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-   -   Nice models this morning... (https://www.weather-banter.co.uk/uk-sci-weather-uk-weather/183453-nice-models-morning.html)

Dawlish January 7th 16 08:24 PM

Nice models this morning...
 
On Thursday, January 7, 2016 at 7:48:40 PM UTC, Col wrote:
On 07/01/2016 19:13, Dawlish wrote:
On Thursday, January 7, 2016 at 6:36:08 PM UTC, Col wrote:



Not so. I am a 'coldie' in that I much prefer frost & snow to the more
usual mild and wet but I don't behave like that. It's quite fun reading
tha thread on TWO when everybody is generally full of optimism but
things can get ugly if such predictions don't happen and we get the
'toys out of the pram' situation.

Coldies are always happy when someone is forecasting cold. How many times have I seen 'great forecast' as a comment about a forecast that been written. Just so funny. A forecast is only 'great' at outcome. Coldies, generally, simply don't understand this.


They are commenting that the weather being forecast is great, rather
than the *accuracy* of the forecast being great, which quite obviously
can only be assessed at outcome. Two quite different things!




Heh! Absolutely not. They are commenting on the fact that the forecast contains cold and snow; which, inevitably they do!

Nothing is 'nailed on' at a week out (my own forecast), I can assure you! It's just 'likely'. Highly likely for Monday, but that's the best I'd agree with!


I'd say it's 'beyond reasonable doubt' that the weather will turn
significantly colder from Monday. That's as near to 'nailed on' as makes
no odds but I'm not going to argue over semantics.


Agreed and that is not, in any way, the same as 'nailed on'. 😀


--
Col

Bolton, Lancashire
160m asl
Snow videos:
http://www.youtube.com/channel/UC3QvmL4UWBmHFMKWiwYm_gg


Weatherlawyer January 7th 16 10:53 PM

Nice models this morning...
 
On Thursday, 7 January 2016 07:01:32 UTC, Dawlish wrote:

They are working themselves up into an absolute frenzy of excitement on
TWO over this. If this one fails to come off the model output thread
will be on suicide watch.....


They always do. It's what coldies are like; sense deserts them when there's a hint of snow and they detest the posts of anyone who says they might not get it.


Do the SFB glowballers even start with a modicum of sense, you cheese curd?
Are you keeping secret how many thermometers they have working on data in the cold half of the globe or are you just as ignorant as suspect?

Oh sorry my allergy just kicked in again. Please forgive me and die. Not necessarily in that order but suit yourself.


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