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uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) (uk.sci.weather) For the discussion of daily weather events, chiefly affecting the UK and adjacent parts of Europe, both past and predicted. The discussion is open to all, but contributions on a practical scientific level are encouraged. |
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#1
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What happens if a weather system (such as a depression or hurricane) crosses
the equator? Does it stop and start spinning in the other direction? Brendan |
#2
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![]() "Brendan DJ Murphy" wrote in message ... What happens if a weather system (such as a depression or hurricane) crosses the equator? Does it stop and start spinning in the other direction? The simple answer to this is that it doesn't or rather *can't*. Frontal depressions don't form anywhere near the equator anyway and even hurricanes can't form any nearer than about 5 degrees from it. It's all to do with the Coriolis force. A hurricane could never cross the equator as it is always being forced away from it. Col -- Bolton, Lancashire. 160m asl. http://www.reddwarfer.btinternet.co.uk http://www.reddwarfer.btinternet.co....rPictures.html |
#3
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![]() Col wrote in message ... "Brendan DJ Murphy" wrote in message ... What happens if a weather system (such as a depression or hurricane) crosses the equator? Does it stop and start spinning in the other direction? The simple answer to this is that it doesn't or rather *can't*. Frontal depressions don't form anywhere near the equator anyway and even hurricanes can't form any nearer than about 5 degrees from it. It's all to do with the Coriolis force. A hurricane could never cross the equator as it is always being forced away from it. Col -- OTOH I have seen satellite movie loops clearly showing high cloud crossing the equator from one system to another. If you ignore meteological "objects" like hurricanes and depressions there is nothing to stop cloud and moisture from crossing the equator. Winds do blow across the equator driven by thermal imbalances, just as winds blow straight over the poles as well. Will. -- " A cup is most useful when empty " ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- A COL BH site in East Dartmoor at Haytor, Devon 310m asl (1017 feet). mailto: www: http://www.lyneside.demon.co.uk DISCLAIMER - All views and opinions expressed by myself are personal and do not necessarily represent those of my employer. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- |
#4
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![]() "Brendan DJ Murphy" wrote in message ... What happens if a weather system (such as a depression or hurricane) crosses the equator? Does it stop and start spinning in the other direction? Brendan, a typhoon got extremely close to the equator in December 2001, breaking all the rules. I haven't read anything about it since, but it would be very surprised and disappointed if it hadn't been examined in great detail in some publication or other ... anyone know? As an academic exercise, try drawing the streamlines in a barometric depression as it crosses the equator. Here is what the Joint Typhoon Warning Center put out: WDPN31 PGTW 271500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL//JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL STORM 32W (VAMEI) WARNING NR03// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 271200Z2 TO 301200Z6 DEC 01. A. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 32W (VANMEI) MOVED OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF MALAYSIA, ABOUT 30 NM NORTHEAST OF SINGAPORE, ATAPPROXIMATELY 270830Z0. THE SYSTEM WAS CLASSIFIED AS A TYPHOON AS IT MOVED ONSHORE PACKING SUSTAINED WINDS OF 75 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 90 KNOTS. TS 32W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 20 NM NORTH OF SINGAPORE, WAS MOVING WESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION WAS BASED ON 271130Z4 ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 40 TO 55 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM APPEARS TO BE WEAKENING AS RAPIDLY AS IT DEVELOPED. INFRARED ANIMATION DEPICTS A SYSTEM SHRINKING IN COVERAGE WHILE THE LATEST (271104Z5) SSM/I PASS FAILED TO REVEAL A DISTINCT LLCC. REMAINING DEEP CONVECTION IS CONFINED TO THE SOUTHERN TIP OF MALAYSIA AND THE ENTRANCE TO THE STRAIT OF MALACCA. B. IT SEEMS THAT THIS SYSTEM HAS BROKEN ALL THE PHYSICAL RULES IN RELATION TO GENESIS ORIGIN. A VERY SMALL CORIOLIS PARAMETER, IF ANY, AND LARGE PRESSURE GRADIENTS, ALL SUPPORTING THE IMPOSSIBILITY OF A TYPHOON STRENGTH SYSTEM IN SUCH A CLOSE PROXIMITY TO THE EQUATOR. I WOULD GATHER A GUESS THAT THE WINDS WITHIN THE SMALL, INTENSE, EYEWALL WERE POSSIBLY CYCLOSTROPHIC IN NATURE. A MID-LEVEL RIDGE IS FORECAST TO REMAIN OVER SOUTHEAST ASIA THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. THEREFORE, TS 32W SHOULD TRACK IN A WEST-NORTHWESTWARD. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMICAL MODELS THAT REFLECT THE SMALL SYSTEM, (NOGAPS, THE AVN RUN, GFDN, AND THE JMA GLOBAL) AGREE WITH THE ABOVE SYNOPTIC SCENARIO. THEREFORE, OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A BLEND OF THE AVAILABLE MODELS. C. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ON A WEAKENING TREND AS IT TRACKS OVER THE PENINSULA AND SUMATRA. AFTERWARD, RE-INTENSIFICATION IS POSSIBLE ONLY IF THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION SURVIVES THE TRACK OVER SUMATRA AND INTO THE BAY OF BENGAL. D. WIND RADII ANALYSIS ARE BASED ON SYNOPTIC DATA AND MICROWAVEIMAGERY. FORECAST TEAM: ROBERTS/HARRISON/BOSTIC/EDBERG// Philip Eden |
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