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uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) (uk.sci.weather) For the discussion of daily weather events, chiefly affecting the UK and adjacent parts of Europe, both past and predicted. The discussion is open to all, but contributions on a practical scientific level are encouraged. |
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Who says we can't have a cold winter after a 20 year period
(1987-2006) of predominantly mild winters, It's happened before. Based on Central England Temperatures, from 1896 to 1916 there were no winters with an average CET below 3.0c. The average winter temperature from 1896 to 1916 was 4.4c YEAR WINTER 1895 1.2 Excluded from avg 1896 4.4 1897 3.8 1898 5.4 1899 5.8 1900 3.1 1901 4.3 1902 3.2 1903 5.3 1904 3.6 1905 4.2 1906 4.4 1907 3.1 1908 4.1 1909 3.4 1910 4.2 1911 5.0 1912 5.1 1913 5.3 1914 5.2 1915 4.3 1916 5.5 1917 1.5 Excluded from avg Average 4.4 Compared to the period 1987 to 2006, also there hasn't been a winter with a CET below 3.0c. The average winter temperature from 1987 to 2006 has been 4.9c. YEAR WINTER 1986 2.9 Excluded from avg 1987 3.5 1988 5.3 1989 6.5 1990 6.2 1991 3.0 1992 4.6 1993 4.7 1994 4.7 1995 5.9 1996 3.0 1997 4.0 1998 6.1 1999 5.4 2000 5.4 2001 4.5 2002 5.4 2003 4.7 2004 5.1 2005 5.2 2006 4.1 Average 4.9 Never say never. Just because we haven't had a cold winter since 1986, does not mean we will not have a cold winter again (even with climate change). http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/research...HadCET_act.txt Winter classed as Dec of previous year, Jan & Feb |
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