David Mitchell Wrote in message:
On Saturday, January 23, 2016 at 6:21:44 PM UTC, Freddie wrote:
dawlish Wrote in message:
On Wednesday, January 13, 2016 at 7:27:08 PM UTC, dawlish wrote:
**In 10 days time, on Saturday 23rd January 2016, the UK will be under a zonal weather regime. Our weather will have an Atlantic source and it will be controlled by a large European high pressure system. **
The colder weather of this week and into next won't last long.
This one was pretty much bang on. You could have put your trust in the model output from 10 days ago, to have shown you what the weather would be like today. It certainly is possible to use models to forecast at 10 days, on occasions. Much of the time, however, you can't trust them to do so.
After this re-establishment, it's looking zonal now to the end of January at least.
I don't think it looks zonal at all. Certainly Atlantic air, but
an amplified and progressive upper pattern. Not what I would
consider zonal. Nor is there a "controlling" (whatever that is)
European high.
--
Freddie
Pontesbury
Shropshire
102m AMSL
http://www.hosiene.co.uk/weather/
http://twitter.com/PontesburyWx for hourly reports
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To be fair, he's cleverly covered both bases. I would have said that there is a European high
I know the type of European high he meant - the quasi-stationary
type that is associated with (but not controlling) zonal types -
but what we have isn't one of those.
Is it Atlantic air? Debatable, in the SE the source would seem to be rather more land mass based, but the origins are generally in the Azores, which is in the Atlantic.
Agreed - but most of the country is affected by Atlantic air, so
he was correct on that point.
Having said all that, how many times are we not affected by Atlantic air?
A very good point.
--
Freddie
Pontesbury
Shropshire
102m AMSL
http://www.hosiene.co.uk/weather/
http://twitter.com/PontesburyWx for hourly reports
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http://usenet.sinaapp.com/