On 08/07/2018 09:51, N_Cook wrote:
On 07/07/2018 07:54, N_Cook wrote:
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo.php?basin=atlc&fdays=2
and GFS follow-on, ignoring Hurricane Beryl.
Assuming TD3 holds up or is up-graded and the other met-models take it
up.
Needs something for the torpor, who stole the isobars?.

NHC upped it to 80mph wind for Newfoundland 4 days out , but rapidly
loosing steam for the jaunt across the anomously cold west atlantic to
UK airspace and only 30mph of puff left for the 15 July.
ECMWF going for 17 July in UK airspace
Unusually strong spring tides at that time for mid summer, in the top 5%
of all tides strength/height

Uprated to Tropical Storm Chris, a bit more duration of 80mph wind

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refres.../080858.shtml?

Expected to be uprated to Hurricane Chris stats about New York latitude,
I wonder how confident they can be of the projected path - I'll have to
remind myself about the evolution of Hurricane Sandy of 2012