On Friday, 21 March 2014 06:15:30 UTC, exmetman wrote:
I think that I can see what you're driving at Len, and I totally agree - I've been on the verge of posting something similar!



We all can interpret what the various models forecast, but we have to remember that the forecast comes from the model and not us. Without NWP there would be no discussion at all about whats happening at T+24 let alone T+240, and certainly no 'my' forecast - we would be totally lost and that applies to both the amateurs pontificating on this newsgroup right down to the professionals at the Metoffice.



Now, if we based our forecast on our own data or observations, we could say 'my' - just like William Foggit did in the 1970's by saying things like: the hazel was out before the ash that means rain, or the song thrush is sat on my anemometer and ****ting on the cups that means there'll be retrogression and cold NW'lys.



I don't mind people commenting on the various NWP models or what they're saying, but less of the 'my' and more of 'this is what the GFS model or the UKMO model' is suggesting - because without the model we would be totally blind beyond even 24 hours!

Absolutely spot on Bruce.