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Old February 23rd 04, 10:54 AM posted to uk.sci.weather
Pete Lawrence Pete Lawrence is offline
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First recorded activity by Weather-Banter: Jul 2003
Posts: 41
Default EARLY WARNING OF SEVERE WEATHER

On Mon, 23 Feb 2004 10:08:05 -0000, "Shaun Pudwell"
wrote:

Only 50% is SE. It's like saying, "well it might or might not". Just keep
looking out of the window!

Shaun Pudwell.


Percentage probability indicators are fine but the 50% level is just
another way of saying "don't know". Sometimes standing back and
taking in just what's being said is quote amusing.

50% chance of rain
50% chance of snow

As you say, "it might or might not".

Perhaps I should try this at work... "Well there's a 50% chance I'll
keep within budget" ;-)

--
Pete Lawrence
http://www.pbl33.co.uk
Home of the Lunar Parallax Demonstration Project