In article ,
exmetman writes:
We all can interpret what the various models forecast, but we
have to remember that the forecast comes from the model and not
us. Without NWP there would be no discussion at all about whats
happening at T+24 let alone T+240, and certainly no 'my' forecast -
we would be totally lost and that applies to both the amateurs
pontificating on this newsgroup right down to the professionals at
the Metoffice.
snip

I think that's something of an exaggeration. It's true for T+240, of
course, and largely true for T+120. But at T+24 there were forecasts
before NWP and mostly those by the MO were right. I've seen it said that
forecasts then for T+48 were correct about as often as those for T+120
are now.
--
John Hall "He crams with cans of poisoned meat
The subjects of the King,
And when they die by thousands G.K.Chesterton:
Why, he laughs like anything." from "Song Against Grocers"