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uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) (uk.sci.weather) For the discussion of daily weather events, chiefly affecting the UK and adjacent parts of Europe, both past and predicted. The discussion is open to all, but contributions on a practical scientific level are encouraged. |
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#1
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On Apr 16, 8:53*am, Weatherlawyer wrote:
On Apr 12, 10:38*pm, Weatherlawyer wrote: I don't know if things are going to get back to normal or if there has been a seasonal change there. But take a look at this run over the next 150 hours: http://www.bom.gov.au/australia/char...ml?type=mslp-p... First off, concentrate on the precipitation out of Africa and see where it goes, straight into the continent and stays there. Next time around, watch a confluence from South America join it. The charts finish before any conclusions can be drawn. It looks like it could get interesting though. It might even supply a crib into the way that meteorological computer programmes might be bent to include seismic disturbances. A low on the southern tip of Greenland sending earthquake signals out into the Atlantic midnight 16th, turns into a deep Low over Ireland midnight on the 18th, dispersing over Britain by noon. Dense Lows deepen off Antarctica (30 and 140 East) 06:00 UTC today deepen and by 05:00 on the 17th disperse. That's got to be worth a couple of sixes. The next roll of the dice for powerful quakes according to the BOM Antarctic chart looks like the weekend. Take a look at the three dark regions on Saturday: http://www.bom.gov.au/australia/char...Refresh+ View It looks like 2 more Magnitude 6s but the Met Office is indicating nothing of the osort. So it will probably be something else. More tornadoes in the USA? I have no idea. There is actually a boat anchor heading for the Baltic on Thursday. We are more than due for a theatric phreatic but I really shouldn't say. |
#2
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On Apr 17, 4:36*pm, Weatherlawyer wrote:
There is actually a boat anchor heading for the Baltic on Thursday. There was. But it is gone now. It seems its all over when the Vanuatu lady sings. I wonder if this: 5.2 M. 2012/04/18. @ 01:18 VANUATU is true for all series or just these types. Anyway there is no boat anchor over the Baltic on today's run. The charts are full of mice though. And what is interesting about Saturday on the Antarctic chart runs is that there is a confluence that puts pressure on the BRH quadrant as far as the South Pole - TWICE: 06:00 Saturday and 06:00 Sunday. I've no idea what that means, as usual of course. But it is interesting. Meanwhile, I should be looking at the NWS charts. Maybe next week. |
#3
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On Apr 18, 11:13*am, Weatherlawyer wrote:
There is a confluence that puts pressure on the Bottom right hand quadrant as far as the South Pole - TWICE: 06:00 Saturday and 06:00 Sunday. I've no idea what that means, as usual of course. But it is interesting. Meanwhile, I should be looking at the NWS charts. Maybe next week. It disappears by Monday but take a look at how the Polar Low (if I may be allowed a litle license) swells out into the Pacific to 40 S. That happened last week, south of Australia, about when the two super- quakes struck. It's too far off to take it all that seriously but you'd have to be a fool to ignore it. (But don't let me stop you.) |
#4
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On Apr 19, 4:21*pm, Weatherlawyer wrote:
On Apr 18, 11:13*am, Weatherlawyer wrote: There is a confluence that puts pressure on the Bottom right hand quadrant as far as the South Pole - TWICE: 06:00 Saturday Here's one ofd them: 2012/04/21 6.6 M. @ 01:16. 1.6 S. 134.3 E. NEAR THE NORTH COAST OF PAPUA, INDONESIA and 06:00 Sunday. Due any tims in th next few hours some distance from Indonesia I presume as it is a 1/3 of the way around the continent. It disappears by Monday but take a look at how the Polar Low swells out into the Pacific to 40 S. It is the end of the spell today but the North Atlantic becomes the picture of last week with a patchy incoherence reminescent of that large quake series. The system off the Peninsula breeds a few more beforew the next spell ends. Look out for early Monday about 5pm UT. Then a smaller event some 24 hours later. followed by a lage one again (though it could be a triple quake of smaller magnitudes) over by Wednesday evening. Maybe a 5M. again on Thursday morning and then it gets interesting Friday. Maybe the system will disperse over the Peninsula? The spell doesn't end until the 29th though and Friday is only the 26th. Meanwhile, Hlaf a continent away, there is another large system brewing towards the end of the chart run. |
#5
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On Apr 21, 11:35*am, Weatherlawyer wrote:
There is a confluence that puts pressure on the Bottom right hand quadrant as far as the South Pole - TWICE: 06:00 Saturday Here's one of them: 2012/04/21 6.6 M. @ 01:16. 1.6 S. 134.3 E. NEAR THE NORTH COAST OF PAPUA, INDONESIA and 06:00 Sunday. And here is the other: http://www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/reports/120421_rpts.html Due any time in the next few hours Storm Reports (1200 UTC - 1159 UTC I am not sure about the times givewn by the storm reporters: Tornado Reports (CSV) (Raw Tornado CSV)(?) Time Location County State Lat Lon Comments 1723 5 SE GLYNDON CLAY MN 4682 9650 SPOTTER REPORTED 4 FOOT BY 6 FOOT PIECES OF TIN SCATTERED ON BOTH SIDES OF HIWAY 9. NUMEROUS FUNNELS REPORTED IN THE AREA WITH TOUCHDOWN. (FGF) 1824 4 SE KENT WILKIN MN 4640 9662 DAMAGE TO POLE BARN ... TRAMPOLINE BLOWN ON TOP OF GARAGE ... AND ROOF DAMAGE TO TRAILER. NUMEROUS FUNNELS REPORTED IN AREA WITH TOUCHDOWN. (FGF) 1940 5 S FERGUS FALLS OTTER TAIL MN 4621 9607 GRAIN BIN AND SHOP DAMAGED. NUMEROUS FUNNELS REPORTED IN THE AREA WITH BRIEF TOUCHDOWN. TIME APPROXIMATE. (FGF) 2011 4 E MILAN CHIPPEWA MN 4511 9583 BARN AND GRAINERYS DAMAGED (MPX) 2023 6 NNE WALNUT GROVE REDWOOD MN 4431 9542 MULTIPLE REPORTS OF FUNNELS WITH BRIEF TOUCHDOWNS OVER 10-15 MINUTES ... TIME IS ESTIMATED AS IS LOCATION. (MPX) 2028 6 E BIG BEND CITY SWIFT MN 4515 9569 (MPX) 2030 2 NE FARWELL DOUGLAS MN 4577 9559 30-40 FOOT POLE BARN TAKEN DOWN ... DAMAGE TO A SECOND BARN AS WELL. NEIGHBOR WITNESSED A FUNNEL. TIME IS ESTIMATED BASED ON RADAR. (MPX) 2045 7 S LUCAN REDWOOD MN 4431 9541 TIME ESTIMATED BETWEEN 330 AND 400 PM CDT. DAMAGE TO A FLOWER SHOP. (MPX) 2127 3 SSE SPENCER CLAY IA 4310 9512 ROPE TORNADO ON THE GROUND FOR ABOUT 5 MINUTES (FSD) 2143 10 SSE DICKENS CLAY IA 4300 9495 ON THE GROUND FOR ABOUT ONE MINUTE (FSD) some distance from Indonesia I presume as it is a 1/3 of the way around the continent. Well, it was certainly some distance from Indonesia. It was some other things too but you'll have to ask god about that. It disappears by Monday but take a look at how the Polar Low swells out into the Pacific to 40 S. It is the end of the spell today but the North Atlantic becomes the picture of last week with a patchy incoherence reminiscent of that large quake series. The system off the Peninsula breeds a few more before the next spell ends. This may offer us an insight about which wave was which. My guess is that the more extraordinary one was the the system rubbing up against the Antarctic Peninsula. 1. It's on the right longitude and 2. It behaves so differently. Pity I got banned from the Storm Watch empire. (The stupid buggers ain't got no sense of humour.) Look out for early Monday about 5pm UT. Then a smaller event some 24 hours later. followed by a large one again (though it could be a triple quake of smaller magnitudes) over by Wednesday evening. Maybe a 5M. again on Thursday morning and then it gets interesting Friday. Maybe the system will disperse over the Peninsula? The spell doesn't end until the 29th though and Friday is only the 26th. What happens with tornado cells is that they sweep up from the South West and run North East diurnally over a three day period so it might pay to look more closely at the way the Lows off Antarctica are forecast to behave. I only gave a rough estimate, ignoring precipitation and the behaviour of the anticyclones. Not guessing what was happening. (There was no signal I could see in ther North Atlantic.) Meanwhile, Hlaf a continent away, there is another large system brewing towards the end of the chart run. There are no fronts in the charts I was looking at but the Australian site I got them from does produce a set with charts. Unfortunately it is in two separate charts. I have no idea why. But they are stored online as archives he http://www.bom.gov.au/australia/char...an_ocean.shtml http://www.bom.gov.au/australia/char...ic_ocean.shtml I wish I could hear what sounds they make. OK! That's it then. Problem solved, ....for now. Any questions? |
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