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Old June 14th 10, 05:27 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default Transition to La Nina under way according to NOAA

The model consensus agrees with this in pat, but 9/16 models keep ENSO
neutral conditions, 8 of them keep those conditions right through next
winter. NOAA seem a little out on their own and certainly their own
model is by far the most bullish of a La Nina developing. It'll be
interesting to see where we are in 6 months time.

•ENSO-neutral conditions are present across the equatorial Pacific.
•Sea surface temperatures continue to decrease across much of the
Pacific Ocean.
•Conditions are favorable for a transition to La Niña conditions
during June-August 2010.

http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/product...-fcsts-web.pdf
 
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