Only 50% is SE. It's like saying, "well it might or might not". Just keep
looking out of the window!

Shaun Pudwell.


"nguk.." wrote in message
...
WOUK66 EGRR 230939
EARLY WARNING OF SEVERE WEATHER

EARLY WARNING OF HEAVY SNOW


ISSUED BY THE MET OFFICE AT 09:39 ON MONDAY, 23 FEBRUARY 2004.

OVERALL RISK ASSESSMENT: THE PROBABILITY OF DISRUPTION DUE TO
SEVERE WEATHER CONDITIONS IN PART OF THE UNITED KINGDOM WITHIN THE
NEXT 120 HOURS IS 90 PERCENT.

REGIONAL RISK ASSESSMENT FOR THE OCCURRENCE OF SEVERE WEATHER
CONDITIONS BETWEEN 12:00 ON TUESDAY 24 FEBRUARY 2004 AND 12:00 ON
SATURDAY 28 FEBRUARY 2004.

NORTHERN SCOTLAND 80[ PERCENT
EASTERN SCOTLAND 80[ PERCENT
SOUTH WEST SCOTLAND 50[ PERCENT
NORTHERN IRELAND 60[ PERCENT
NORTH WEST ENGLAND 50[ PERCENT
NORTH EAST ENGLAND 80[ PERCENT
THE MIDLANDS 50[ PERCENT
WALES 50[ PERCENT
SOUTH WEST ENGLAND 50[ PERCENT
CENTRAL SOUTHERN ENGLAND 40[ PERCENT
SOUTH EAST ENGLAND 50[ PERCENT
EAST ANGLIA AND LINCOLNSHIRE 70[ PERCENT


THIS WARNING IS THE FIRST UPDATE TO THAT ISSUED AT 10:00 ON SUNDAY,
22 FEBRUARY 2004..

THE MET OFFICE IS FORECASTING A COLD FRONT TO MOVE SOUTH ACROSS THE
UK ON TUESDAY INTRODUCING A STRONG FLOW OF ARCTIC AIR INTO NORTHERN
SCOTLAND IN THE MORNING AND EXTENDING ACROSS THE WHOLE OF THE UK BY
EARLY ON WEDNESDAY. SNOW SHOWERS WILL SPREAD SOUTH ACROSS THE
COUNTRY AND BECOME MOST FREQUENT OVER COASTAL AND UPLAND AREAS
EXPOSED TO THE STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS. ALTHOUGH SNOW COULD OCCUR
ALMOST ANYWHERE ACROSS THE UK THROUGH THE PERIOD, NORTHERN AND
EASTERN AREAS WILL BE MOST AT RISK FROM FREQUENT, HEAVY AND
SOMETIMES SQUALLY SNOW SHOWERS GIVING MODERATE (5-10CM)
ACCUMULATIONS IN PLACES AND HEAVY (AS MUCH AS 30CM) IN A FEW EXPOSED
OR UPLAND AREAS. STRONG OR GALE FORCE WINDS AT TIMES WILL LEAD TO
DRIFTING OF LYING SNOW WHILST BLIZZARD CONDITIONS COULD OCCUR IN
EXPOSED AREAS, ESPECIALLY THE NORTH AND EAST WHERE WINDS COULD GUST
TO 60MPH. DANGEROUS DRIVING CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AND IT IS LIKELY
THAT SOME UNTREATED ROADS MAY BECOME IMPASSABLE. IN ADDITION, THERE
IS A LOW RISK THAT RAIN COULD TURN TO SNOW OVER PARTS OF SOUTHERN
BRITAIN LATER ON TUESDAY IMMEDIATELY BEHIND THE COLD FRONT CAUSING
LOCALISED PROBLEMS.


FOR ENQUIRIES REGARDING THIS WARNING - PLEASE CONTACT YOUR REGIONAL
MET OFFICE.
TRANSMITTED BY THE MET OFFICE AT 09:39 ON MONDAY 23 FEBRUARY 2004
THIS WARNING WILL BE UPDATED TOMORROW TUESDAY 24 FEBRUARY.