Just played back Sunday's forecast for the week ahead and already it is
well out for the S.E. No mention of last nights torrential rain - the
heaviest and second highest for over a month. The fog had gone by
yesterday as forecast but no mild 16-17C forecast with max of 13C.
Showery rain was forecast for today and then the continental high was
going to keep the rain at bay Thursday and Friday with most shown going
up the western side of the Country. Not looking that way now with
everything appearing two hundred miles further East. There was mention
of doubt about the low pressure influence for this weekend though.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/iplayer/episode...ahead-01112015

Dave, S.Essex

"Dave Cornwell" wrote in message
...
Just played back Sunday's forecast for the week ahead and already it is
well out for the S.E. No mention of last nights torrential rain - the
heaviest and second highest for over a month. The fog had gone by
yesterday as forecast but no mild 16-17C forecast with max of 13C. Showery
rain was forecast for today and then the continental high was going to
keep the rain at bay Thursday and Friday with most shown going up the
western side of the Country. Not looking that way now with everything
appearing two hundred miles further East. There was mention of doubt about
the low pressure influence for this weekend though.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/iplayer/episode...ahead-01112015


Yes it has been a real success story for the GFS (IIRC). Well done GFS
modellers, credit where due.

Will
--
http://www.lyneside.demon.co.uk/Hayt...antage_Pro.htm
Will Hand (Haytor, Devon, 1017 feet asl)
---------------------------------------------

On Wednesday, 4 November 2015 09:58:42 UTC, wrote:

Yes it has been a real success story for the GFS (IIRC). Well done GFS
modellers, credit where due.

One of these winters I'll try and score the forecast of the GFS and ECMWF when they diverge to see who comes out "winner" - it would be of particular interest to see if there are any particular situations/Lamb weather types when one outscores the other (I suspect this might be already done internally at the Met Office).

Richard

On Wednesday, 4 November 2015 10:09:10 UTC, Richard Dixon wrote:
On Wednesday, 4 November 2015 09:58:42 UTC, wrote:

Yes it has been a real success story for the GFS (IIRC). Well done GFS
modellers, credit where due.

One of these winters I'll try and score the forecast of the GFS and ECMWF when they diverge to see who comes out "winner" - it would be of particular interest to see if there are any particular situations/Lamb weather types when one outscores the other (I suspect this might be already done internally at the Met Office).

Richard

As pointed out by Bruce in terms of Lamb Weather Types it will be interesting if November turns out like 1972, 1947, 1962 and 1946... Interest reserved for northern Scotland - I would imagine a brief cool spell mid-month down here.


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On Wednesday, 4 November 2015 16:41:04 UTC, Scott W wrote:
On Wednesday, 4 November 2015 10:09:10 UTC, Richard Dixon wrote:
On Wednesday, 4 November 2015 09:58:42 UTC, wrote:

Yes it has been a real success story for the GFS (IIRC). Well done GFS
modellers, credit where due.

One of these winters I'll try and score the forecast of the GFS and ECMWF when they diverge to see who comes out "winner" - it would be of particular interest to see if there are any particular situations/Lamb weather types when one outscores the other (I suspect this might be already done internally at the Met Office).

Richard

As pointed out by Bruce in terms of Lamb Weather Types it will be interesting if November turns out like 1972, 1947, 1962 and 1946... Interest reserved for northern Scotland - I would imagine a brief cool spell mid-month down here.


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80 Strand, London WC2R 0RL. Registered in England and Wales with company
number 53723.

62 ? Doubt that now looks like one long conveyor belt of WSW mid Atlantic fetch of a balmy, bloody boring, moist never ending airstream.


Never mind zo, ze wetter Gods have plans ya, for an eastern front cold blast that will freeze the carbon free balls of an alarmist monkey, no.



When our glorious leader Merkel goes through ze French customs and they say to her 'Occupation' ?

Frau Merkel will zay.

"No I'm just here for ze climate conference, ya"


Deutsch Sprung Diesel is sponsoring the German delegation.

On Wednesday, 4 November 2015 09:39:55 UTC, Dave Cornwell wrote:
Just played back Sunday's forecast for the week ahead and already it is
well out for the S.E. No mention of last nights torrential rain - the
heaviest and second highest for over a month. The fog had gone by
yesterday as forecast but no mild 16-17C forecast with max of 13C.
Showery rain was forecast for today and then the continental high was
going to keep the rain at bay Thursday and Friday with most shown going
up the western side of the Country. Not looking that way now with
everything appearing two hundred miles further East. There was mention
of doubt about the low pressure influence for this weekend though.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/iplayer/episode...ahead-01112015

Dave, S.Essex

Perhaps attentions have been focused on the launch of Weather Watchers this week? Let the people report the weather as it happens, rather than forecast it?

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This email was sent by a company owned by Pearson plc, registered office at
80 Strand, London WC2R 0RL. Registered in England and Wales with company
number 53723.

On 04/11/2015 16:07, Scott W wrote:
On Wednesday, 4 November 2015 09:39:55 UTC, Dave Cornwell wrote:
Just played back Sunday's forecast for the week ahead and already it is
well out for the S.E. No mention of last nights torrential rain - the
heaviest and second highest for over a month. The fog had gone by
yesterday as forecast but no mild 16-17C forecast with max of 13C.
Showery rain was forecast for today and then the continental high was
going to keep the rain at bay Thursday and Friday with most shown going
up the western side of the Country. Not looking that way now with
everything appearing two hundred miles further East. There was mention
of doubt about the low pressure influence for this weekend though.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/iplayer/episode...ahead-01112015

Dave, S.Essex

Perhaps attentions have been focused on the launch of Weather Watchers this week? Let the people report the weather as it happens, rather than forecast it?


http://www.bbc.co.uk/weatherwatchers

'Sign in or register to become a weather watcher'
Hmmmm.... I don't think I have to do that. I already *am* a weather
watcher, been doing it here for years!

'Your weather, your way'
Cringe
No thanks, sounds like they are advertising a supermarket.

Oh, and the weather conditions on that map are very unlikely to ocurr
simultaneouly. Yeah I know it's meant to be schematic but let's have a
bit of realism if that is one of the graphics they will be portraying.
--
Col

Bolton, Lancashire
160m asl
Snow videos:
http://www.youtube.com/channel/UC3QvmL4UWBmHFMKWiwYm_gg

On Wednesday, 4 November 2015 18:44:11 UTC, Col wrote:

Perhaps attentions have been focused on the launch of Weather Watchers this week? Let the people report the weather as it happens, rather than forecast it?


http://www.bbc.co.uk/weatherwatchers

They should just point them to weatherobs.com !

Richard

On Wednesday, 4 November 2015 21:04:27 UTC, Richard Dixon wrote:
On Wednesday, 4 November 2015 18:44:11 UTC, Col wrote:

Perhaps attentions have been focused on the launch of Weather Watchers this week? Let the people report the weather as it happens, rather than forecast it?


http://www.bbc.co.uk/weatherwatchers

They should just point them to weatherobs.com !

Richard

Indeed! I'm feeling thoroughly depressed tonight about the management of all this.

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