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Old July 22nd 06, 11:59 AM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default Is 40C somewhere on the cards next week?


================================================== ==================
This posting expresses the personal view and opinions of the author.
Something which everyone on this planet should be able to do.
================================================== ==================

Looking at the latest FAX issues for T+108 and T+132 DT 00Z 22/7/06 with the
564DAM thickness so far north one has to say that there is a chance of 20%
somewhere *if* we get enough sunshine on dry ground. So obviously very unlikely,
but one has to say that there is a chance. I guess as the years roll by and our
summers continue this continental trend with a benign Atlantic then 40C in the
UK becomes ever more likely. Just a thought, temperatures in my issued forecast
are the preferred ones still, but perhaps with the odd 36-37 deg C given enough
sunshine.

Will.
--

" You cannot count your life a success unless you can find one person who says
that they are happier because you were born "
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Old July 22nd 06, 12:22 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default Is 40C somewhere on the cards next week?

Global Warming?

Article in the paper today, about August 1911
100 degrees reached
It wasn't a short lived heatwave either.
The heat built on May 1st.
No cool down until September

Think how much they suffered back then

No A/C in any buildings
Strict dress requirements for both men & women
(none of this walking around with virtually nothing on, that we see
these days)
Lots of people crammed into small one room houses
Children attending very strict schools with no A/C

Only the rich, to escape out into the country to try to stay cool by
the rivers & streams

Many people died from eating food and drinking milk that had gone off

That got me thinking a bit

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Old July 22nd 06, 12:29 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default Is 40C somewhere on the cards next week?


"BlueLightning" wrote in message
ups.com...
Global Warming?

Article in the paper today, about August 1911
100 degrees reached
It wasn't a short lived heatwave either.
The heat built on May 1st.
No cool down until September

Think how much they suffered back then

No A/C in any buildings
Strict dress requirements for both men & women
(none of this walking around with virtually nothing on, that we see
these days)
Lots of people crammed into small one room houses
Children attending very strict schools with no A/C

Only the rich, to escape out into the country to try to stay cool by
the rivers & streams

Many people died from eating food and drinking milk that had gone off

That got me thinking a bit


Good points.


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Old July 22nd 06, 01:15 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default Is 40C somewhere on the cards next week?


Will Hand wrote:
================================================== ==================
This posting expresses the personal view and opinions of the author.
Something which everyone on this planet should be able to do.
================================================== ==================

Looking at the latest FAX issues for T+108 and T+132 DT 00Z 22/7/06 with the
564DAM thickness so far north one has to say that there is a chance of 20%
somewhere *if* we get enough sunshine on dry ground. So obviously very unlikely,
but one has to say that there is a chance. I guess as the years roll by and our
summers continue this continental trend with a benign Atlantic then 40C in the
UK becomes ever more likely. Just a thought, temperatures in my issued forecast
are the preferred ones still, but perhaps with the odd 36-37 deg C given enough
sunshine.

Will.


The "red" line (564) may well be pretty far north but the
highest thickness over SE England according to the latest GFS is 569
dam Quite high enough but it would only give you 34°C or so, even
with prolonged sunshine. Successive GFS runs seem to be giving
slightly lower maximum thickness values for SE England.

Tudor Hughes, Warlingham, Surrey.

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Old July 22nd 06, 01:39 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default Is 40C somewhere on the cards next week?


"BlueLightning" wrote in message
ups.com...
Global Warming?

Article in the paper today, about August 1911
100 degrees reached
It wasn't a short lived heatwave either.
The heat built on May 1st.
No cool down until September

Think how much they suffered back then

No A/C in any buildings
Strict dress requirements for both men & women
(none of this walking around with virtually nothing on, that we see
these days)
Lots of people crammed into small one room houses
Children attending very strict schools with no A/C

Only the rich, to escape out into the country to try to stay cool by
the rivers & streams

Many people died from eating food and drinking milk that had gone off

That got me thinking a bit


I seriously doubt that heatwave conditions persisted for four months solid.
It sounds like it was a 1959 style summer with maybe one or two periods
where it peaked at 100 degrees (I would like to know if that was an official
and not a disputed measurement).

There is nothing about global warming that states that hot summers cannot
happen in cooler climate periods. It is merely the frequency of heatwaves
that would be expected to increase in a warming climate.




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Old July 22nd 06, 04:06 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default Is 40C somewhere on the cards next week?


BlueLightning wrote:

Children attending very strict schools with no A/C


A/C in schools!! How the other half live.


Only the rich, to escape out into the country to try to stay cool by
the rivers & streams


I think you will find that quite a few people actually lived in the
country.

A large number also lived by the sea, including my gran. I didn't
realise she was rich, must find out what happened to the money.

Graham
Penzance

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Old July 22nd 06, 05:45 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default Is 40C somewhere on the cards next week?


"Tudor Hughes" wrote in message
ups.com...

Will Hand wrote:
================================================== ==================
This posting expresses the personal view and opinions of the author.
Something which everyone on this planet should be able to do.
================================================== ==================

Looking at the latest FAX issues for T+108 and T+132 DT 00Z 22/7/06 with

the
564DAM thickness so far north one has to say that there is a chance of

20%
somewhere *if* we get enough sunshine on dry ground. So obviously very

unlikely,
but one has to say that there is a chance. I guess as the years roll by

and our
summers continue this continental trend with a benign Atlantic then 40C in

the
UK becomes ever more likely. Just a thought, temperatures in my issued

forecast
are the preferred ones still, but perhaps with the odd 36-37 deg C given

enough
sunshine.

Will.


The "red" line (564) may well be pretty far north but the
highest thickness over SE England according to the latest GFS is 569
dam Quite high enough but it would only give you 34°C or so, even
with prolonged sunshine. Successive GFS runs seem to be giving
slightly lower maximum thickness values for SE England.

Tudor Hughes, Warlingham, Surrey.
I hope it doesn't make 40C but if it does I am only a few miles from the
current record and the ground here is completely dry so I suppose it's
possible.
Dave




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