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Old May 24th 10, 04:30 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
Dawlish Dawlish is offline
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Default ENSO update: transition to ENSO neutral conditions under way

On May 24, 5:16*pm, Graham P Davis wrote:
On 24/05/10 15:47, Dawlish wrote:

The El Nino has been fairly short-lived and has been moderate. See how
long the heat lasts now. With such an extended solar minimum (longest
for over a century), if solar really is a driver of our present
climate, we should see a rapid decrease in temperatures. The PDO
cycle, being negative, should reinforce that and we ought to see
global temperatures returning towards the 150-year mean........if no
other factor is involved.


PDO has been positive this year but I suppose it might go negative as La
Nina gets going.

--
Graham P Davis, Bracknell, Berks., UK.
E-mail: newsman AT scarlet HYPHEN jade DOT com