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Old May 24th 14, 12:52 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default **Forecast** Low pressure determining the weather in the UK atT+240 on 20th May.

On 23/05/2014 01:53, Dave Cornwell wrote:

Things are as you would expect. When there is excellent agreement
between the models the accuracy outcome is high. Well, yes, they would,
wouldn't they, as that's how statistics work.


This is only true if the variability in the model forecasts is an
accurate representation of the forecast uncertainty (there are methods
to test this).

 
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