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uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) (uk.sci.weather) For the discussion of daily weather events, chiefly affecting the UK and adjacent parts of Europe, both past and predicted. The discussion is open to all, but contributions on a practical scientific level are encouraged. |
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#23
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On 23/05/2014 01:53, Dave Cornwell wrote:
Things are as you would expect. When there is excellent agreement between the models the accuracy outcome is high. Well, yes, they would, wouldn't they, as that's how statistics work. This is only true if the variability in the model forecasts is an accurate representation of the forecast uncertainty (there are methods to test this). |
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