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Old April 27th 07, 11:19 AM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default Last 12 months 2°C above the long term average.


This from the PM (Radio4) newsletter...

....... the Met Office have just released figures showing that April is
likely to be the warmest month since records began in England more than 300
years ago. The Central England Temperature observations are the world's
longest running temperature series and date back to 1659. The Provisional
figure for April 2007 is 11.1 °C - that's 3.2 °C above the long term
average. Meteorologists say in addition, the 12-month rolling period ending
in April 2007 is also set to be the warmest ever. Nearly 2°C above the long
term average for the period.

Les


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Old April 27th 07, 05:58 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default Last 12 months 2°C above the long term average.

On Fri, 27 Apr 2007 12:19:26 +0100, "Les Hemmings"
wrote:

This from the PM (Radio4) newsletter...

....... the Met Office have just released figures showing that April is
likely to be the warmest month since records began in England more than 300
years ago. The Central England Temperature observations are the world's
longest running temperature series and date back to 1659. The Provisional
figure for April 2007 is 11.1 °C - that's 3.2 °C above the long term
average. Meteorologists say in addition, the 12-month rolling period ending
in April 2007 is also set to be the warmest ever. Nearly 2°C above the long
term average for the period.

Reporting on Radio Five Live earlier today, Philip made an interesting
observation about the number of days "above average" compared to the
number f days "below average" in the last 12 months. I cannot recall
the exact figures but I think he mentioned around 75 days below
average and 200 - odd above average... if so, this is a huge
imbalance.

Philip if you are there, would you mind repeating the information that
you gave on air? I'd love to know the actual figures and the
definition of "days above average" (or whatever you actually said,
which may be different ).

--
Dave
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Old April 27th 07, 06:14 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default Last 12 months 2°C above the long term average.


"Dave Ludlow" wrote in message
news
On Fri, 27 Apr 2007 12:19:26 +0100, "Les Hemmings"
wrote:

This from the PM (Radio4) newsletter...

....... the Met Office have just released figures showing that April is
likely to be the warmest month since records began in England more than
300
years ago. The Central England Temperature observations are the world's
longest running temperature series and date back to 1659. The Provisional
figure for April 2007 is 11.1 °C - that's 3.2 °C above the long term
average. Meteorologists say in addition, the 12-month rolling period
ending
in April 2007 is also set to be the warmest ever. Nearly 2°C above the
long
term average for the period.

Reporting on Radio Five Live earlier today, Philip made an interesting
observation about the number of days "above average" compared to the
number f days "below average" in the last 12 months. I cannot recall
the exact figures but I think he mentioned around 75 days below
average and 200 - odd above average... if so, this is a huge
imbalance.

Philip if you are there, would you mind repeating the information that
you gave on air? I'd love to know the actual figures and the
definition of "days above average" (or whatever you actually said,
which may be different ).

Yes ... I was short-notice polyfilla while they waited for a certain
Mr Cameron. I'm told he had to listen to me for at least a minute
because they couldn't shut me up. I hope it did him some good :-)

I said that, since the beginning of May last year, we'd had,
averaged over England and Wales, 273 days above the 1971-
2000 average and 88 below. (I'd checked mean max only).

As 14 of these were last May and 24 in August, the imbalance
is even more marked since the end of August: in eight months
203 above and 39 below. I was so impressed with my mini-
research that it'll be in the DT tomorrow as well!

Philip


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Old April 27th 07, 06:07 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default Last 12 months 2°C above the long term average.

In uk.sci.weather on Fri, 27 Apr 2007, Les Hemmings
wrote :

This from the PM (Radio4) newsletter...

....... the Met Office have just released figures showing that April is
likely to be the warmest month since records began in England more than 300
years ago.


I thought that was last *July*...

The Central England Temperature observations are the world's
longest running temperature series and date back to 1659. The Provisional
figure for April 2007 is 11.1 °C - that's 3.2 °C above the long term
average. Meteorologists say in addition, the 12-month rolling period ending
in April 2007 is also set to be the warmest ever.


I can't speak for a 300 year period, but that's certainly the case for
my 25 year record.
--
Paul Hyett, Cheltenham (change 'invalid83261' to 'blueyonder' to email me)
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Old April 27th 07, 07:30 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default Last 12 months 2°C above the long term average.


"Les Hemmings" wrote in message
...

This from the PM (Radio4) newsletter...

....... the Met Office have just released figures showing that April is
likely to be the warmest month since records began in England more than
300 years ago. The Central England Temperature observations are the
world's longest running temperature series and date back to 1659. The
Provisional figure for April 2007 is 11.1 °C - that's 3.2 °C above the
long term average. Meteorologists say in addition, the 12-month rolling
period ending in April 2007 is also set to be the warmest ever. Nearly
2°C above the long term average for the period.


Last Autumn I wrote suggesting that the warming seemed to have 'stepped up a
gear' in this country following the hottest July and September in the CE
instrumental record.Tongue in cheek, I wondered which month was next in line
to break its long term record and guessed it might be December or
February.Typically, it turned out to be January which came close to doing
so! Now April looks certain to become the warmest since before 1659.

When was the last occasion that 3 months in a sequence of 10 have
registered their warmest ever months? I'm sure there is someone who can tell
us.

Which month will be next? Every month from July to November has featured
since the mid 1990s so my guess is December.

Another interesting feature is that the mean temperature of each month
since February this year has been near the average for the month which was
to follow ( i.e February was a warm as an average March etc..) Will May turn
out to be as warm as an average June?

Peter Clarke
Ewell, Epsom




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Old April 27th 07, 07:36 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
Col Col is offline
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Default Last 12 months 2°C above the long term average.


" Peter Clarke" wrote in message
...


Last Autumn I wrote suggesting that the warming seemed to have 'stepped up
a gear' in this country following the hottest July and September in the CE
instrumental record.Tongue in cheek, I wondered which month was next in
line to break its long term record and guessed it might be December or
February.Typically, it turned out to be January which came close to doing
so! Now April looks certain to become the warmest since before 1659.


When was the last occasion that 3 months in a sequence of 10 have
registered their warmest ever months? I'm sure there is someone who can
tell us.


Unless you try to be clever and take months in the first few years of the
CET series
then surely such a sequence must be utterly unprecedented.
--
Col

Bolton, Lancashire
160m asl




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Old April 27th 07, 10:23 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default Last 12 months 2°C above the long term average.


When was the last occasion that 3 months *in a sequence of 10 have
registered their warmest ever months? I'm sure there is someone who can tell
us.


Probably in 1733, when Jan, April and Dec were then the warmest on
record and July was equal warmest with 1701.

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Old April 28th 07, 07:17 AM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default Last 12 months 2°C above the long term average.

In uk.sci.weather on Fri, 27 Apr 2007, Peter Clarke
wrote :

Which month will be next? Every month from July to November has featured
since the mid 1990s so my guess is December.

Another interesting feature is that the mean temperature of each month
since February this year has been near the average for the month which was
to follow ( i.e February was a warm as an average March etc..) Will May turn
out to be as warm as an average June?


I look forward to October being as cold as an average November, then.
--
Paul Hyett, Cheltenham (change 'invalid83261' to 'blueyonder' to email me)
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