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uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) (uk.sci.weather) For the discussion of daily weather events, chiefly affecting the UK and adjacent parts of Europe, both past and predicted. The discussion is open to all, but contributions on a practical scientific level are encouraged. |
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http://rss.slashdot.org/~r/Slashdot/...204/article.pl
"Brandon Hansen considers the statistical accuracy of popular on-line weather forecast sources and shows who's on target, and on who you probably shouldn't rely. Motivated by a trip to a water park that was spoiled with hail despite a 'clear sky' forecast, he does a nice job of depicting deviations, averages, and overall accuracy in a manner that stats junkies are sure to love." Might be interesting to some to read the article and some of the comments! -- Jonathan Stott Canterbury, Kent http://www.canterburyweather.co.uk/ |
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Jonathan Stott wrote:
http://rss.slashdot.org/~r/Slashdot/...204/article.pl "Brandon Hansen considers the statistical accuracy of popular on-line weather forecast sources and shows who's on target, and on who you probably shouldn't rely. Motivated by a trip to a water park that was spoiled with hail despite a 'clear sky' forecast, he does a nice job of depicting deviations, averages, and overall accuracy in a manner that stats junkies are sure to love." Might be interesting to some to read the article and some of the comments! Ooh thank you for that! Noting the results for the BBC web site in particular, and given that their 5-day forecasts are generally identical (whenever I have checked) to those on the Met. Office web site, the article would seem to support the view to which I, and no doubt many other people, subscribe: Accurately forecasting the weather is not possible. Having said that, I am not sure that looking primarily at temperature is adequate. -- Gianna |
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