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Old January 3rd 06, 04:59 AM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default Today's model interpretation (3/01/06)

Here is a summary of the latest NWP output for noon on Saturday. Issued
0558, 3 Jan 06.

The models continue to show the UK close to the battleground between
Continental easterlies and Atlantic SW'lies. Northern and western areas are
most at risk of seeing an Atlantic influence, but none of the runs are keen
to bring Atlantic air across the rest of the UK. Elsewhere winds will feed
chilly air in from the Continent, possibly with some light drizzle or even
snow flurries if the surface layer is cold enough. Temperatures are unlikely
to be especially low as the shape of the block to the NE deflects the
coldest air away from the UK.

ECMWF: http://217.160.75.104/pics/Recm1201.gif
High pressure is centred over the Baltic with a ridge across the UK. Winds
are southerlies for Scotland and Northern Ireland with ENE'lies elsewhere.
Winds become SE'lies and ESE'lies at T+144 as a trough weakens to the west,
followed by southerlies and SW'lies as a weak ridge crosses England at
T+168.

MetO: http://217.160.75.104/pics/Rukm1201.gif
SE'lies and SSE'lies cover the UK, with an elongated low to the west and
high pressure over the Baltic States. The SSE'lies persist at T+144 as low
pressure deepens to the west.

GFS: http://217.160.75.104/pics/Rtavn1201.png
Easterlies cover England and Wales, with SE'lies and southerlies elsewhere.
A ridge builds over the UK at T+144, leading to light winds for all. SW'lies
associated with complex low pressure near Iceland cover Scotland, northern
England and Northern Ireland at T+168 but elsewhere winds remain light
easterlies.

GEM: http://meteocentre.com/models/glb00_120.html
The Canadian model brings ESE'lies and SW'lies over the UK due to a large
anticyclone to the NE. There's little change at T+144.

GME/DWD:
http://www.wetter.com/home/img/sat/g...030000_120.gif
DWD shows the UK between a high to the ENE and a low to the WSW, with
SE'lies for most. By T+144 winds become light SW'lies for Northern Ireland
and Scotland, under the influence of a low to the NW. Elsewhere winds are
SE'lies or SSE'lies.

JMA: http://217.160.75.104/pics/Rjma1201.gif
The Japanese run shows an easterly flow over England and Wales with
southerlies or SE'lies for Scotland and Northern Ireland, all due to a large
high over Scandinavia. The winds become SE'lies for all at T+144 as low
pressure approaches from the west.

NOGAPS: http://217.160.75.104/pics/ngp10.prp.120.europeg.gif
The UK lies under southerlies and SSE'lies, with a trough to the west and a
high to the NE. There's little change at T+144.

KMA: http://www.kma.go.kr/kma03/gif/g21nh_smsr_120.gif
The Korean run also shows southerlies for all with a low to the west.



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