Thread: WIll's forecast
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Old December 3rd 13, 06:51 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
Dawlish Dawlish is offline
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Default WIll's forecast

On Tuesday, December 3, 2013 10:23:27 AM UTC, John Hall wrote:
In article ,

Scott W writes:

On Monday, December 2, 2013 8:04:31 PM UTC, Dawlish wrote:


On Saturday, November 30, 2013 1:29:50 AM UTC, Dave Cornwell wrote:




Also interesting that each model run is showing this airstream


being pushed further eastwards more quickly that the previous


ones. As a result, by Thursday, it's influence may be even less


than is presently being forecast.




There seems to be more of a tendency these days for this to


happen - many 'cold northerly plunges' end up getting pushed


east, with snow staying in the North Sea. Or is it just a symptom


that has become apparent since model watching became


popular?






Probably the latter. I can't recall a time since I started model

watching when it didn't often happen. My impression is that the GFS is

particularly prone to it.

--

John Hall "He crams with cans of poisoned meat

The subjects of the King,

And when they die by thousands G.K.Chesterton:

Why, he laughs like anything." from "Song Against Grocers"


I'd agree; based on the number of times I've seen coldies wring their hands when these Arctic plunges topple eastwards and miss the UK - and the flak I've takes for saying that is exactly what may happen. Often, it's as if I was being personally blamed for saying that the cold may well not affect the UK in the way so many wanted. *))