On Wed, 21 Jan 2004 23:52:49 -0000, "Brendan DJ Murphy"
wrote:

Its all over!

My animation has just been updated (which has now moved to http://www.vegetableplot.com )
According to the 18z GFS run... we could be seeing ( mild ) SWies next Wednesday.

Same as the day before last. Opposite of yesterday.

Any bets for tomorrow?

Are you implying that there is a pattern forming?

Back to NE tomorrow or stronger SWies?

I was pointing out that while there's been consistency in the GFS and
other models on the initial cold spell (say 2 -3 days of it) after
that, GFS has been swinging wildly between keeping bitter cold and
bringing back the Westerlies. One day the cold stays, the next day it
pushes the Westerlies back in. In other words, it really has no idea
what's going to happen beyond about next Monday/Tuesday.

However, it's now going for a short cold snap then the Westerlies,
second day running. It's backed off on the amount of cold, too
although still suggesting -10C at 850 hPa on the South Coast for a
while. http://wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn1382.gif

I don't believe that for one second and never have, -5C is by bet. GRF
overdoes the cold in the South time and time again with Northerlies.
Pie in the sky.

--
Dave