wrote:
What is this all about, or is it just me?
Sorry about the delay. My computer is still not stable. But that's
according to Microsoft so I can't be sure that's a bad thing.
27th MAY 05:26. Couldn't settle down that one, could it?
3rd JUNE 23:06. This one aught to be really nice.
11th JUNE 18:03. And this one will see the first of the hurricanes or
at least a severe tropical storm.
18th JUNE 14:08. And this one will be another fine one.
25th JUNE 16:05. Whilst this would ordinarily be wet. But there will be
a large mag quake or something, somewhere or other, to leave us humble.
July looks like it's going to be a wet one. If you know anyone with a
harvest due then, you had best warn them:
25th JUNE 16:05 & 3rd JULY 16:37. Compare how the time of these two wet
spells behave with the spells for the end of May and beginning of June.
11th JULY 03:02. Thundery weather. Might be an amazing set of storms,
eh?
17th JULY 19:13. Wet and windy
25th JULY 04:31. An awkward one to finish on.
http://aa.usno.navy.mil/data/docs/MoonPhase.html#y2005
As a rule of thumb for the UK -or at least, the parts of it with which
I am familiar, YMMV, this is what the times of the phases of the moon
indicate about the weather:
If the time of the phase is on or near 5 O'clock am or pm; the
weather will be dominated by an anticyclone.
If the time of the phase is on or near 7 O'clock am or pm; the
weather will be dominated by a cyclone.
If the time of the phase is on or near 6 O'clock am or pm; the
weather will not be dominated by either a cyclone or an anticyclone.
This weather spell will be a col or have ridges and troughs.
Lunar phases that fall on the 3rd or 9th hour invariably provide a
thunderstorm or two. The weather is certainly going to be sultry,
winter or summer.
As the number of minutes approach the quarter hour so the tendency
increases for winds at ground level.
I have no idea what happens aloft for any spell.
At about both 20 or 40 minutes past the hour the spell becomes
extremely unstable.
At half past the hour the spell is half way between spells but other
factors might give the system a bias.
Other factors are hurricanes and large magnitude earthquakes.
I believe the wabble of the earth's spin affects the energy of the
planet's weather and seismicity. And any large power drain seems to
have an affect on the British weather. And that operates along these
lines:
If the weather forecaster is a little diffident about his forecast and
the trend he gives runs against the above code, the tendency is for an
earthquake. (Perhaps this is because the met offices around the world
are missing the power input to their models that a large mag quake
would give? Search the records and see- Were the forecasts given a day
or so in advance of a large earthquake accurate?)
If the weather forecaster is way out and the code is way out, then a
very large quake is to be expected. If the forecaster is pretty
accurate overall and the code is way out then the likely source of the
discrepancy is an extra tropical storm. (The world weather stations
will have added that much power to their models.)
From the foregoing it is easy to see how it might be possible to adjust
weather models to account for the power drained from a model by the
seismicity of the spell.
As a rule of thumb, the Earthquake Magnitude scale and the Beaufort
scale are similar if out by 2 numbers.
Or not as the case may be.
From the above codes (5, 6 & 7) you can interpolate the way the other
hours behave. (And what I do when forecasting, is) draw 3 eight-pointed
stars and assign the 8 "fine" hours to one of them, the 8 wet to
the next and the 8 awkward buggers the third:
Midnight, 3; 6; 9; 12; 15; 18; 21 and back to midnight again.
01:00; 04:00; 07:00 etc., and
02:00; 05:00; 08:00 etc..