With winter approaching its seems the computer models have realised this and
started playing games again.After showing a major cold blast for next week
the last few days they have all back tracked this evening,cant say i am
surprised!!

Amazing really despite all this advance in computer power it seems after 4
days ahead the accuracy is no better than it was 10-15 years ago.

"rupert" wrote in message
...
With winter approaching its seems the computer models have realised this
and
started playing games again.After showing a major cold blast for next week
the last few days they have all back tracked this evening,cant say i am
surprised!!

Is it though? GFS still gives a North Easterly for a while at the end of the
week and max's in Scotland around 4-5C so it's certainly colder than it has
been. After thinking that about the models for a few years I now take the
view that at two weeks out it is more likely to be right than me and that's
about it!

Dave

In message , rupert
writes
With winter approaching its seems the computer models have realised this and
started playing games again.After showing a major cold blast for next week
the last few days they have all back tracked this evening,cant say i am
surprised!!

Amazing really despite all this advance in computer power it seems after 4
days ahead the accuracy is no better than it was 10-15 years ago.


Glad to hear it, cold weather and snow in October doesn't usually bring
a cold winter, I can think of 1974 when a lot of places had a cold
October with snow and frost but the following Winter was one of the
warmest on record!
I'd like to see a warm and mostly dry October followed by a wet November
then maybe we will get something closer to a proper Winter.

Weston Coyney weather station (North Staffordshire) 220 metres asl

--
Graham