Just looking at http://imkpc3.physik.uni-karlsruhe.d...ics/brack4.gif and
noticed hurricane Fabian has appeared on the chart for Sunday. Any thoughts
on the trajectory of this depression?


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Hi Mag.
Without any obvious blocking high it might turn out to be one to watch for
our shores.
Of course it wouldn't be a hurricane as such by the time it reached UK
waters - but it could still pack a punch/splash if it traversed the Atlantic
in a hurry.
Time will tell.
Alex.

"Mag" wrote in message
...
Just looking at http://imkpc3.physik.uni-karlsruhe.d...ics/brack4.gif
and
noticed hurricane Fabian has appeared on the chart for Sunday. Any
thoughts
on the trajectory of this depression?


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As Mag said in an earlier post, I wonder if the recent hot weather has
significantly raised the sea temperature.
Would this slow down Fabians weakening?

Just my thoughts

Brendan

"Brendan DJ Murphy" wrote in news:bj4202$d0h$1
@hercules.btinternet.com:

As Mag said in an earlier post, I wonder if the recent hot weather has
significantly raised the sea temperature.
Would this slow down Fabians weakening?

I would expect that the SSTs around our climes, although anomalously high,
would never be high enough to sustain a hurricane - you really need SSTs
above 27c for a tropical storm-strength system to be sustained. Also, bear
in mind that the system has to cross a huge amount of sea to reach us.

Most hurricanes have either dissipated over the colder sea or transformed
into an extratropical cyclone before that reach us - have a look at
Hurricane Lili from 1996 as an example:

http://weather.unisys.com/hurricane/...LILI/track.gif

This went on to hit the UK and give gusts of 70mph as an extratropical
system.

Cheers
Richard