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Old March 23rd 09, 01:27 PM posted to sci.environment,sci.physics,alt.culture.alaska,sci.geo.meteorology
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Default Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity 22 Mar 2009

"Solar activity was very low. No flares or sunspots were observed during the
past 24 hours."

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity 22 Mar 2009

STATUS REPORT
Date Released: Sunday, March 22, 2009
Source: Space Environment Center (NOAA)

Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
Issued: 2009 Mar 22 2200 UTC
Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 081 Issued at 2200Z on 22 Mar 2009

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 21/2100Z to 22/2100Z:
Solar activity was very low. No flares or sunspots were observed during the
past 24 hours.

IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low.

IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 21/2100Z to 22/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field was predominantly quiet. Unsettled conditions were observed at
mid-latitudes between 22/03-06Z. The continued influence of the recurrent
coronal hole is reflected in ACE solar wind observations. Velocities ranged
between 386-472 km/s, and interplanetary Bz ranged from -3 nT to +7 nT.

IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be
predominantly quiet for the next three days (23-25 March).

III. Event Probabilities 23 Mar-25 Mar

Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green

IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux

Observed 22 Mar 069
Predicted 23 Mar-25 Mar 070/070/070
90 Day Mean 22 Mar 070

V. Geomagnetic A Indices

Observed Afr/Ap 21 Mar 005/008
Estimated Afr/Ap 22 Mar 003/006
Predicted Afr/Ap 23 Mar-25 Mar 005/005-005/005-005/005

VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 23 Mar-25 Mar

A. Middle Latitudes

Active 05/05/05
Minor storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01

B. High Latitudes

Active 15/15/10
Minor storm 01/05/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01



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