Hi all,

Hope you find this summary useful.

Charts analysed are for T+96 hours - 12Z Friday 10th October 2003
unless stated.

UKMetO:
SLP: http://www.wetterzentrale.com/pics/Rukm961.html
Low pressure (990mb) lies over Northern Scandinavia, with a secondary
centre (995mb) close to the north of Scotland. High pressure (1025mb)
lies over the Bay of Biscay. Winds across the UK are moderate to fresh
west/northwesterlies, strongest in the north. Many parts will see a
mixture of sunshine and showers, with southern areas seeing the best
of the dry weather. Temperatures will be close to normal in many
parts, colder in the north for a time. Beyond this pressure builds
over the UK and settles close to Scandinavia over the weekend, so with
low pressure lying in the Atlantic, the UK lies under warmer
south/southeasterly winds with a good deal of fine weather for most
parts.


GFS:
SLP: http://www.wetterzentrale.com/pics/Rtavn961.html
850hPa Temperatures: http://www.wetterzentrale.com/pics/Rtavn962.html
2m Temperatures: http://www.wetterzentrale.com/pics/Rtavn965.html
Low pressure (985mb) lies to the north of Scotland. High pressure
(1025mb) lies over Newfoundland, and ridges strongly eastwards across
the Atlantic and into Southern Europe. Winds across the UK are
moderate to fresh west/northwesterlies, strongest in the north. Many
parts will see a mixture of sunshine and showers, with southern areas
seeing the best of the dry weather. 850hPa temperatures range from –1C
over Northern Ireland to +7C in the southeast. Forecast 2m
temperatures range from 9C over the Scottish Highlands to +15C in the
south. Beyond this pressure builds over continental Europe, and with
low pressure lying in the Atlantic, the UK lies under warmer
southerlies with a good deal of fair weather for most parts, with any
rain restricted to the west.


DWD:
SLP: http://www.wetter.com/home/img/sat/g...061200_096.gif
Low pressure (990mb) close to the northeast of Scotland. High pressure
(1025mbto the southwest of the UK in the Atlantic. Winds across the UK
are moderate to fresh west/northwesterlies, strongest in the north.
Many parts will see a mixture of sunshine and showers, with
southwestern areas seeing the best of the dry weather. Temperatures
will be close to normal in many parts, colder in the north for a time.
Beyond this pressure builds to the east of the UK and settles close to
Scandinavia over the weekend, whilst low pressure lies in the
Atlantic, meaning the UK lies under warmer south/southeasterly winds
with a good deal of fine weather for most parts.


NOGAPS:
SLP: http://www.wetterzentrale.com/pics/Rngp1201.html
850hPa Temperatu http://www.wetterzentrale.com/pics/Rngp1202.html
(T+96 Charts Unavailable, so T+120 charts analysed instead)
Low pressure (985mb) lies over to the north of Scandinavia, with
another low (990mb) lying to the southwest of Iceland. High pressure
(1025mb) lies over Central Europe and ridges into the country. Winds
across the UK are light to moderate westerlies, lightest in the south.
Many southern parts will be mainly dry and bright, whilst the north
sees further showers. 850hPa temperatures range from –2C in the far
north to +5C in the south. Temperatures will be close to normal in
many parts. Beyond this pressure continues to build to the southeast
of the country, meaning the UK lies under warmer south/southwesterly
winds with a good deal of fine weather for most parts.

JMA:
SLP: http://www.wetterzentrale.com/pics/Rjma961.html
850hPa Temperatures: http://www.wetterzentrale.com/pics/Rjma962.html
Low pressure (980mb) lies to the northeast of Scotland. High pressure
(1025mb) lies in the Central Atlantic, and ridges strongly eastwards
into Southern Europe. Winds across the UK are moderate to fresh
west/northwesterlies, strongest in the north. Many parts will see a
mixture of sunshine and showers, with southwestern areas seeing the
best of the dry weather. 850hPa temperatures range from –2C over
northwest Scotland to +5C in the south. Temperatures will be close to
normal, feeling cold in the wind. Beyond this pressure builds over
continental Europe, and ridges into southern parts of the UK, however
the north and west stays rather windy with low pressure close by
bringing rain or showers.

Canadian – T+72 hours for THURSDAY:
All charts: http://weatheroffice.ec.gc.ca/data/m...ast/478_50.gif
Low pressure (977mb) lies to the northwest of Scotland, whilst high
pressure (1028mb) lies to the west/southwest of the Bay of Biscay. The
UK lies under moderate to fresh westerly winds, strongest in the
north. Rain or showers are likely in the north, with the driest
weather always likely in the south. Temperatures will be close to
normal in most areas.

Summary:
Fairly good agreement tonight that high pressure will build to the
east/southeast of the UK over the weekend, turning the winds into a
warmer southerly quarter again with many parts turn mostly fine. Any
rain will be restricted to the far west and northwest.

"Paul B" wrote in message
om...
Hi all,

Hope you find this summary useful.

Charts analysed are for T+96 hours - 12Z Friday 10th October 2003
unless stated.


Many thanks, Paul.
I appreciate the analysis as I'm sure others do too.

I look forward to more of the same in the future...analysis that is, not the weather
type!

Joe

Excellent Summary. Would be useful any evening when you have spare time!

In uk.sci.weather on Mon, 6 Oct 2003 at 12:40:58, Paul B wrote :

Summary:
Fairly good agreement tonight that high pressure will build to the
east/southeast of the UK over the weekend, turning the winds into a
warmer southerly quarter again with many parts turn mostly fine. Any
rain will be restricted to the far west and northwest.

Great - just what the gardens in southern England need...
--
Paul Hyett, Cheltenham

Email to pahyett[AT]activist[DOT]demon[DOT]co[DOT]uk