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Old July 19th 07, 03:45 PM posted to alt.global-warming,sci.environment,sci.geo.meteorology
Bill Ward Bill Ward is offline
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First recorded activity by Weather-Banter: Apr 2007
Posts: 128
Default Warming may bring hurricanes to Mediterranean

On Thu, 19 Jul 2007 06:54:14 -0700, matt_sykes wrote:

On 18 Jul, 21:10, Roger Coppock wrote:
Here's a testable prediction. Unfortunately, a 3K rise is projected for
the latitude of the Mediterranean sea about a century from now.
Although, we could see some extreme events sooner. -.-. --.- Roger
=-=-=-=-=-=-=

Warming may bring hurricanes to Mediterranean on Jul 16, 2007 3:06PM BST
By Ben Hirschler

LONDON (Reuters) - Global warming could trigger hurricanes, or tropical
cyclones, over the Mediterranean sea, threatening one of the world's
most densely populated coastal regions, according to European
scientists.

Hurricanes currently form out in the tropical Atlantic and rarely reach
Europe, but a new study shows a 3 degrees Celsius (5.4 degrees
Fahrenheit) rise in average temperatures could set them off in the
enclosed Mediterranean in future.

"This is the first study to detect this possibility," lead researcher
Miguel Angel Gaertner of the University of Castilla-La Mancha in Toledo,
Spain, told Reuters on Monday.

[ . . . ]

Factors influencing hurricanes include warm sea surface temperatures and
atmospheric instability. In the past, they have been confined to a
limited number of regions, such as the north Atlantic and north Pacific,
where they are known as typhoons.

Recently, however, they have been forming in unusual places, which
Gaertner sees as a clear danger signal.

In 2004, Hurricane Catarina formed in the south Atlantic and hit land in
southern Brazil. A year later, Hurricane Vince formed next to the
Madeira Islands and became the first to make landfall in Spain.

In a paper published in the American Geophysical Union Journal, Gaertner
and colleagues from the Max Planck Institute for Meteorology in Hamburg,
Germany, used a range of regional climate models to assess the chance of
similar events in the Mediterranean.

[ . . . ]

Most experts say emissions of greenhouse gases, mainly from burning
fossil fuels in power plants, factories and cars, are the principal
reason for rising temperatures.


So, if the med gets as hot as the red sea there will be huricanes?

Why arent there any in the red sea then?

Or how about the gulf? Or the dead sea?


Area too small?