things on my mind. As you've probably seen, this May has been the warmest on record, beating 2014's record by 0.07C, but the anomaly is down from February's figure by a whopping 0.4C. The 12-month mean anomaly from June 2015 to this May is a new record for any 12-month period having hit +1.0c wrt 1951-80 or +1.3C relative to the pre-industrial era. The 11-year rolling mean was 0.04C higher than it was last year. The period of the mean is centred on 2011 and its value was 0.16c higher than that of 10 years earlier in 2001. This increase was all of 0.04C less than that which occurred over the previous decade because it covered the period of the [in]famous "hiatus". The PDO Index also just managed a new record for May being 0.03C above the previous value set in 1940. To put that into some sort of perspective, it was 1.16C below the all-time record of +3.51C set in July 1983. Remember though, that the Index is adjusted to remove the effect of the change in global SSTs. What loading did you allow for the recent findings about the US sitings of recording stations and how would it be extrapolated globally can you imagine? |
#3
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On Wednesday, 22 June 2016 20:31:31 UTC+1, Graham P Davis wrote:
I've updated the graph for global temperature anomalies and also the one for the PDO: http://www.scarlet-jade.com/science/...e-change/#data Sorry for being a bit late this month but I've had other things on my mind. As you've probably seen, this May has been the warmest on record, beating 2014's record by 0.07C, but the anomaly is down from February's figure by a whopping 0.4C. The 12-month mean anomaly from June 2015 to this May is a new record for any 12-month period having hit +1.0c wrt 1951-80 or +1.3C relative to the pre-industrial era. The 11-year rolling mean was 0.04C higher than it was last year. The period of the mean is centred on 2011 and its value was 0.16c higher than that of 10 years earlier in 2001. This increase was all of 0.04C less than that which occurred over the previous decade because it covered the period of the [in]famous "hiatus". The PDO Index also just managed a new record for May being 0.03C above the previous value set in 1940. To put that into some sort of perspective, it was 1.16C below the all-time record of +3.51C set in July 1983. Remember though, that the Index is adjusted to remove the effect of the change in global SSTs. -- Graham P Davis, Bracknell, Berks. [Retd meteorologist/programmer] http://www.scarlet-jade.com/ I wear the cheese. It does not wear me. Posted with Claws: http://www.claws-mail.org/ Oh those elephants. |
#4
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On Wednesday, June 22, 2016 at 3:31:31 PM UTC-4, Graham P Davis wrote:
I've updated the graph for global temperature anomalies and also the one for the PDO: http://www.scarlet-jade.com/science/...e-change/#data Sorry for being a bit late this month but I've had other things on my mind. As you've probably seen, this May has been the warmest on record, beating 2014's record by 0.07C, but the anomaly is down from February's figure by a whopping 0.4C. The 12-month mean anomaly from June 2015 to this May is a new record for any 12-month period having hit +1.0c wrt 1951-80 or +1.3C relative to the pre-industrial era. The 11-year rolling mean was 0.04C higher than it was last year. The period of the mean is centred on 2011 and its value was 0.16c higher than that of 10 years earlier in 2001. This increase was all of 0.04C less than that which occurred over the previous decade because it covered the period of the [in]famous "hiatus". The PDO Index also just managed a new record for May being 0.03C above the previous value set in 1940. To put that into some sort of perspective, it was 1.16C below the all-time record of +3.51C set in July 1983. Remember though, that the Index is adjusted to remove the effect of the change in global SSTs. -- Graham P Davis, Bracknell, Berks. [Retd meteorologist/programmer] http://www.scarlet-jade.com/ I wear the cheese. It does not wear me. Posted with Claws: http://www.claws-mail.org/ ======== Thanks, Graham. The persistence of strongly positive PDO is interesting considering the expectation of La Nina in the months ahead, which will probably begin fitfully given the conflict, and take until autumn/winter to become entrenched. There are very few analog years of concurrent positive PDO and La Nina. Stephen. |
#5
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On Wednesday, 22 June 2016 23:50:27 UTC+1, Lawrence Jenkins wrote:
On Wednesday, 22 June 2016 20:31:31 UTC+1, Graham P Davis wrote: I've updated the graph for global temperature anomalies and also the one for the PDO: http://www.scarlet-jade.com/science/...e-change/#data Sorry for being a bit late this month but I've had other things on my mind. As you've probably seen, this May has been the warmest on record, beating 2014's record by 0.07C, but the anomaly is down from February's figure by a whopping 0.4C. The 12-month mean anomaly from June 2015 to this May is a new record for any 12-month period having hit +1.0c wrt 1951-80 or +1.3C relative to the pre-industrial era. The 11-year rolling mean was 0.04C higher than it was last year. The period of the mean is centred on 2011 and its value was 0.16c higher than that of 10 years earlier in 2001. This increase was all of 0.04C less than that which occurred over the previous decade because it covered the period of the [in]famous "hiatus". The PDO Index also just managed a new record for May being 0.03C above the previous value set in 1940. To put that into some sort of perspective, it was 1.16C below the all-time record of +3.51C set in July 1983. Remember though, that the Index is adjusted to remove the effect of the change in global SSTs. -- Graham P Davis, Bracknell, Berks. [Retd meteorologist/programmer] Knows things Just not enough, obviously: http://www.scarlet-jade.com/ I wear the cheese. It does not wear me. You shall bring the first of the best as your devotion and not taint it: Exodus 23:19. Posted with Claws: http://www.claws-mail.org/ Oh those elephants. You see see what happens when you make a nuisance of yourself. People ignore you. It's a pity really especially when one of them is a glowballs warming programmer. You mustn't go around being rude to experts. All the more so if you would rather someone else commits genocide in your name and you carry on supporting their system that way. Anyway back to business: So minutes into this presentation the (appalling) speaker gives his reasons why you are better off using data that you know you can trust rather than open it to any IPCC-Glowballs: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Gmc5w2I-FCA "The largest climate fluctuations are regional and are strongly influenced by oceanic signals and feedbacks [as far as these "experts" can honestly get with the data they have.] Global temperatures can NOT be measured over a long run and any changes recorded [within these seriously limited data sets] have been small. Any claims of warming from the 1950's, '60's and '70's should NOT be trusted, unless they note the prior cooling." So well done you ****ing flowerpot; you ****ed up the Global Model. How much did they pay you for that and did you get a golden handshake when you retired? But you have seen this before. How do I know? Because I ****ing well told you before, you stupid *******s! And how do I know you are ****ing stupid *******s? Because you are expert and should already ****ing well know! Tell me you are innocent and I will apologise, you turkey. I will even do what I can* to help you remove truss and lemons (you are on your own with the cheese.) (*Not much, I admit -but you did it to yourself, Stooopid!) |
#6
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On Wednesday, 22 June 2016 23:50:27 UTC+1, Lawrence Jenkins wrote:
On Wednesday, 22 June 2016 20:31:31 UTC+1, Graham P Davis wrote: I've updated the graph for global temperature anomalies and also the one for the PDO: http://www.scarlet-jade.com/science/...e-change/#data Sorry for being a bit late this month but I've had other things on my mind. It must be serious if it over-rides the urgency of the situation. I hope everything is allright now. a whopping 0.4C. Oops: for any 12-month period having hit +1.0c wrt 1951-80 or +1.3C relativeto the pre-industrial era. 1.16C below the all-time record of +3.51C set in July 1983. Remember though, that the Index is adjusted to remove the effect of the change in global SSTs. And a few other things such as the real records from that century Oh those elephants. Here. Have an elephant. " Jeff Mitchell's best photograph: ‘These people have been betrayed by UKIP’ The photographer on his shot of refugees walking into Slovenia – and how he feels about UKIP using it on its Brexit poster." Did anyone think to ask him about the Serbians' use of such people to shield the trains they were using to supply the murderers? The ones the USA finally used smart bombs to kill them with? Or do you think they should have left it to someone else? The European coalition for example? |
#7
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On Thursday, 23 June 2016 05:52:44 UTC+1, Weatherlawyer wrote:
On Wednesday, 22 June 2016 23:50:27 UTC+1, Lawrence Jenkins wrote: On Wednesday, 22 June 2016 20:31:31 UTC+1, Graham P Davis wrote: I've updated the graph for global temperature anomalies and also the one for the PDO: http://www.scarlet-jade.com/science/...e-change/#data Sorry for being a bit late this month but I've had other things on my mind. It must be serious if it over-rides the urgency of the situation. I hope everything is allright now. a whopping 0.4C. Oops: for any 12-month period having hit +1.0c wrt 1951-80 or +1.3C relativeto the pre-industrial era. 1.16C below the all-time record of +3.51C set in July 1983. Remember though, that the Index is adjusted to remove the effect of the change in global SSTs. And a few other things such as the real records from that century Oh those elephants. Here. Have an elephant. " Jeff Mitchell's best photograph: ‘These people have been betrayed by UKIP’ The photographer on his shot of refugees walking into Slovenia – and how he feels about UKIP using it on its Brexit poster." Did anyone think to ask him about the Serbians' use of such people to shield the trains they were using to supply the murderers? The ones the USA finally used smart bombs to kill them with? Or do you think they should have left it to someone else? The European coalition for example? Original message removed as I screwed up the title. My apologies to the refugees and all the people like them such as the ones in Australian concentration camps that UKIP and the rest of the world thinks is OK. And that nobody on here has said anything about despite the desolation of the islands involved being On Topic. |
#8
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On Wed, 22 Jun 2016 15:50:26 -0700 (PDT)
Lawrence Jenkins wrote: Oh those elephants. All the way down. -- Graham P Davis, Bracknell, Berks. [Retd meteorologist/programmer] http://www.scarlet-jade.com/ I wear the cheese. It does not wear me. Posted with Claws: http://www.claws-mail.org/ |
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