On 04/07/2014 08:03, General wrote:
"Alastair McDonald" wrote in message ...

There's a chance here to try your luck at estimating the Arctic sea ice
minimum for this year.
http://www.arcus.org/sipn/sea-ice-outlook/2014/june

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It's a pretty futile exercise though isn't it? There's certainly a
strong downward trend in monthly values but overlaid with very
significant randomness due to the variable Arctic weather between now
and 2-3 months hence. You might just as well try to guess Tmax for
London on eg 24th Sept. Can't honestly see there's much fun in that?

I did hear someone or a group who claimed to have found a way of
estimating what the minimum would be based on the amount of melt water
on the ice at the end of Spring or early summer. Can't recall where I
heard this.