Weather.com has been referring to that low in the northern part of the
Gulf of Mexico as a "distant relative" of Ivan. If you have access to
the animated satellite image sequence over the past week you can see
the low that was Ivan sort of spit off a secondary low as it passes nw
through New England. This secondary low tracked down the east coast,
spun a bit over Florida, and is now in the Gulf.

My opinion is that if it eventually gets its own name it should get
two; e.g., "Matthew Ivanovich" or "Nicole Ivanova".

Kent Wendler wrote:
Weather.com has been referring to that low in the northern part of the
Gulf of Mexico as a "distant relative" of Ivan. If you have access to
the animated satellite image sequence over the past week you can see
the low that was Ivan sort of spit off a secondary low as it passes nw
through New England. This secondary low tracked down the east coast,
spun a bit over Florida, and is now in the Gulf.

My opinion is that if it eventually gets its own name it should get
two; e.g., "Matthew Ivanovich" or "Nicole Ivanova".




Da, http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/data/comp/cmoll/cmoll.html shows
the split of Ivan very nicely. (Requires java and a fast
link).

Scott

"Kent Wendler" wrote in message
m

My opinion is that if it eventually gets its own name it should get
two; e.g., "Matthew Ivanovich" or "Nicole Ivanova".


Or Ivanovaone


--
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WTNT44 KNHC 222302
TCDAT4
TROPICAL DEPRESSION IVAN SPECIAL DISCUSSION NUMBER 67
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
7 PM EDT WED SEP 22 2004

AFTER CONSIDERABLE AND SOMETIMES ANIMATED IN-HOUSE DISCUSSION OF THE
DEMISE OF IVAN...IN THE MIDST OF A LOW-PRESSURE AND SURFACE FRONTAL
SYSTEM OVER THE EASTERN UNITED STATES...THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER HAS DECIDED TO CALL THE TROPICAL CYCLONE NOW OVER THE GULF
OF MEXICO TROPICAL DEPRESSION IVAN. WHILE DEBATE WILL SURELY
CONTINUE HERE AND ELSEWHERE...THIS DECISION WAS BASED PRIMARILY ON
THE REASONABLE CONTINUITY OBSERVED IN THE ANALYSIS OF THE SURFACE
AND LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION.

ONCE THE LOW PRESSURE AREA REACHED THE GULF OF MEXICO IT BEGAN TO
GRADUALLY DEVELOP CONVECTION AND A SURFACE CIRCULATION. SATELLITE
IMAGES...RECON DATA AND BUOYS IN THE GULF OF MEXICO INDICATE THAT
THE SYSTEM IS ORGANIZED ENOUGH TO BE CLASSIFIED AS A TROPICAL
DEPRESSION. THE CURRENT SOUTHERLY SHEAR OVER THE DEPRESSION IS
FORECAST TO RELAX A LITTLE...ENOUGH TO ALLOW THE SYSTEM TO REGAIN
TROPICAL STORM STATUS BEFORE LANDFALL.

THE BEST ESTIMATE OF THE INITIAL MOTION IS 295/12 KNOTS. THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE AROUND THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH
CENTERED OVER THE UNITED STATES. THE INTENSITY AND TRACK FORECASTS
AS WELL AS THE WIND RADII REQUIRE THE ISSUANCE OF A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING FROM THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO SARGENT TEXAS.

FORECASTER AVILA

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL 22/2300Z 26.9N 89.3W 30 KT
12HR VT 23/0600Z 27.5N 91.2W 40 KT
24HR VT 23/1800Z 28.5N 93.0W 45 KT
36HR VT 24/0600Z 30.0N 95.0W 30 KT...INLAND
48HR VT 24/1800Z 30.5N 95.5W 25 KT...REMNANT LOW
72HR VT 25/1800Z 31.0N 96.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW

$$