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uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) (uk.sci.weather) For the discussion of daily weather events, chiefly affecting the UK and adjacent parts of Europe, both past and predicted. The discussion is open to all, but contributions on a practical scientific level are encouraged. |
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Here is a summary of the latest NWP output for noon on Thursday. Issued
0528, 8 Jan 06. The models show winds from a southerly quarter for the UK towards the end of next week with western areas seeing the bulk of the rain. Further east the European High doesn't show any signs of moving anywhere fast, with troughs struggling to cross the UK as a result. ECMWF: http://217.160.75.104/pics/Recm1201.gif A trough lies to the west, bringing southerlies for all. Southerlies and SSW'lies affect the UK as the trough fills and that's followed by further southerlies at T+168 as another trough approaches the UK from the west. MetO: http://217.160.75.104/pics/Rukm1201.gif MetO shows SW'lies and SSW'lies for the UK, with a deep low west of Iceland and a secondary disturbance over the Celtic Sea. SW'lies affect all areas at T+144 as the Icelandic low fills slightly. GFS: http://217.160.75.104/pics/Rtavn1201.png GFS shows a trough over Ireland bringing southerlies for all. The southerlies continue at T+144 and for most at T+168 as another trough moves eastwards. GEM: http://meteocentre.com/models/glb00_120.html Unavailable at the time of writing. GME/DWD: http://www.wetter.com/home/img/sat/g...080000_120.gif A trough covers Ireland with SW'lies for Northern Ireland and SSW'lies elsewhere. The trough moves away to the east at T+144, only to be replaced by another to the west with further SW'lies and SSW'lies. JMA: http://217.160.75.104/pics/Rjma1201.gif The Japanese run also shows southerlies with a trough to the west. The trough moves very slowly eastwards at T+144, bringing WSW'lies to western Scotland and Northern Ireland; elsewhere winds remain southerlies. NOGAPS: http://217.160.75.104/pics/ngp10.prp.120.europeg.gif As with the other runs, a deep low lies near Iceland and high pressure covers much of Europe. The UK lies between the two with SSW'lies as a result. KMA: http://www.kma.go.kr/kma03/gif/g21nh_smsr_120.gif Strong SW'lies are shown by the Korean run, with a deep low to the NW. |
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