On Jan 29, 8:11*pm, John Hall wrote:
Both models' 12Z operational runs now bring in warmer air next Saturday.
That's as far as the UKMO run extends, but after a milder weekend the
ECMWF brings the easterly back on Monday and for the rest of its run.
The ECMWF ensemble isn't out yet, but will be interesting.

Before then, Thursday and Friday still look like being very cold, and I
reckon based on the 850mb temperatures that the maxima of 1-3C shown on
the Countryfile forecast for those two days are on the high side. I
reckon that in the eastern half of England temperatures are unlikely to
get above freezing on those two days.
--
John Hall
* * * * * * * "The power of accurate observation is commonly called cynicism
* * * * * * * *by those who have not got it."
* * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * *George Bernard Shaw

The models are struggling with setting in this easterly. By Wednesday,
it will probably look completely different, but which course it will
take, beats me! One thing going for it is the last week of January and
the first week of February are when the average tempertures drawn
through the year bottom out, so it couldn't come at a better time.

Keith (Southend)
http://www.southendweather.net
"Weather Home & Abroad"