uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) (uk.sci.weather) For the discussion of daily weather events, chiefly affecting the UK and adjacent parts of Europe, both past and predicted. The discussion is open to all, but contributions on a practical scientific level are encouraged.

Reply
 
LinkBack Thread Tools Search this Thread Display Modes
  #1   Report Post  
Old February 26th 15, 07:48 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
external usenet poster
 
First recorded activity by Weather-Banter: Mar 2008
Posts: 10,601
Default Could the PDO be changing to a positive phase?

Values like this haven't been seen for almost 20 years:

http://margaret.atmos.washington.edu/pdo/PDO.latest

Could augment the global temperatures caused by the current El Nino conditions. The Global temperatures over the next few months - and indeed in 2015 overall - could be interesting!

  #2   Report Post  
Old February 26th 15, 10:58 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
external usenet poster
 
First recorded activity by Weather-Banter: Dec 2006
Posts: 6,158
Default Could the PDO be changing to a positive phase?

On Thursday, 26 February 2015 20:49:00 UTC, Dawlish wrote:
Values like this haven't been seen for almost 20 years:

http://margaret.atmos.washington.edu/pdo/PDO.latest

Could augment the global temperatures caused by the current El Nino conditions. The Global temperatures over the next few months - and indeed in 2015 overall - could be interesting!


No one else has seen either-the link doesn't work.
  #3   Report Post  
Old February 27th 15, 09:52 AM posted to uk.sci.weather
external usenet poster
 
First recorded activity by Weather-Banter: Apr 2014
Posts: 1,510
Default Could the PDO be changing to a positive phase?

In message ,
Lawrence Jenkins writes
On Thursday, 26 February 2015 20:49:00 UTC, Dawlish wrote:
Values like this haven't been seen for almost 20 years:

http://margaret.atmos.washington.edu/pdo/PDO.latest

Could augment the global temperatures caused by the current El Nino
conditions. The Global temperatures over the next few months - and
indeed in 2015 overall - could be interesting!


No one else has seen either-the link doesn't work.


Yes, it looks as though the link has been truncated.
--
I'm not paid to implement the recognition of irony.
(Taken, with the author's permission, from a LiveJournal post)

  #4   Report Post  
Old February 27th 15, 10:38 AM posted to uk.sci.weather
external usenet poster
 
First recorded activity by Weather-Banter: Oct 2004
Posts: 4,814
Default Could the PDO be changing to a positive phase?

On Thu, 26 Feb 2015 15:58:28 -0800 (PST)
Lawrence Jenkins wrote:

On Thursday, 26 February 2015 20:49:00 UTC, Dawlish wrote:
Values like this haven't been seen for almost 20 years:

http://margaret.atmos.washington.edu/pdo/PDO.latest

Could augment the global temperatures caused by the current El Nino
conditions. The Global temperatures over the next few months - and
indeed in 2015 overall - could be interesting!


No one else has seen either-the link doesn't work.


No problem with the link here. I'm using FF 35.0.

--
Graham P Davis, Bracknell, Berks. [Retd meteorologist/programmer]
The brain is a wonderful organ. It starts working the moment you get
up and does not stop until you get into the office. – ROBERT FROST
Posted with Claws: http://www.claws-mail.org/



  #5   Report Post  
Old February 27th 15, 10:50 AM posted to uk.sci.weather
external usenet poster
 
First recorded activity by Weather-Banter: Jan 2015
Posts: 451
Default Could the PDO be changing to a positive phase?

On 27/02/15 11:38, Graham P Davis wrote:
On Thu, 26 Feb 2015 15:58:28 -0800 (PST)
Lawrence Jenkins wrote:

On Thursday, 26 February 2015 20:49:00 UTC, Dawlish wrote:
Values like this haven't been seen for almost 20 years:

http://margaret.atmos.washington.edu/pdo/PDO.latest

Could augment the global temperatures caused by the current El Nino
conditions. The Global temperatures over the next few months - and
indeed in 2015 overall - could be interesting!


No one else has seen either-the link doesn't work.


No problem with the link here. I'm using FF 35.0.


Causes a 404 error here, Also using FF 35.0.1 but also FF 36.0

The link as above is visually incomplete.

--
AS
http://minnies.opcop.org.uk/minnies.htm



  #6   Report Post  
Old February 27th 15, 11:00 AM posted to uk.sci.weather
external usenet poster
 
First recorded activity by Weather-Banter: Nov 2003
Posts: 935
Default Could the PDO be changing to a positive phase?

On 27/02/2015 11:38, Graham P Davis wrote:
On Thu, 26 Feb 2015 15:58:28 -0800 (PST)
Lawrence Jenkins wrote:

On Thursday, 26 February 2015 20:49:00 UTC, Dawlish wrote:
Values like this haven't been seen for almost 20 years:

http://margaret.atmos.washington.edu/pdo/PDO.latest

Could augment the global temperatures caused by the current El Nino
conditions. The Global temperatures over the next few months - and
indeed in 2015 overall - could be interesting!


No one else has seen either-the link doesn't work.


No problem with the link here. I'm using FF 35.0.


Curious. It is a hard object not found 404 with IE & Chrome.
Even the truncated to previous directory fails 404

The root server works but a search on PDO.latest gives a PDF document
dated 2010 which also fails 404.

--
Regards,
Martin Brown
  #7   Report Post  
Old February 27th 15, 11:18 AM posted to uk.sci.weather
external usenet poster
 
First recorded activity by Weather-Banter: Oct 2004
Posts: 4,814
Default Could the PDO be changing to a positive phase?

On Fri, 27 Feb 2015 12:00:42 +0000
Martin Brown wrote:

On 27/02/2015 11:38, Graham P Davis wrote:
On Thu, 26 Feb 2015 15:58:28 -0800 (PST)
Lawrence Jenkins wrote:

On Thursday, 26 February 2015 20:49:00 UTC, Dawlish wrote:
Values like this haven't been seen for almost 20 years:

http://margaret.atmos.washington.edu/pdo/PDO.latest

Could augment the global temperatures caused by the current El
Nino conditions. The Global temperatures over the next few months
- and indeed in 2015 overall - could be interesting!

No one else has seen either-the link doesn't work.


No problem with the link here. I'm using FF 35.0.


Curious. It is a hard object not found 404 with IE & Chrome.
Even the truncated to previous directory fails 404

The root server works but a search on PDO.latest gives a PDF document
dated 2010 which also fails 404.


Ah! I've just realised the problem. I accessed this page some time ago
so am getting it via cache. I've cut-and-pasted the link and tried it
in other browsers and it was missing.

They seem to have reverted to the old link,
http://research.jisao.washington.edu/pdo/PDO.latest, so I suspect that
failing site was a temporary location.


--
Graham P Davis, Bracknell, Berks. [Retd meteorologist/programmer]
The brain is a wonderful organ. It starts working the moment you get
up and does not stop until you get into the office. – ROBERT FROST
Posted with Claws: http://www.claws-mail.org/



  #8   Report Post  
Old February 27th 15, 11:45 AM posted to uk.sci.weather
external usenet poster
 
First recorded activity by Weather-Banter: Dec 2006
Posts: 6,158
Default Could the PDO be changing to a positive phase?

On Friday, 27 February 2015 12:18:49 UTC, Graham P Davis wrote:
On Fri, 27 Feb 2015 12:00:42 +0000
Martin Brown wrote:

On 27/02/2015 11:38, Graham P Davis wrote:
On Thu, 26 Feb 2015 15:58:28 -0800 (PST)
Lawrence Jenkins wrote:

On Thursday, 26 February 2015 20:49:00 UTC, Dawlish wrote:
Values like this haven't been seen for almost 20 years:

http://margaret.atmos.washington.edu/pdo/PDO.latest

Could augment the global temperatures caused by the current El
Nino conditions. The Global temperatures over the next few months
- and indeed in 2015 overall - could be interesting!

No one else has seen either-the link doesn't work.

No problem with the link here. I'm using FF 35.0.


Curious. It is a hard object not found 404 with IE & Chrome.
Even the truncated to previous directory fails 404

The root server works but a search on PDO.latest gives a PDF document
dated 2010 which also fails 404.


Ah! I've just realised the problem. I accessed this page some time ago
so am getting it via cache. I've cut-and-pasted the link and tried it
in other browsers and it was missing.

They seem to have reverted to the old link,
http://research.jisao.washington.edu/pdo/PDO.latest, so I suspect that
failing site was a temporary location.


--
Graham P Davis, Bracknell, Berks. [Retd meteorologist/programmer]
The brain is a wonderful organ. It starts working the moment you get
up and does not stop until you get into the office. - ROBERT FROST
Posted with Claws: http://www.claws-mail.org/


Told you so.
  #9   Report Post  
Old February 27th 15, 01:15 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
external usenet poster
 
First recorded activity by Weather-Banter: Jan 2014
Posts: 188
Default Could the PDO be changing to a positive phase?

On 26/02/15 23:58, Lawrence Jenkins wrote:
On Thursday, 26 February 2015 20:49:00 UTC, Dawlish wrote:
Values like this haven't been seen for almost 20 years:

http://margaret.atmos.washington.edu/pdo/PDO.latest

Could augment the global temperatures caused by the current El Nino conditions. The Global temperatures over the next few months - and indeed in 2015 overall - could be interesting!


No one else has seen either-the link doesn't work.


This works - not sure if it's what dawlish wanted us to see.

go here :-
http://margaret.atmos.washington.edu/

Then click on PDO at the bottom of the 4th column of links.
(or go directly here,same thing)
http://research.jisao.washington.edu/pdo/

You'll see a chart and the top left link "PDO Index Monthly
Values:January 1900-present", takes you he-

http://research.jisao.washington.edu/pdo/PDO.latest
  #10   Report Post  
Old February 27th 15, 03:19 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
external usenet poster
 
First recorded activity by Weather-Banter: Nov 2003
Posts: 935
Default Could the PDO be changing to a positive phase?

On 27/02/2015 14:15, RedAcer wrote:
On 26/02/15 23:58, Lawrence Jenkins wrote:
On Thursday, 26 February 2015 20:49:00 UTC, Dawlish wrote:
Values like this haven't been seen for almost 20 years:

http://margaret.atmos.washington.edu/pdo/PDO.latest

Could augment the global temperatures caused by the current El Nino conditions.
The Global temperatures over the next few months - and indeed in

2015 overall - could be interesting!

No one else has seen either-the link doesn't work.


This works - not sure if it's what dawlish wanted us to see.

go here :-
http://margaret.atmos.washington.edu/

Then click on PDO at the bottom of the 4th column of links.
(or go directly here,same thing)
http://research.jisao.washington.edu/pdo/

You'll see a chart and the top left link "PDO Index Monthly
Values:January 1900-present", takes you he-

http://research.jisao.washington.edu/pdo/PDO.latest


My hunch is that PDO is pseudo periodic with a period of just over 60
years so that it may come back to zero like in 1955 for a couple of
years before plunging sharply downwards. If I am right in this
conjecture then it might briefly go above zero but won't be strongly
positive for a sustained period for another 20 years or so.

There are tidal forces with periods that are multiples of 31 years and
29 years which could play a part driving this. The time series record is
too short and too noisy to be convincing but will improve in time.

--
Regards,
Martin Brown


Reply
Thread Tools Search this Thread
Search this Thread:

Advanced Search
Display Modes

Posting Rules

Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Trackbacks are On
Pingbacks are On
Refbacks are On


Similar Threads
Thread Thread Starter Forum Replies Last Post
2 years with the PDO in a positive phase dawlish uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) 1 February 17th 16 01:25 PM
PDO positive again in July Dawlish uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) 1 August 13th 15 03:31 PM
Research points to the importance of the PDO phase in how quicklyglobal temperatures rise. Dawlish uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) 1 March 3rd 15 05:33 PM
Pacific Cooling, Blame It on The PDO David[_4_] sci.geo.meteorology (Meteorology) 2 December 22nd 08 07:12 PM
CO2: A weaker correlation than the PDO [email protected] sci.geo.meteorology (Meteorology) 6 May 1st 08 04:57 PM


All times are GMT. The time now is 05:51 AM.

Powered by vBulletin® Copyright ©2000 - 2025, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.
Copyright ©2004-2025 Weather Banter.
The comments are property of their posters.
 

About Us

"It's about Weather"

 

Copyright © 2017