On Apr 21, 11:35*am, Weatherlawyer wrote:
There is a confluence that puts pressure on the Bottom right hand quadrant as
far as the South Pole - TWICE:
06:00 Saturday
Here's one of them:
2012/04/21
6.6 M. @ 01:16. 1.6 S. 134.3 E. NEAR THE NORTH COAST OF PAPUA,
INDONESIA
and 06:00 Sunday.
And here is the other:
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/reports/120421_rpts.html
Due any time in the next few hours
Storm Reports (1200 UTC - 1159 UTC
I am not sure about the times givewn by the storm reporters:
Tornado Reports (CSV) (Raw Tornado CSV)(?)
Time Location County State Lat Lon Comments
1723 5 SE GLYNDON CLAY MN 4682 9650 SPOTTER REPORTED 4 FOOT BY 6
FOOT PIECES OF TIN SCATTERED ON BOTH SIDES OF HIWAY 9. NUMEROUS
FUNNELS REPORTED IN THE AREA WITH TOUCHDOWN. (FGF)
1824 4 SE KENT WILKIN MN 4640 9662 DAMAGE TO POLE BARN ...
TRAMPOLINE BLOWN ON TOP OF GARAGE ... AND ROOF DAMAGE TO TRAILER.
NUMEROUS FUNNELS REPORTED IN AREA WITH TOUCHDOWN. (FGF)
1940 5 S FERGUS FALLS OTTER TAIL MN 4621 9607 GRAIN BIN AND SHOP
DAMAGED. NUMEROUS FUNNELS REPORTED IN THE AREA WITH BRIEF TOUCHDOWN.
TIME APPROXIMATE. (FGF)
2011 4 E MILAN CHIPPEWA MN 4511 9583 BARN AND GRAINERYS DAMAGED
(MPX)
2023 6 NNE WALNUT GROVE REDWOOD MN 4431 9542 MULTIPLE REPORTS OF
FUNNELS WITH BRIEF TOUCHDOWNS OVER 10-15 MINUTES ... TIME IS ESTIMATED
AS IS LOCATION. (MPX)
2028 6 E BIG BEND CITY SWIFT MN 4515 9569 (MPX)
2030 2 NE FARWELL DOUGLAS MN 4577 9559 30-40 FOOT POLE BARN
TAKEN DOWN ... DAMAGE TO A SECOND BARN AS WELL. NEIGHBOR WITNESSED A
FUNNEL. TIME IS ESTIMATED BASED ON RADAR. (MPX)
2045 7 S LUCAN REDWOOD MN 4431 9541 TIME ESTIMATED BETWEEN 330
AND 400 PM CDT. DAMAGE TO A FLOWER SHOP. (MPX)
2127 3 SSE SPENCER CLAY IA 4310 9512 ROPE TORNADO ON THE GROUND
FOR ABOUT 5 MINUTES (FSD)
2143 10 SSE DICKENS CLAY IA 4300 9495 ON THE GROUND FOR ABOUT ONE
MINUTE (FSD)
some distance from Indonesia I
presume as it is a 1/3 of the way around the continent.
Well, it was certainly some distance from Indonesia.
It was some other things too but you'll have to ask god about that.
It disappears by Monday but take a look at how the Polar Low
swells out into the Pacific to 40 S.
It is the end of the spell today but the North Atlantic becomes the
picture of last week with a patchy incoherence reminiscent of that
large quake series.
The system off the Peninsula breeds a few more before the next spell
ends.
This may offer us an insight about which wave was which.
My guess is that the more extraordinary one was the the system rubbing
up against the Antarctic Peninsula.
1. It's on the right longitude and
2. It behaves so differently.
Pity I got banned from the Storm Watch empire.
(The stupid buggers ain't got no sense of humour.)
Look out for early Monday about 5pm UT. Then a smaller event
some 24 hours later. followed by a large one again (though it could be
a triple quake of smaller magnitudes) over by Wednesday evening.
Maybe a 5M. again on Thursday morning and then it gets interesting
Friday. Maybe the system will disperse over the Peninsula?
The spell doesn't end until the 29th though and Friday is only the
26th.
What happens with tornado cells is that they sweep up from the South
West and run North East diurnally over a three day period so it might
pay to look more closely at the way the Lows off Antarctica are
forecast to behave.
I only gave a rough estimate, ignoring precipitation and the behaviour
of the anticyclones. Not guessing what was happening. (There was no
signal I could see in ther North Atlantic.)
Meanwhile, Hlaf a continent away, there is another large system
brewing towards the end of the chart run.
There are no fronts in the charts I was looking at but the Australian
site I got them from does produce a set with charts. Unfortunately it
is in two separate charts. I have no idea why. But they are stored
online as archives he
http://www.bom.gov.au/australia/char...an_ocean.shtml
http://www.bom.gov.au/australia/char...ic_ocean.shtml
I wish I could hear what sounds they make.
OK! That's it then.
Problem solved,
....for now.
Any questions?